*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

Three NCAAB games to bet on this afternoon/evening:

Maryland -1.5 vs UCLA
Duquense -3 -109 vs DePaul
Miami Ohio +15.5 -108 at Cincinnati

[Dan Druff]

Here's one NBA:

Detroit at Charlotte - Over 229.5

[NaturalBornHustler]

Bills line is down to 7.5 from 9. In what world is big money coming in on Dolphins? I guess it was the 9 people jumped on.

This really feels like people remembering what the Dolphins were a month ago, not what they have been the past few weeks.

[4BET]

Bills line is down to 7.5 from 9. In what world is big money coming in on Dolphins? I guess it was the 9 people jumped on.

This really feels like people remembering what the Dolphins were a month ago, not what they have been the past few weeks.

Very odd lines this week, How in the hell is SFran only 3.5 favorites over Seattle? I have watched all games these 2 have played last 4 weeks. Seattle is awful bums

Cincy 3.5 over Tampa, Same with these 2. I have seen all the games at least 4 weeks straight. Tampa is trash. I will be betting big on San Fran and Cincy this week.

People are saying SF has a bad record in Seattle lol different teams different times.

If San Fran can’t crush Seattle this week I have no Hope betting football. Same with Cincy should crush Tampa

[JeffDime]

Gonna take a whole lot more than this to get unstuck for this year. But I do like Antoine Rozner +1600 this week for DP Tour stop. Dean been playing well but just seems to always fall short and Detry half the people betting him confuse with Peters.

[simpdog]

Habs and red wings

Two big dogs need one to win.


San we miss you

[Dan Druff]

Yeah I've noticed San absent last 2 days from the thread.

Unlike him.

My first 3 games had 2 easy wins (Duquesne, Detroit over), and one blowout loss (Miami OH).

Maryland actually has zero points through almost 5 min. Not good.

[Dan Druff]

Maryland was my favorite pick today and they're getting destroyed. Funny how that happens.

Looks like 2-2 day for me across both leagues.

[Sanlmar]

Habs and red wings

Two big dogs need one to win.


San we miss you

I have no edge in hockey anymore - no matter what we expect, random shit continues to happen this year.

I have decent models - I test my picks with others. My process is sound.



You ever look at psuOtto’s (twitter) results this year? Literally everyone who is anyone follows him. You have in him a very transparent guy who was there at the start - the “1P over days”. He gave birth to the analytics movement in hockey as far as I’m concerned. psuOtto is getting destroyed this year.

I don’t know what’s going on. I have no edge. Losing and wasting time is like going to the dentist. I don’t gamble just to gamble.

I don’t like the NBA any more and don’t think it can be beat.

That’s kinda where I’m at. I am staring down the barrel of legalized wagering coming in January (brick and mortar only). It will in no way approximate South Point or Circa. I am concerned I will be shutout from offshore. I ain’t betting legalized odds.

I have the capacity to shift gears in life pretty easily. There is always something new that catches my interest. That’s kinda where I am at.

I liked the give and take the thread used to provide. There is a rule all sports wagerers should heed.

There are two types of people you should not tail: People who can not have a conversation about why they took a play. People that consolidate other cappers’ picks.

I selfishly wish you weren’t so busy but I have fond memories. I’m glad for ya. You will have time for this nonsense before ya know it.

[NaturalBornHustler]

Bills line is down to 7.5 from 9. In what world is big money coming in on Dolphins? I guess it was the 9 people jumped on.

This really feels like people remembering what the Dolphins were a month ago, not what they have been the past few weeks.

Very odd lines this week, How in the hell is SFran only 3.5 favorites over Seattle? I have watched all games these 2 have played last 4 weeks. Seattle is awful bums

Cincy 3.5 over Tampa, Same with these 2. I have seen all the games at least 4 weeks straight. Tampa is trash. I will be betting big on San Fran and Cincy this week.

