Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #33661
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I see Daly & I both have K State and the Toledo under.

    Good company.

    Baylor about to cover in my ploppy -10 play. LA Monroe about to lose against Army. Bowling Green was up 17-3 at the half, but now it's 17-10 and they're not playing well. I really want this one.
    That game fell perfectly for both our bets and I’m still going to lose because Kent State’s qb warmed up and decided not to play and I got a backup with 3 pass attempts.
    Wow I just noticed. Not easy to get the PFA middle between 11-15 but we did it with Baylor.

  2. #33662
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Someone told me line shopping matters in college football. Got u57 on Toledo, Daly got 58. Total sits at 58 with 3:35 left. Ouch. GL with the tie Daly.

    At least my BGSU +205 came in.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    My totals this weekend in NCAAB are just brutal. Might end up 0-5 on those. Ugly.

  4. #33664
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Most lop sided play of the day is Ole Miss.

    They were up 17-3 and LSU fought back to tie before going into half down 17-14

    Vegas really really needs LSU…..id never tell anyone to bet money they dont have but if you betting games this afternoon id find a few bucks for a 2h bet.

  5. #33665
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Vanderbilt is awful.

    Makes me ashamed I was accepted to the school (I didn't go there).

  6. #33666
    Platinum garrett's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Vanderbilt is awful.

    Makes me ashamed I was accepted to the school (I didn't go there).
    Vanderbilt can't be awful

    Vanderbilt super hard to get in and graduate from

    It's Vanderbilt

  7. #33667
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last minute NBA

    Boston at Orlando - Under 215.5

  8. #33668
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's one more NBA where you have a bit more time:

    Milwaukee vs Houston - Under 227.5 -107

  9. #33669
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Results so far for this weekend's NCAAF:

    Friday
    UAB +103 at Western Kentucky - LOSS
    UAB at Western Kentucky - Over 58.5 - LOSS


    Saturday
    North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5 - LOSS
    Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57 - LOSS
    Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5 - WIN
    Bowling Green +205 at Central Michigan - WIN
    UL Monroe +210 at Army - LOSS
    Baylor -10 vs Kansas - WIN
    LSU -2.5 vs Ole Miss - WIN
    Texas at Oklahoma State - Under 60 - LOSS

    Going:
    Vanderbilt +14 -105 at Missouri - LIKELY WIN

    Remaining:
    Kansas State +145 at TCU
    Louisville -2.5 vs Pittsburgh

    Sadly I didn't bet LSU, and of course they blew out the 2nd half like Daly predicted.

    Vanderbilt redeemed themselves. They could even win OUTRIGHT. Bowling Green was like a double win because it was +205.

    Vandy is pretty much a lock now for +14, so I'll count it. That leaves me at 5-6 today, but about even because of the +205. However, I didn't bet LSU, so moneywise that leaves me a unit down, plus the two I lost yesterday.

    Suffice to say that I want to see Louisville and K State hit for me.

  10. #33670
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Geez my NBA under on Boston is doing horribly. 79 points in 14 minutes. I hate when an under is pretty much a lock to lose in the early second period.

  11. #33671
    Platinum ftpjesus's Avatar
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    As much as I despise the Cheatstros anybody know if theres a prop out there for them to run the playoffs undefeated at this point??

  12. #33672
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Here's one more NBA where you have a bit more time:

    Milwaukee vs Houston - Under 227.5 -107
    I bet the over in this. Looked like it wasn't going to hit, but 9 points in the last 2 minutes of garbage time (where often there is 0 points scored) squeaked it through.

    Knock on wood, NBA going good this year. 3-0 in props (including Donovan Mitchell O6.5 assists today that hit in the 2nd Q) and up small in totals/sides too.

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    WTF.

    I have Washington money line. They are up 28-21 with 2:00 minutes left on 3rd down and they complete a first down to ice the game. However, the refs call a phantom holding call. The announcers review the play and there is nothing that even looks close to holding. The refs completely just made it up to keep the game going. Super shady. Of course it is 11 PM PST with 2 garbage teams where no-one who isn't betting the game is even watching it, which is exactly when you could probably as a referee get away with some corrupt shit.

    LOL. LOL. LOL.

