Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #33561
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10157
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I can’t recall a Saturday where I like almost nothing. I’m sure I’ll bet shit, but nothing heavy and all I have are leans. Think maybe Stanford again. A straight up team like Notre Dame plays into their style better. They’ll lose, but around 17 seems a bit high. That ND team is still not good. Can’t figure out why Kansas-Oklahoma game is moving towards Oklahoma beyond tradition. By all available data, Kansas is better and shouldn’t be moving towards 10.
    There seems to be skepticism that they can win without Jalon Daniels.

    This looks like a trap line though. All the ploppies thinking they're being clever getting points with the "better" team, but the casinos keep moving the line to make Oklahoma more of a favorite. I was already looking at this one, and now I'm going to go with Oklahoma for exactly that reason.

    Oklahoma -9 -105 vs Kansas

  2. #33562
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10157
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Also:

    Fresno State vs San Jose State - Under 47

  3. #33563
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10157
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Let's throw another Utah-related game out there:

    Colorado State vs Utah State - Under 46

     
    Comments
      
      country978: druff wins again!

  4. #33564
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I can’t recall a Saturday where I like almost nothing. I’m sure I’ll bet shit, but nothing heavy and all I have are leans. Think maybe Stanford again. A straight up team like Notre Dame plays into their style better. They’ll lose, but around 17 seems a bit high. That ND team is still not good. Can’t figure out why Kansas-Oklahoma game is moving towards Oklahoma beyond tradition. By all available data, Kansas is better and shouldn’t be moving towards 10.
    There seems to be skepticism that they can win without Jalon Daniels.

    This looks like a trap line though. All the ploppies thinking they're being clever getting points with the "better" team, but the casinos keep moving the line to make Oklahoma more of a favorite. I was already looking at this one, and now I'm going to go with Oklahoma for exactly that reason.

    Oklahoma -9 -105 vs Kansas
    Yeah. Oklahoma getting their QB back, and Kansas lost theirs. A lot of sharp money on Oklahoma driving line up.

  5. #33565
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I can’t recall a Saturday where I like almost nothing. I’m sure I’ll bet shit, but nothing heavy and all I have are leans. Think maybe Stanford again. A straight up team like Notre Dame plays into their style better. They’ll lose, but around 17 seems a bit high. That ND team is still not good. Can’t figure out why Kansas-Oklahoma game is moving towards Oklahoma beyond tradition. By all available data, Kansas is better and shouldn’t be moving towards 10.
    I have watched way too many Stanford games this year, because they tend to be on at night when not much else on. They are really slow on defense. Most of their secondary is white, which is all you really need to say. I really dunno if Notre Dame has the personnel to exploit this. Oregon did, and it was a complete joke, although Stanford scored a bunch in garbage time to make the game look more respectable like they have been doing all season (in the 3 games they got blown out they scored 14+ points in the 4th Q). I kinda like Stanford and the over.

  6. #33566
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    68242481
    I took a bunch of square dogs, so will probably be a bad week. It is what it is.

    Oklahoma/Wisconsin teaser
    Alabama/N Texas teaser
    Middle Tenn St. +8
    Georgia South +12.5
    Duke +7
    TCU -4
    Toledo/Wisconsin teaser
    South Miss -4.5
    Memphis/East Car O58
    Nebraska +14
    Stanford/ND O53
    Wash St +4
    USC +3.5
    Old Dom +12.5
    Illinois +6.5
    Clemson ML -170
    Penn St +7

  7. #33567
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2034
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,934
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I can’t recall a Saturday where I like almost nothing. I’m sure I’ll bet shit, but nothing heavy and all I have are leans. Think maybe Stanford again. A straight up team like Notre Dame plays into their style better. They’ll lose, but around 17 seems a bit high. That ND team is still not good. Can’t figure out why Kansas-Oklahoma game is moving towards Oklahoma beyond tradition. By all available data, Kansas is better and shouldn’t be moving towards 10.
    I have watched way too many Stanford games this year, because they tend to be on at night when not much else on. They are really slow on defense. Most of their secondary is white, which is all you really need to say. I really dunno if Notre Dame has the personnel to exploit this. Oregon did, and it was a complete joke, although Stanford scored a bunch in garbage time to make the game look more respectable like they have been doing all season (in the 3 games they got blown out they scored 14+ points in the 4th Q). I kinda like Stanford and the over.
    They don’t have the personnel to truly exploit it. They’ll win, but idk about by 17. I’ve watched most of Stanford games also being a degenerate. I bet against them in Washington and took the points last week. This line just feels 4 points too high imo. More 11 or 12 type game.

    Those Oregon State teams have way more speed than ND does at the skill positions. I’ve been stunned at how little talent ND has for ND. They’re strength is their line, but it’s been below expectation. BYU is truly horribly coached. I lost a lot on them last week and their coach is a full blown retard. I put them on my banned list. Plus ND can’t put a team away coupled with Stanford’s propensity to score late feels like a back door cover at worst.

    ND’s defense is pretty legit and I think Stanford will go max protect and score enough, but want to think on it.

    I decided against going to Guardians tonight so I’m sure I’ll bet a lot throughout day. Just didn’t feel like dealing with the cold and the hotel prices were off the hook for Cleveland and Im never driving home from late game. Would have been a couple grand night between tickets and hotel to freeze my balls off.