People are saying SF has a bad record in Seattle lol different teams different times.

If San Fran can’t crush Seattle this week I have no Hope betting football. Same with Cincy should crush Tampa

I agree with all of this. Seattle has been total trash and Cinci has been on fire.

[Dan Druff]

Sorry but this SF game is another trap line, similar to the Minnesota/Detroit one we just saw.

Mind you, I don't feel about Seattle like I felt about the Lions. I was begging everyone I knew to lay off that Vikings bet they wanted to make.

Seattle is 7-6, but they haven't yet beaten a good team. Their victories were over Denver (awful), Detroit (mediocre), Arizona (bad), LA Chargers (inconsistent), Arizona again, NY Giants (in a tailspin), and the LA Rams (bad). A victory over the Niners would be their biggest accomplishment this season.

Also, the Niners have won six in a row, including that drubbing of Brady 35-7 on Sunday. The last time they allowed more than 17 points was October 23. No team has allowed fewer points this season than the Niners, and only one (Buffalo) is anywhere close.

I get all that. However, Vegas doesn't give anything away, and usually when there's a line like this, it means something. Remember, the Seahawks are just a hair away from getting into that playoff zone, whereas the Niners have much less to play for tonight.

Seattle +160 vs San Francisco (+3 ok)



Regarding Tampa/Cincy, I haven't decided upon that one yet. I might just lay off of it.

[Small_Banana]

Sorry but this SF game is another trap line, similar to the Minnesota/Detroit one we just saw.

Mind you, I don't feel about Seattle like I felt about the Lions. I was begging everyone I knew to lay off that Vikings bet they wanted to make.

Seattle is 7-6, but they haven't yet beaten a good team. Their victories were over Denver (awful), Detroit (mediocre), Arizona (bad), LA Chargers (inconsistent), Arizona again, NY Giants (in a tailspin), and the LA Rams (bad). A victory over the Niners would be their biggest accomplishment this season.

Also, the Niners have won six in a row, including that drubbing of Brady 35-7 on Sunday. The last time they allowed more than 17 points was October 23. No team has allowed fewer points this season than the Niners, and only one (Buffalo) is anywhere close.

I get all that. However, Vegas doesn't give anything away, and usually when there's a line like this, it means something. Remember, the Seahawks are just a hair away from getting into that playoff zone, whereas the Niners have much less to play for tonight.

Seattle +160 vs San Francisco (+3 ok)



Regarding Tampa/Cincy, I haven't decided upon that one yet. I might just lay off of it.

I hope you are right. I already bet Seahawks moneyline a few days ago. I am also on the Bucs moneyline. I like Titans +3 vs Chargers.

[4BET]

Sorry but this SF game is another trap line, similar to the Minnesota/Detroit one we just saw.

Mind you, I don't feel about Seattle like I felt about the Lions. I was begging everyone I knew to lay off that Vikings bet they wanted to make.

Seattle is 7-6, but they haven't yet beaten a good team. Their victories were over Denver (awful), Detroit (mediocre), Arizona (bad), LA Chargers (inconsistent), Arizona again, NY Giants (in a tailspin), and the LA Rams (bad). A victory over the Niners would be their biggest accomplishment this season.

Also, the Niners have won six in a row, including that drubbing of Brady 35-7 on Sunday. The last time they allowed more than 17 points was October 23. No team has allowed fewer points this season than the Niners, and only one (Buffalo) is anywhere close.

I get all that. However, Vegas doesn't give anything away, and usually when there's a line like this, it means something. Remember, the Seahawks are just a hair away from getting into that playoff zone, whereas the Niners have much less to play for tonight.

Seattle +160 vs San Francisco (+3 ok)



Regarding Tampa/Cincy, I haven't decided upon that one yet. I might just lay off of it.

