*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Daly]

There are no guarantees in life…… im not sure id book any RB to go for more than 70 vs Georgia.

Prop Bet Ohio State Buckeyes vrs Georgia Bulldogs
Miyan Williams of the Ohio State Buckeyes will have under 70.5 rushing yards

[Dan Druff]

I got pounded on the Portland over. Just needed 48 in the 4th quarter and couldn't get it. This despite the game ending up close, but somehow the usual fouling score runup didn't happen. I really thought this was close to a lock.

Anyway, here's some NCAAF for you:

Iowa -3 vs Kentucky
Ohio State +200 vs Georgia
TCU vs Michigan - Under 58

[Dan Druff]

NCAAB

Loyola Chicago -8 vs George Washington

[Dan Druff]

NHL

Ottawa -113 at Detroit

[Sanlmar]

Short list - possible teaser material

Texans, Saints, Patriots under, Texans under

Trash games are Druff specialty. See what he does here.


I have Georgia -7 b/c of some furious chatter here WEEKS ago. Not exactly CLV either.

[BCR]

Short list - possible teaser material

Texans, Saints, Patriots under, Texans under

Trash games are Druff specialty. See what he does here.


I have Georgia -7 b/c of some furious chatter here WEEKS ago. Not exactly CLV either.

I’m staying on Georgia. I’m the last dude to say I’m right and Vegas is wrong because Vegas beats my ass, but I’m right and Vegas is wrong. Or I’m going down swinging. We can’t cover anyone. DB’s spinning in circles against Michigan wideouts who are true freshman with 200 yards. We did this all year against bad teams, we just didn’t play anyone we couldn’t score 50 on. I’m the biggest Ohio State homer here and I’m telling you they’re fake news on both sides of the ball. They get punched and they’ll roll over.

I’m sticking. If they prove me wrong, I’ll be happy and poorer, but they won’t

[Sanlmar]

NHL

Ottawa -113 at Detroit

If Needledick is in goal for Detroit this could be very enticing. I’m gonna deep dive this now see what’s up. Exhausting

Morning skate is when we get clues

Not sure who that line movement is.

Question: How could I get fucked?
Answer: Detroit puts in Hellberg

Little PL sprinkle might be a look


I don’t bet simply off “sharp action”. It’s a tool that is for down the list to be checked for many reasons . Bets 56% money 93%.

I believe in god and country and sacrificing a few cents for confirmation when gambling stocks and sports

[Tellafriend]

Short list - possible teaser material

Texans, Saints, Patriots under, Texans under

Trash games are Druff specialty. See what he does here.


I have Georgia -7 b/c of some furious chatter here WEEKS ago. Not exactly CLV either.

I’m staying on Georgia. I’m the last dude to say I’m right and Vegas is wrong because Vegas beats my ass, but I’m right and Vegas is wrong. Or I’m going down swinging. We can’t cover anyone. DB’s spinning in circles against Michigan wideouts who are true freshman with 200 yards. We did this all year against bad teams, we just didn’t play anyone we couldn’t score 50 on. I’m the biggest Ohio State homer here and I’m telling you they’re fake news on both sides of the ball. They get punched and they’ll roll over.

I’m sticking. If they prove me wrong, I’ll be happy and poorer, but they won’t

I'm heavy on UGA. Go Dawgs!

[Sanlmar]

I think your on the wrong side and sharps fucked you Druff. It’s Hellberg not Needledick. Woulda been nice tho.

Under 6.5 is a hedge

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1609210387940970497

when i do my NFL, i factor in smart money 10% into my decision, if differential is 30% or more, it’s 15% of my decision. I’m mostly retired from NFL due to brain injuries tho.

NHL it’s a data point only. Models are much better NHL than NFL.

[BCR]

Kentucky/Iowa is a total coinflip imo. Kentucky has more opt outs, but on offense, and their offense sucked anyway. How often do you see a 31 total? I’ll take the 3. Had odds booster thing that jacked it from $130 to $159, so I threw it on ML, but 90% of money is on +3.

Single
@
-112
Open
Dec 31 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5352681600
Point Spread: Kentucky +3.0
Iowa vs Kentucky


SingleOpen
Dec 31 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5352665983
Moneyline: Kentucky
Iowa vs Kentucky
Odds:
+130
+159

Edit-just noticed I’m opposite Druff twice. I hope Vegas sharps have a bad day. I don’t have a strong opinion on Iowa-Kentucky, just rather have the 3 than laying it. Ohio State ML is bold.

[Dan Druff]

I see there is sone doubt about my Ohio State moneyline.

I have doubt too. UGA is very tough.

I almost didn't make this pick. But I believe this will either be a beatdown where UGA crushes or Ohio pulls out a win. Figured I would go bold with the moneyline if I bet it.

[BCR]

I see there is sone doubt about my Ohio State moneyline.

I have doubt too. UGA is very tough.

I almost didn't make this pick. But I believe this will either be a beatdown where UGA crushes or Ohio pulls out a win. Figured I would go bold with the moneyline if I bet it.

I feel like you’ll know after the first quarter in both playoff games. Both dogs badly need a quick start.

[Sanlmar]

BeerAndPoker Michigan Bowl game flashbacks.

Harbaugh is the SBF of the NCAAF

[BCR]

Backed up my fast start comment.


Thought about ML play or the +8. I figured they’d need a fast start either way and went on this as Michigan has been so good in second half.

Caught some breaks and it worked out.

Single @
+170
Won
Dec 31 • 2022
Ticket ID: 53533187
First to 15 points (Tie: Neither Team to reach 15) - Including Overtime: TCU
Live
TCU vs Michigan
21-3
2nd Quarter 4:22

[Dan Druff]

Now that BCR's TCU "15 point" pick is over, he can help root for little scoring the rest of the way.

44 points now, thanks to a 17-point 3rd which still has 4.5 minutes, and now my under 58 isn't looking so hot.

Already lost my ploppy NCAAB Loyola -8 pick outright, and won my Iowa pick by a mile.



Edit: TCU just scored again. They're just too good today. This under is fucked.

[BCR]

BeerAndPoker Michigan Bowl game flashbacks.

Harbaugh is the SBF of the NCAAF

[Dan Druff]

A few more picks:

NBA

Chicago vs Cleveland - Under 224


NHL

Winnipeg -104 at Edmonton

[simpdog]

Georgia and under 72.5
+105 here

[Dan Druff]

Liking OSU so far but damn Bulls please don't go to OT.

103-100 38s left

[Daly]

There is a TON of money on both Michigan and Georgia. Like 80% plus.

Now they moving in reverse across some key numbers.

If Michigan -7 and Georgia -7 both hit vegas is going broke.

I put down on Ohio St +7 -120 and TCU +8