*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Kalam]

Just took the worst NBA beat. So sickening.

I had O226 in the Denver game, and the game was cruising along nicely. Utah was winning the whole way, but game was competitive. Game was going over the whole way. Then Denver went the last 4 minutes of the game and didn't score a single point, got blown out and the over missed by 1 point. So fucking brutal. How does an NBA team not score 1 point in 4 minutes? It is insane. So so brutal. I feel sick. Here is their possessions in the last 4 minutes:

Out of bounds turnover
Missed 26 foot 3 pointer
Missed layup
Missed 25 foot 3 pointer
Offensive foul turnover
Missed 15 foot jumper
Out of bounds turnover
Missed layup
Missed 7 foot jumper

--The end. I lose again.

[Dan Druff]

Just took the worst NBA beat. So sickening.

I had O226 in the Denver game, and the game was cruising along nicely. Utah was winning the whole way, but game was competitive. Game was going over the whole way. Then Denver went the last 4 minutes of the game and didn't score a single point, got blown out and the over missed by 1 point. So fucking brutal. How does an NBA team not score 1 point in 4 minutes? It is insane. So so brutal. I feel sick. Here is their possessions in the last 4 minutes:

Out of bounds turnover
Missed 26 foot 3 pointer
Missed layup
Missed 25 foot 3 pointer
Offensive foul turnover
Missed 15 foot jumper
Out of bounds turnover
Missed layup
Missed 7 foot jumper

--The end. I lose again.

I've had ones like that. I've also had the under which is covering by 20 with one minute left, and then all the fouling bullshit makes me lose. That's arguably even more painful, because you watch it happening in slow motion.

[Daly]

TNT NCAA - ODDS TO WIN THE HEISMAN TROPHY
[125331] CADE KLUBNIK +7000 25.00 USD / 1750.00 USD

Obviously Will Anderson is by main pick - put out there at 40-1 and he’s fourth fav at 10-1

Like J Gibbs. Put that out at 35-1 and he’s also at 10-1

The one I realistically like is J-S-N at 35-1 currently.

But if we looking for long shots we are one press release away from Cade, the #1 HS QB btw, taking the job away from DJU and leading clemson to the playoffs….. this is a fairly realistic line and this can be found at 100-1

Another longshot is M Cunningham. He’s the same type of QB as L Jackason was and this team could surprise this year. 75-1 is worth a stab.

I’m not as high on Tennessee as some others but hooker may put up gigantic numbers - enough to justify 50-1 at the current offer

Well I said what i said.

That said im a broken leg away from having the front runner at 50-1. Hooker has looked great and thebwin vs Bama helped.

[Dan Druff]

Today has a few NCAAF games. I have one pick:

UAB +103 at Western Kentucky (+1.5 -110 ok)

[Dan Druff]

And here's some Saturday NCAAF picks for you:

Kansas State +145 at TCU (+3.5 ok)
Louisville -2.5 vs Pittsburgh
Vanderbilt +14 -105 at Missouri
LSU -2.5 vs Ole Miss
Bowling Green +205 at Central Michigan (+6.5 ok)
UL Monroe +210 at Army (+6.5 ok)
Baylor -10 vs Kansas

[Dan Druff]

Totals for Friday:

UAB at Western Kentucky - Over 58.5


And some totals for Saturday:

North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5
Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57
Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5

[Dan Druff]

Here's some NBA for the early games. Might have more in a bit.

New Orleans at Charlotte - Under 226.5
San Antonio +2 vs Indiana

[Dan Druff]

Picks for the 4:35pm PT games and later:

Boston at Miami - Over 221
Phoenix at Portland - Under 224

[Dan Druff]

Not going all that hot toady.

UAB is crapping the bed, and hasn't scored since the early 2nd. Now we're in the final 5 minutes, and they trail by 3. Over is already fucked, and I will get a double loss unless they come back.

New Orleans / Charlotte under bet went way over, after a lot of scoring in the second half.

Boston/Miami just needed 56 to cover the over 221 in the 4th, but they fell 6 points short.

San Antonio almost blew a late 21 point lead (!!), and needed to fade a last-second three pointer in order to win. But they did pull it out.

Phoenix/Portland is fairly low scoring so far (88 after 23 minutes of play), so that one is in good shape.


Looking like 2-2 in the NBA and 0-2 in NCAAF.

[Dan Druff]

Took 3 betting days to fuck a great under with OT

[Dan Druff]

Ended up 1-2-1 in NBA, in what should have been 2-2, but I actually almost went 1-3, but Phoenix's attempt to make 2 free throws (down 2) with 1 second left, was met with a missed first one, meaning they had to intentionally miss the second in order to have a shot at a rebound and putback. When that failed, it ended up 224 points exactly. But this was in OT, meaning it was a good under pick which got fucked over.

The other 3 games I already described above.

Both UAB related picks lost. Boy that team was shit after the early 2nd.

[Dan Druff]

Regarding my remaining NCAAF bets, I haven't actually fired LSU yet. I made it as a pick, and it will stand either way regarding my record, but I am not personally betting it now. I've changed my mind. So if you haven't bet it yet, I no longer recommend it.

[Dan Druff]

Add this total pick to today, as well:

Texas at Oklahoma State - Under 60

[Daly]

Totals for Friday:

UAB at Western Kentucky - Over 58.5


And some totals for Saturday:

North Texas at UTSA - Over 72.5
Toledo at Buffalo - Under 57
Boston College at Wake Forest - Under 60.5

“The fellas” were all over the under in the UAB game. They bet it early in the week at 58. They rebet it yesterday at 60.

Then for the first time in forever WKU comes out and runs the ball 66% of the time.

The fellas don't always win, but they always have a angle.

[Michael Jackson]

Daly, kurt is even money vs cam davis.. Hes been gold last 2 days, we gotta keep going right?

[Daly]

Games with Important numbers

K State +4
Cinci -3
Toledo -7
Toledo U58
Rutgers -3
Wyoming -3.5

[Daly]

Daly, kurt is even money vs cam davis.. Hes been gold last 2 days, we gotta keep going right?

Needless to say I'm pulling for him. Dont think its a “free money” situation.

[BCR]

Don’t love any of these early games. Only one bet, and it’s one of my goofy parlays where I game the spreads. Druff is the other way on Baylor, hopefully it falls 14 and we both scoop.


Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
Oct 22 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5094683
Point Spread: Kent State -13.0 @ -143
Akron @ Kent State
Point Spread: Kansas +16.0 @ -190
Kansas @ Baylor
Odds:
+160

[Dan Druff]

I see Daly & I both have K State and the Toledo under.

Good company.

Baylor about to cover in my ploppy -10 play. LA Monroe about to lose against Army. Bowling Green was up 17-3 at the half, but now it's 17-10 and they're not playing well. I really want this one.

[BCR]

I see Daly & I both have K State and the Toledo under.

Good company.

Baylor about to cover in my ploppy -10 play. LA Monroe about to lose against Army. Bowling Green was up 17-3 at the half, but now it's 17-10 and they're not playing well. I really want this one.

That game fell perfectly for both our bets and I’m still going to lose because Kent State’s qb warmed up and decided not to play and I got a backup with 3 pass attempts.