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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #4421
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lakers game was looking awful for you guys (deficit well over 20 late in the game), but now it's an 8 point game.

    I'll be rooting for them to cover, even though I have no $ on this.

  2. #4422
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk View Post
    Beg, borrow and mug Santa to get down on Lakers tonight AT HOME vs Clippers. Line should be +10.5. Best play I've seen all year.
    TYVM

     
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      Brittney Griner's Clit: Please bobbin that big dick. You can't even tongue in cheek that you made a good bet bro.

  3. #4423
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post

    Best play you've seen all year and you offer up no analysis? And did you really just capitalize AT HOME in an L.A. vs L.A. game?

    Basically the only way the Clips don't absolutely roll is if you believe in such things as the NBA wanting to keep it close. Im never ever betting a team that isn't trying to win.
    I agree here.

    Anything is possible but the Lakers are 10-19 vs the spread this year and 3-7 ATS at home. I wouldn't consider that play of the year material either especially when the team you have to bank on is as shitty as the Lakers are.
    I don't hear you in here running your dick sucker now?

     
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      big dick: ..
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  4. #4424
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Honestly I hate bets like these because many times it's totally random if you win. If you big dog runs up some at the end in trash time, you win. If they don't, you lose. But it's incredibly hard to handicap these, and I don't think +12.5 and +10.5 are all that much difference when dealing with a terrible team which gets blown out often (as the Lakers often do).

    This one looked pretty bad for most of the game and barely won thanks to trash time.

    I'm happy for everyone here who bet it, but I wouldn't suggest betting more like this, because it's a crapshoot.

    If you're going to bet dogs, I think you're much better off betting on teams which you think might win outright, or at the very least will play the other team tough. When you're betting on +12.5 because you think the game will finish at 10 or 11 points (and your team is the 2nd worst in the NBA), I don't think you're getting much value.

  5. #4425
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Honestly I hate bets like these because many times it's totally random if you win. If you big dog runs up some at the end in trash time, you win. If they don't, you lose. But it's incredibly hard to handicap these, and I don't think +12.5 and +10.5 are all that much difference when dealing with a terrible team which gets blown out often (as the Lakers often do).

    This one looked pretty bad for most of the game and barely won thanks to trash time.

    I'm happy for everyone here who bet it, but I wouldn't suggest betting more like this, because it's a crapshoot.

    If you're going to bet dogs, I think you're much better off betting on teams which you think might win outright, or at the very least will play the other team tough. When you're betting on +12.5 because you think the game will finish at 10 or 11 points (and your team is the 2nd worst in the NBA), I don't think you're getting much value.
    In all fairness, you're a proven .500 at best better in NBA over a fairly big sample size. So taking anything you say to heart is probably a crapshoot too.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  6. #4426
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Did anyone impartial watch this game? The clippers were up like 30 in the third right? What happened after that?

  7. #4427
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Was it ref or nba rigged related? Did Silver force Doc to play Austin and Reddick? Did Silver force the Lakers to bench Kobe so they had a prayer? What the fuck happened here? Did they bring Donaghy back to ref the 4th? What sort of divine intervention took place?

  8. #4428
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    I'd personally never bet against Kobe on his fairwell tour on ESPN but at same time couldn't imagine betting an obviously tanking team for any reason. Please tell what happened honestly protalk.

  9. #4429
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    I only watched the first quarter.

    Unless I have money on a game where a shitty team like the 76ers or Lakers are playing it's completely unwatchable to me.

    To come back from 30 down and lose by only 10 sure does make people question if games are fixed or not.

    Obviously this type of stuff happens from time to time but if you lose a few of them in this manner you really start to question wtf is going on?

    Congrats to you guys who had Lakers at +10.5 or higher since you won but it don't mean it was a good bet and all of you were regretting it somewhere early in the third quarter I am sure.

  10. #4430
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    I'm outraged my LAL pk +900 didn't get there. (true line +570)

    Watching games is -EV, especially when they start at 4:30AM. I think the internet was out in the hotel anyway. What did I miss?

  11. #4431
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk View Post
    Beg, borrow and mug Santa to get down on Lakers tonight AT HOME vs Clippers. Line should be +10.5. Best play I've seen all year.
    Best play you've seen all year and you offer up no analysis? And did you really just capitalize AT HOME in an L.A. vs L.A. game?

    Basically the only way the Clips don't absolutely roll is if you believe in such things as the NBA wanting to keep it close. Im never ever betting a team that isn't trying to win.
    Show me a great write-up and I'll show you a losing gambler. Models and the market are smarter than me or you. I just take what they give me.

    From 2001-2015 average margin of victory for all NBA home teams was 3.29 points. Average margin of victory for home team in LAL vs LAC was 3.00 points.

    Happy Chanukah

  12. #4432
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    THISGUYISWHAT likes the Redskins +3 and also the moneyline

     
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      smiflorida: I took both as well early this week..
      
      IAmProfessionalTalk: concur
    Last edited by ThisGuyisWhat; 01-23-2016 at 01:42 PM.

  13. #4433
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThisGuyisWhat View Post
    THISGUYISWHAT likes the Redskins +3 and also the moneyline
    Good sir, since you and I apparently "got off on the wrong foot" last week, would you be so kind as to indicate why you like those picks, so that we may base our decision to tail you on more substantial information?


    thanks

  14. #4434
    Diamond shortbuspoker's Avatar
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    load up before the book catches upName:  Screenshot_2015-12-26-13-53-42.png
Views: 469
Size:  193.2 KB

  15. #4435
    Diamond shortbuspoker's Avatar
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    load up before the book catches upName:  Screenshot_2015-12-26-13-53-42.png
Views: 469
Size:  193.2 KB

  16. #4436
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    Modest plays on the remaining CFB today. These may not be widely available.

    Duke +10.5 -240
    VA Tech -7 1H -120
    Parlay UCLA -3 1H -120 & UCLA/NE o30.5 1H -115

    Gun to head, Duke +3 +100 or pk +140 is playable.

  17. #4437
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    huh isnt golson their backup what the fuck are you talking about bro

  18. #4438
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lol wow View Post
    huh isnt golson their backup what the fuck are you talking about bro

    He played 9 games.

    http://www.foxsports.com/college-foo...les-team-stats

  19. #4439
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    lol played yea and he had his ass benched like 1st quarter of the nc state game like a month ago and has been since derek you ginger moron

     
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      DRK Star: Gare, you 8-tentacled appetizer, where did I say he was or was not a starter? I said he played 9 games.

  20. #4440
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    sorry LOAD UP BEFORE THE BOOKIES DONT MOVE THE LINE YALL

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