That idiot turned my +171 parlay into a straight bet -130 win. Turned my 3 team +277 into a 3 team +145 all over some two pointer he was idiotic to go for.Originally Posted by BCR
That idiot turned my +171 parlay into a straight bet -130 win. Turned my 3 team +277 into a 3 team +145 all over some two pointer he was idiotic to go for.
I had Seahawks and Browns too. So much fail for both of these teams to not cover. Glad to know my perfect streak of being on the wrong end of 2 point conversion tries is intact. On the wrong end of 2 two point conversions in this game and don’t cover by 1 point.Browns actually got the ball back and got it to the 35. But they couldn't complete 2 passes, and missed the FG.
Go Seahawks
I also doubled down on Lions 2nd half. So much fail. They went 0-6 on 4th down, almost all of them deep in Patriots territory.
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Open
Oct 9 • 2022
Ticket ID: 505120
Point Spread: BAL Ravens -3.0
CIN Bengals @ BAL Ravens
Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
Oct 9 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5051
Moneyline: SD Padres @ +125
SD Padres @ NY Mets
Moneyline: BAL Ravens @ -159
CIN Bengals @ BAL Ravens
Odds:
+267
I feel moderately strong on Ravens winning tonight. View the Padres-Mets as a flip. Could argue either side. Musgrove pitching better of late. Mets at home. Didn’t like the way Mets pitched looked against Braves when his team gave him a lead and he choked it away. Made me question if he’s ready for this.
Bet it because I like the value if they happen to be on right side of the flip.
Browns actually got the ball back and got it to the 35. But they couldn't complete 2 passes, and missed the FG.
Go Seahawks
You/we got Verm’d.
Well, this wasn't a good day, nor was yesterday. 0-2. Both were over 50% to win at some point late in the game, so the picks themselves weren't awful, but it just didn't work out.
I was considering a few other picks and those would've gone 2-1: Atlanta +10 (win), New England -3.5 (easy win), Philadelphia -5.5 (loss)
But whatever.
I’m so irritated I didn’t bet the Ravens ML on non-parlay wager. Would have been a big night instead of slightly profitable.
Weird thing is when I go across border to bet game, it’s only a few minutes away, but in middle of nowhere. I struggle to get a signal. I have to pull into big school complex parking lot.
Yesterday morning I was sitting there and a state cop pulled in and pulled up next to me. I just rolled down the window and made a joke about increasing the PA tax base. He didn’t seem to grasp the whole betting app concept, but I said I’ll be out of here in a minute and he nodded. Typical bald douche cop type.
It’s not like school is in session. Not a soul around. So when I went back for evening games, I kind of knew I wanted the parlay but rushed the other bet and just took the -3 even though I’d normally bet the ML in a spot like that where I need the one team to win or both wagers are shot. I was thinking I don’t want to be the middle-aged white guy hanging around the school too much.
I do a lot of -2’s also, which would have been better and at least pushed.
I had a good weekend, but the two games I liked best, BYU in Vegas and the Ravens were highly disappointing. My just gut feel bets were dead on. At least the Ravens won for the parlay.
I have put BYU on the banned list. Their coach is not a smart man. Just horrible in game decision maker.
Considering it seemed a bad weekend for most, I guess I’ll take a moderate win. Just a few points from being a fantastic weekend .
Gonna sit today out. Not much opinion on tonight's game, either spread or total-wise.
GL to those who bet
I’m with all the other squares sitting on KC -7.
These fucking zebras are ruining this league
https://twitter.com/nfl_memes/status/1579647417192173568
That was a great play to be totally ruined by the ridiculous penalty, basically illegal to tackle the QB….NFL is awful.
These fucking retarded two point conversions are the absolute worst. They need to score and get 2 pointer. 2 pointer is a 50/50 shot even if they score. These guys have went full retard
Two point conversions that have no mathematical basis have cost me a thousand dollars this weekend
Yes it’s a joke going for 2 in that spot, I have parlay -7 O 51 1/2
-Allergic to the struggle
Well we need a miracle now. Someone to break one and not just get a few first downs. These guys with their two pointers make me laugh. Announcers agreeing with it, like there is 3 seconds left. Even if you make it, Mahomes is 90% to drive down the field and get in FG range.Yes it’s a joke going for 2 in that spot, I have parlay -7 O 51 1/2
This one is landing on 1 just to make sure to fuck all the teasers also
Wtf. I have raiders +7.5. First they blow a 17 point lead. It is KC at home, so disappointing but not too surprising. But late in the 4th they score what would be the tying TD with 4 or so minutes left and they go for 2 and fail. What is going on here? How do these teams keep going for 2 in retarded spots and never get it?
This is like the 5th time in the last week this has happened. This is insane. The only time the team converted it cost me a cover (new orleans).
Seriously, what is McDaniel doing. Going for 2 there just seems like bad football. Especially considering the high unlikelihood they actually get it.
I would say closer to 20% chance of conversion. I am not even being facetious. No way 2 point conversions are close to 50% this year.
The way this game is going KC punting at midfield seems like bad decision. What has Reid seen this game to make him assume they can get a stop here?m
Edit: NM. Lol raiders. Defensive Holding call in a 4th and 14 FG attempt and retarded 2 point attempt decides the game. Horrible.
Last edited by Kalam; 10-10-2022 at 07:28 PM.
Circling back to that defensive holding call on the FG attempt; I watch 10+ hours of football/weekend for 20 years and have never seen that call ever. Not one single fucking time. Maybe it is technically a rule, but I am sure whatever that guy did happens all the time, so seems like an interesting decision to call that penalty out of the blue in such a giant leverage spot.
Between the referees and the coaches, I really dont know what the fuck is going on anymore. I like to bet underdogs, but it is hard when these underdog coaches are calling such bizarre -EV plays all the time and refs are randomly causing huge EV shifts with capricious calls.
This trend in football of going for 2 when it makes no sense is really screwing us bettors, Think if LV kicks extra point game is 30-30 KC gets the ball back with 3-4 minutes left and likely drives the field for a touchdown. As played they get the ball with 1 point lead and kill the clock to screw everyone, Teasers and allWell we need a miracle now. Someone to break one and not just get a few first downs. These guys with their two pointers make me laugh. Announcers agreeing with it, like there is 3 seconds left. Even if you make it, Mahomes is 90% to drive down the field and get in FG range.
-Allergic to the struggle
ZOZO championship - Morrikawa +1600
You may have to take +1400 at this point. I’ll look around. Betonline opened him at 16 he quickly moved to 14. I was able to get a nickel on MGM & Cesars but they moved him shortly after I bet him. Ball striking was spot on in Presidents’s cup. Nerves are my concern. I think being in Japan will help him. He let me down last year but he’s still is one of the top iron players in the world. Putter is an issue, slower greens out there should help that a bit.
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