    Cal gets the ball back after the fake holding call on Washington and then on 1st down they throw an interception, but the refs call a phantom defensive holding. This is just complete rig gage. Refs aren't even pretending anymore.

    Edit: Cal offense sucks and they cant score anyways, but man that was way more stressful than it should have been.

  14. #33674
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lousy weekend so far


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    Diamond Pro Zap_the_Fractions_Giraffe's Avatar
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    shitting up this forum but idc because been here since 06 and i am allowed to


  16. #33676
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's my NFL wagers for this lovely Sunday.

    Seattle +195 at Chargers
    Jacksonville -3 -120 vs Giants
    Carolina vs Tampa Bay - Under 39
    Denver vs Jets - Under 37

  17. #33677
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Most lop sided play of the day is Ole Miss.

    They were up 17-3 and LSU fought back to tie before going into half down 17-14

    Vegas really really needs LSU…..id never tell anyone to bet money they dont have but if you betting games this afternoon id find a few bucks for a 2h bet.
    There has quite literally been no better indicator than this.

    Ucla over Utah made no sense and was 90% money
    Lsu over Ole Miss made no sense and wss 90% money
    Tenn +7 over Bama made no sense and was 85% money

    Its like one high profile game a week the boys behind the counter say “we going to fuck the public hard on this one game for starters” and its Semi obvious if you stop to look at it

  18. #33678
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Some sharp friends were on over 41.5 colts and over 44.5 fins

    Oddly enough no line move on either

  19. #33679
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
    Oct 23 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 50998
    Point Spread: CIN Bengals -1.0 @ -295
    ATL Falcons @ CIN Bengals
    Point Spread: DAL Cowboys -2.0 @ -275
    DET Lions @ DAL Cowboys
    Odds:
    -121


    Single @
    -108
    Open
    Oct 23 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 5099826
    Point Spread: CLE Cavaliers -3.5
    WAS Wizards @ CLE Cavaliers

    For guys who like props. Keep an eye on Kuzma. I’ve been looking at more props lately, but my book has a tendency to put them up late so I don’t have time to post them.

    My book doesn’t have player props for this game up yet, but for whatever reason, Kuzma had 3 big games against the Cavs out of 4 meetings last year. I recall him being a pain in the ass. Cavs have a tendency to clog up the middle and Kyle floats on the perimeter on offense. Plays more like a SF on offense than typical PF. Cavs have great big men and smaller perimeter defenders and he often ends up with someone guarding him giving up 4 inches if the Cavs only have one big on the floor

    His 3 big games were 22 points -6/9 from 3 and 5 rebounds
    27 points+rebounds

    25 points and 10 rebounds


    34 points/13 rebounds 8/11 from 3

    The fourth meeting the Cavs kind of blew them out early and their starters only played like 20 minutes each.

    I might hedge a little on him as he’s the guy most likely on the wiz to go off as there won’t be much at the rim and they generally defend Beal well. Small sample, but in his two games this year since adding Porzingis, he’s averaging more points and shots. He’s 24/9.5 rebounds and has attempted 8 and 10 3s in first two games. I caught a points/rebounds prop on him that second night against the Bulls at 24 and he easily covered it with 32 total.

    He’s going to get a lot of open looks with teams focusing on Beal and Porzingas. There might be some continued value there until books adjust.

     
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      country978: nice one with cin/dal
    Last edited by BCR; 10-23-2022 at 08:49 AM.

  20. #33680
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Most lop sided play of the day is Ole Miss.

    They were up 17-3 and LSU fought back to tie before going into half down 17-14

    Vegas really really needs LSU…..id never tell anyone to bet money they dont have but if you betting games this afternoon id find a few bucks for a 2h bet.
    There has quite literally been no better indicator than this.

    Ucla over Utah made no sense and was 90% money
    Lsu over Ole Miss made no sense and wss 90% money
    Tenn +7 over Bama made no sense and was 85% money

    Its like one high profile game a week the boys behind the counter say “we going to fuck the public hard on this one game for starters” and its Semi obvious if you stop to look at it

    The 2 most lopsided money games today are Bucs and Seahawks. So based on recent trends Panthers and Chargers are very +EV. Go for it Druff. Personally, I just cant pull the trigger.

     
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      Tellafriend: lac ftw

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