Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #35761
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10158
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,813
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68259629
    NCAAB starting now

    Canisius +160 at Rider - FIRST HALF

  2. #35762
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10158
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,813
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    NCAAB starting now

    Canisius +160 at Rider - FIRST HALF
    Almost skipped this one because I had a bad feeling but fired anyway.

    Canisius getting stomped the entire half.


  3. #35763
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10158
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,813
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Wow.. Canisius won the game



    They were down 49-40 at the half. I bet on the wrong half this time.

    This is unusual, as dogs in NCAAB tend to collapse after getting beat hard in 1H. The books have caught up with this, which is why the game line is a lot longer than the half moneyline.

    Feels shitty to lose a pick where I correctly pick the dog to do unexpectedly well, but they get it going in the second half. Note that my last pick like this, a +185 1H pick, won the first half but narrowly lost the game, so I was correct there.

  4. #35764
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2688
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,347
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Sweet fucking jesus. What a garbage field this is. Ive already pre bought champions club tickets for this event and I feel completely ripped off. Both Im and Lowry will be sub 10-1. Dont get me wrong Im a big fan of both and followers here know Im super high on S Im chances at Augusta. That being said in no fucking uncertain terms should they be bar none 1-2 on the card.

    PGA going to have some real attendance issues where they sell out for the 18 “enhanced” events and all the others are relegated to Minor league status.

    Ill let you all get back to the real sports talk now, but had to get this one off my chest


    Name:  C2C8712B-329C-480F-92D5-C0EF3DE923F4.jpeg
Views: 249
Size:  111.6 KB

  5. #35765
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2688
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,347
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Not my material and its not 100% accurate but its close….. and as someone on Homa this week its tilting

    “So in his last 5 holes Rahm has bounced one off a grandstand for a kick in eagle, hit one against a fence and got a free drop setting up an easy par, and hit one into a parking lot and got a free drop setting up an easy par. That’s what, 4-5 free strokes in 5 holes?”

    He should be in second or third place right now. Instead hes two clear.

    Obviously hes the best there is right now and the favorite for tomorrow….. that said hes had all the breaks and then some, Homa hasn't been able to bird or better the first hole yet and Homa has the best putter on the course by far. Its a recipe fir a comeback, but we shall see.


    Name:  2FCE574A-3D59-4B1D-84C9-83A978358EF6.jpeg
Views: 225
Size:  124.5 KB

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime:
    Last edited by Daly; 02-18-2023 at 03:58 PM.

  6. #35766
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10158
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,813
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68259629
    NHL

    Philadelphia +107 at Vancouver

    Washington +160 at Carolina

  7. #35767
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
    Reputation
    1486
    Join Date
    Apr 2020
    Location
    Brick City, USA
    Posts
    2,727
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Not my material and its not 100% accurate but its close….. and as someone on Homa this week its tilting

    “So in his last 5 holes Rahm has bounced one off a grandstand for a kick in eagle, hit one against a fence and got a free drop setting up an easy par, and hit one into a parking lot and got a free drop setting up an easy par. That’s what, 4-5 free strokes in 5 holes?”

    He should be in second or third place right now. Instead hes two clear.

    Obviously hes the best there is right now and the favorite for tomorrow….. that said hes had all the breaks and then some, Homa hasn't been able to bird or better the first hole yet and Homa has the best putter on the course by far. Its a recipe fir a comeback, but we shall see.


    Name:  2FCE574A-3D59-4B1D-84C9-83A978358EF6.jpeg
Views: 225
Size:  124.5 KB

    I agree and I’ll be routing hard for you today man. My picks went to shit,,,some faster than others. Getting lucky is one thing. But imo Rahm should prob be 7 or 8 under. Picked up 5/6 strokes off from miracles off the tee and 2 alone on that bank shot eagle. He is the best player in the world but to give him that amount of breaks in absurd. Great call and Max regardless. I know being close in Golf is extenuating. Maxis playing great. Rahm drives like he has last two days and Max just plays his game…well those 3 strokes could melt away like butter.

  8. #35768
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Leafs -1.5 -130
    Devils -120
    Arizona under 6.5 -120

    Nothing special here.

  9. #35769
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2688
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,347
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Not my material and its not 100% accurate but its close….. and as someone on Homa this week its tilting

    “So in his last 5 holes Rahm has bounced one off a grandstand for a kick in eagle, hit one against a fence and got a free drop setting up an easy par, and hit one into a parking lot and got a free drop setting up an easy par. That’s what, 4-5 free strokes in 5 holes?”

    He should be in second or third place right now. Instead hes two clear.

    Obviously hes the best there is right now and the favorite for tomorrow….. that said hes had all the breaks and then some, Homa hasn't been able to bird or better the first hole yet and Homa has the best putter on the course by far. Its a recipe fir a comeback, but we shall see.


    Name:  2FCE574A-3D59-4B1D-84C9-83A978358EF6.jpeg
Views: 225
Size:  124.5 KB

    I agree and I’ll be routing hard for you today man. My picks went to shit,,,some faster than others. Getting lucky is one thing. But imo Rahm should prob be 7 or 8 under. Picked up 5/6 strokes off from miracles off the tee and 2 alone on that bank shot eagle. He is the best player in the world but to give him that amount of breaks in absurd. Great call and Max regardless. I know being close in Golf is extenuating. Maxis playing great. Rahm drives like he has last two days and Max just plays his game…well those 3 strokes could melt away like butter.

    Well somehow Homa managed to get up a stroke on Rham but couldn't hold. Thats why we cant have nice things…..