The minute I seen the line on SF/Seattle it screamed trap. I have been gambling since I was 16, No kidding it looks like a trap line

Couldn’t disagree more this is like det/minn. Detroit flat out playing better then Minnesota. I watched Detroit totally destroy Jacksonville the week before. Seattle has been awful

You bet 100 games a week. When I make a big bet in football it’s 100% me watching the teams play week in week out. You comparing Seattle to Detroit shows You obviously don’t watch the games.

You think the sharps are always right? You don’t think I know last week when Cincy line went from 5.5 to 3.5 that a ton of money came in on Cleveland? I went and bet more, Why ? Because I watched a bunch of Cincy and Cleveland games and a stuck with what I believed Cincy was much better and should cover. Should I have said like you oh no the sharps are betting.lol I was worried maybe some big news came out but no just a group pounding Cleveland.

Regardless what happens if you have watched Seattle you couldn’t bet a dollar on this team, Line looks like a trap let me fire lol.

I have already made a big bet on SF -3 and will be betting more. I believe if SF don’t play 100% they still win and cover

[4BET]

Now betting against Brady is always dangerous but bottom line that team is awful. I will be betting Cincy again this week. If I lose to Tampa and Seattle then so be it lol. I can’t unsee what I have seen from these 2 teams

I get it oh this team needs a win for playoffs, Yes some teams need a win and some teams are just awful and won’t get one, lol

[4BET]

Is it possible SF don’t play all out and try to get healthy for a playoff run? Yes it’s possible but how is Seattle gonna score? If SF plays defense and runs the ball all night they still cover.

SF -3 big bet

Time will tell, Cheers

[JeffDime]

Gonna take a whole lot more than this to get unstuck for this year. But I do like Antoine Rozner +1600 this week for DP Tour stop. Dean been playing well but just seems to always fall short and Detry half the people betting him confuse with Peters.

Just how this year has been. I was on Valimaki for years and bricked. Guys form has been dogshit. Soft field this week and I see him 40-1, but I immediately pass based on form. Wake up and the cocksucker shoots 10 under to lead the tournament. Just sucks to see a guy I was on for so long up there. Well too late to take him now. I know Daly was on his ass too at one time. Think was the same week. I just dony want to see his ass with the trophy

[NaturalBornHustler]

Is it possible SF don’t play all out and try to get healthy for a playoff run? Yes it’s possible but how is Seattle gonna score? If SF plays defense and runs the ball all night they still cover.

SF -3 big bet

Time will tell, Cheers

I'm with you on SF tonight and Bills are now down to -7 what the fuck is going on.

[Dan Druff]

Purdy, who is still hurting somewhat, is starting tonight.

That's probably not the best thing for the Niners, unless he's really feeling close to 100%.

[4BET]

Is it possible SF don’t play all out and try to get healthy for a playoff run? Yes it’s possible but how is Seattle gonna score? If SF plays defense and runs the ball all night they still cover.

SF -3 big bet

Time will tell, Cheers

I'm with you on SF tonight and Bills are now down to -7 what the fuck is going on.

The bills have had trouble covering which is why I took det on thanksgiving. Probably can tease down to 1 with someone and be good to go. With that said Miami was awful last game, real bad. I think Miami was overrated.

I wouldn’t be afraid to bet bills -7 only because Miami looked so bad. Not supposed to put a ton of weight into last weeks results but Miami looked so bad I can’t overlook that.

Not sure if I am betting the bills this week. I was looking at Minnesota a team that has been overrated but are a decent team that had their ass kicked last week. I look for Minnesota to have a big game this week

[simpdog]

San I’m ahead on hockey this year but nowhere close to other years.

Wish I had more time too. Im less tha ~5 years from having too much time.


With legalized books you do get some perks. Boosts and super boosts. Running about 80% winners on them. Typically max bet is 50-100 but when you’re getting even money on a -300 fave it’s quite profitable.

Other boosts are taking even money props and they boost it to +250 or higher.

It’s a grind but it’s easy profits.