    All I have atm is Ole Miss -16.5. Very low end bet. Very public bet where line has moved from 14. Not a game I love to bet on. I just think they might finally put this Auburn coach out of his misery as they’re better on both sides of the ball.

    I like your Illinois bet. That’s been on my radar. I think it’s possible they might be able to just jam it down Minny’s throat. That’s game I’d either buy the hook at 7 or bet the ML.
    Last edited by BCR; 10-15-2022 at 05:20 AM.

  8. #33568
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2034
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,934
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    There seems to be skepticism that they can win without Jalon Daniels.

    This looks like a trap line though. All the ploppies thinking they're being clever getting points with the "better" team, but the casinos keep moving the line to make Oklahoma more of a favorite. I was already looking at this one, and now I'm going to go with Oklahoma for exactly that reason.

    Oklahoma -9 -105 vs Kansas
    Yeah. Oklahoma getting their QB back, and Kansas lost theirs. A lot of sharp money on Oklahoma driving line up.
    I can’t get a feel for this game. Tbh I’d bet Kansas or nothing just because of the enormous coaching disparity between the two. That backup looked fantastic when he came in, but give teams a week of film and it’s often different. The sharps may be right, but I’m not betting against that Kansas coach. As you wade more into CFB, you’re going to find yourself betting for, against, and avoiding certain coaches more than the NFL. NFL is player driven. Coaches in college have way more influence in outcomes and just the entire trajectory of programs. I’ll probably stay away, so I hope this hits for you.

  9. #33569
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I’ve been stunned at how little talent ND has for ND. They’re strength is their line, but it’s been below expectation.
    He had clearly worn out his welcome and ND was holding the door open for him on the way out, but the fact Kelley was so eager to jump ship for a rebuilding LSU program tells you what he thought of their current talent.

    I guess the new coach is a great recruiter, so they will theoretically have talent in a couple years. Although it is not clear he will have the coaching acumen to take advantage of talent.

  10. #33570
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
    Reputation
    2034
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,934
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I’ve been stunned at how little talent ND has for ND. They’re strength is their line, but it’s been below expectation.
    He had clearly worn out his welcome and ND was holding the door open for him on the way out, but the fact Kelley was so eager to jump ship for a rebuilding LSU program tells you what he thought of their current talent.

    I guess the new coach is a great recruiter, so they will theoretically have talent in a couple years. Although it is not clear he will have the coaching acumen to take advantage of talent.
    It’s the lack of being serious NIL players already showing up. These programs get the same type of kids. Affluent white kid linemen and TE’s as far as high rated talent. Obviously ND has the cache to get a few more than Stanford, but if you look at the classes of Stanford up until Covid, they were top 20 every year. They shouldn’t be winless against BCS teams for a year. Those good classes are his upper classmen.

    Shaw is just what he is. Jury still out on Marcus. I’m obviously really familiar with him forever being an Ohio kid and he’s coached up here at Kent and was a Buckeye assistant. I like his defensive gameplans, but idk if he has the talent. I just one of watch them and think they are incredibly average talent wise for a program like ND.

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Called it

  11. #33571
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Well, a 2 pt conversion was finally made. Of course it was against me, as I have Penn St. +7 and Michigan made it to extend the lead to 7. Good stuff.

  12. #33572
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10157
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Didn't expect to win the Oklahoma one if Kansas scored 42, but here we are.

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Druff football sorcery

  13. #33573
    Platinum
    Reputation
    414
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    3,290
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Utah over USC

    Next week, A&M vs SC…take the under…A&M offense is straight shit.

  14. #33574
    Gold
    Reputation
    373
    Join Date
    Apr 2021
    Posts
    1,666
    Load Metric
    68242481
    The Alabama/Tennessee game is the college game of the year so far!

  15. #33575
    Platinum
    Reputation
    414
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    3,290
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by country978 View Post
    The Alabama/Tennessee game is the college game of the year so far!
    Ugly…but it went through!

     
    Comments
      
      country978: I loved the scene on the field after the game!!

  16. #33576
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10157
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by Texter View Post
    Utah over USC

    Next week, A&M vs SC…take the under…A&M offense is straight shit.
    Yeah I have Utah -3.5. See previous page.

    So far not good.

    Hoping my FSU +170 comes through. Clemson is tough. 14-14 right now.

  17. #33577
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4320
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,211
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Nice call Stanford BCR. White boi football

  18. #33578
    Gold
    Reputation
    373
    Join Date
    Apr 2021
    Posts
    1,666
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Texter View Post
    Utah over USC

    Next week, A&M vs SC…take the under…A&M offense is straight shit.
    Yeah I have Utah -3.5. See previous page.

    So far not good.

    Hoping my FSU +170 comes through. Clemson is tough. 14-14 right now.
    19 seconds into the 2nd half Clemson up by 3 scores. If FSU doesn't put up a score here I'm calling it a night and leaving the Seminoles for dead.

    edit: fsu turnover on fake punt. Goodnight y'all.

  19. #33579
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Brutal day. Had way too much in teasers tied to Alabama and Wisconsin winning. And Wisconsin lost in OT and I am sure we all saw what happened to Alabama. So brutal.

  20. #33580
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10157
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68242481
    Wish Utah didn't go for that 2-pointer which made my bet impossible to win either way.

    Fresno game has only 3 points so likely 3-2 day. Blah.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 20 users browsing this thread. (1 members and 19 guests)

  1. DrPeters

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 03:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 10:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 08:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 10:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 07:36 PM

Tags for this Thread