    Hope you were able to get homa money in on the masters and us open over the weekend…..
    I just

  10. #35770
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4322
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,214
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Leafs -1.5 -130
    Devils -120
    Arizona under 6.5 -120

    Nothing special here.
    Sicko Leafs parlay

    Parlay +200
    Toronto Maple Leafs -293 & over 2 +123 for 1st Period

    Last Weds. same goalies. Samsonov (Leafs is still high on NyQuil)
    Name:  00489401-E719-4252-B65B-49862E1EA5BA.jpeg
Views: 192
Size:  255.6 KB

    Tonight
    Name:  00489401-E719-4252-B65B-49862E1EA5BA.jpeg
Views: 192
Size:  255.6 KB


    Even Druff wouldn’t bet this

  11. #35771
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4322
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,214
    Load Metric
    68259629
    You and Jeff have the mental fortitude unmatched by regular mortals

    Although Jeff has shown signs of strain…. Love his work. I get the feeling he is somebody of some profile in the real gambling world.

  12. #35772
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10158
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,813
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    You and Jeff have the mental fortitude unmatched by regular mortals

    Although Jeff has shown signs of strain…. Love his work. I get the feeling he is somebody of some profile in the real gambling world.
    I believe I'm the only one on this forum to have met JeffDime in person. Met him briefly at the end of 2021 at Bellagio, when he came over to say hi. We talked for about 45 minutes or so.

    Yesterday was a frustrating day for me. I was playing poker at Commerce and not doing very well, so I lost track of time on the big NCAAB schedule. The bets I wanted to make were all past, and almost all of them won, including a few dogs.

    Then I did get down two NHL picks I didn't like as much as the NCAAB picks, and both got clobbered.

  13. #35773
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2688
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,347
    Load Metric
    68259629
    100% Facts

    Name:  9121359B-16C0-4E8E-9774-B71F1720BCD1.png
Views: 181
Size:  731.8 KB

  14. #35774
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10158
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,813
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Interesting game with Georgetown today. Had I been awake when the game started, I would have picked them in some way. Not sure if I would have gone with just 1H or the full game.

    Had I gone 1H, I would have been very disappointed, as they lost that half by 5, but ended up winning the game by 6. But I also might have just gone with the full game, because they weren't huge dogs, despite their 7-21 record and being on the road.

    Second game I've seen recently which defies the modern convention of the dog team not being able to come back if they're losing at the half. They were only down 5 at the half though, so this wasn't all that unusual. It's more unusual for a dog team getting killed at halftime being able to recover in 2H and cover the spread, unless the game spread is very long.

  15. #35775
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4322
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,214
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Leafs -1.5 -130
    Devils -120
    Arizona under 6.5 -120

    Nothing special here.
    Sicko Leafs parlay

    Parlay +200
    Toronto Maple Leafs -293 & over 2 +123 for 1st Period


    Even Druff wouldn’t bet this
    Leafs Leafin’. Lose 5-3 to one of the worst teams in the NHL.

    BTW, Canadien gambling commercials… I’d lose my mind if I had to watch that many normally

    I deserve some kind of acknowledgement for the degeneracy

  16. #35776
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Legalized gambling causes tons of ads.

    I used to feel the same way about UK feeds.

    It’s brutal and I’m surprised they allow it.

  17. #35777
    Bronze BaccaratDegen's Avatar
    Reputation
    98
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Casino
    Posts
    131
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Jeff Dimes is the real golf goat. I thank you Jeff for all the picks. Tournament winner and top 5 can’t go wrong with Jeff dimes golf picks. Hunted down JD in ac a few times very stand up guy he is good in my book.

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: LOL. Maybe if there was show & place betting like horses. Daly gets more across the finish line then anyone I know.

  18. #35778
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4322
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,214
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Legalized gambling causes tons of ads.

    I used to feel the same way about UK feeds.

    It’s brutal and I’m surprised they allow it.
    It’s starting to creep onto the airways in Massachusetts. We recently went legal. I’m glad my kids are older. But no one is immune. It’s insidious.

    I absolutely hate everything about legalized wagering. It’s a cancer. Nobody is being protected from anything by the state. I have been absolutely consistent on this forever.

  19. #35779
    Gold
    Reputation
    322
    Join Date
    Dec 2022
    Posts
    1,766
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Quote Originally Posted by ok25 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Had I seen this in time, I would've taken a shot and bet that

    Nice one
    This one was fairly easy to predict, 5 weeks since their last game so was going to take them awhile to get their rhythm. Playing at a very loud away venue against an underrated team and half of theirs were new combinations or inexperienced including a rugby league convert who doesn't know what the fuck he's doing half the time because the structure is so different from what he's used to

    I will pitch in when I know the lines are off on anything Australian/NZ Sport related as I follow those a lot closer than anything else

    Australian NBL Future, not that many would be interested

    New Zealand Breakers are the best defensive team in that league (Early on but short season/playoffs compared to the nba) They are paying +1100 somehow to take it out. Should be about +500 to +600 so pretty good value I believe
    https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/sport...nbl-crown.html

    Basketball: NZ Breakers shift focus to defending champions Sydney Kings, set sights on fifth Australian NBL crown


    +1100 value picker

    Have a 1000 locked in so 10k profit if they win

    Odds going into 3 game finals series

    Sydney
    1.44
    New Zealand Breakers
    2.75

    Not bad

    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  20. #35780
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68259629
    Seattle under 6.5
    Rangers under 6
    Rangers -1.5 +145

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 16 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 16 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 03:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 10:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 08:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 10:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 07:36 PM

Tags for this Thread