*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

All comes down to Stanford whether I have a winning day.

Why they're still playing at 11:07 PT is beyond me.

Holllllllllld

[Kalam]

LOL.

I had Oregon St. money line (as part of a teaser) and over for the game.

Oregon St. is down 14 and scores a TD at very beginning of the 4th and goes for 2 for no good reason and fails. Then they score again and go for 2 again and fail again.

So instead of being tied 24-24 with game likely to go over, and a 50/50 chance to win, Oregon St. is likely to lose and game unlikely to go over.

It really is amazing how these completely inept college coaches always go for 2 in bad situations and running shity plays that have no chance of succeeding.

[Dan Druff]

LOL.

I had Oregon St. money line (as part of a teaser) and over for the game.

Oregon St. is down 14 and scores a TD at very beginning of the 4th and goes for 2 for no good reason and fails. Then they score again and go for 2 again and fail again.

So instead of being tied 24-24 with game likely to go over, and a 50/50 chance to win, Oregon St. is likely to lose and game unlikely to go over.

It really is amazing how these completely inept college coaches always go for 2 in bad situations and running shity plays that have no chance of succeeding.

Glad you posted this. I didn't understand that first two point conversion attempt. Dumb.

Not that I'm complaining. You have a shot though because Stanford is playing like crap at the end here.

[Dan Druff]

Oregon State has 57 seconds to Hail Mary it to a touchdown.

[Dan Druff]

OMG

Those fuckers did it.

Quick 20 yd gain and then a 56 yarder to win it.

Unbelievable. +170 down the drain

Congrats Kalam.

[Kalam]

And Oregon St. scores a miracle TD with 10 seconds left in game. Never in doubt.

[Dan Druff]

That was a bad fucking beat.

I end up 3-5-1

Tied Iowa state, won USC under, Navy, and So Carolina (+175).

Lost 1.45 units. Had I won this Stanford, I would've won 1.25 units today.

Nothing else besides Iowa St and Stanford were close.

[Kalam]

OMG

Those fuckers did it.

Quick 20 yd gain and then a 56 yarder to win it.

Unbelievable. +170 down the drain

Congrats Kalam.

Yeah. Anyone who had Stanford ML or the under that would have been brutal. I of course still lost today so Pyrrhic victory, but we take what we can get.

[BCR]

OMG

Those fuckers did it.

Quick 20 yd gain and then a 56 yarder to win it.

Unbelievable. +170 down the drain

Congrats Kalam.

Yeah. Anyone who had Stanford ML or the under that would have been brutal. I of course still lost today so Pyrrhic victory, but we take what we can get.

David Shaw, Stanford coach, does idiotic shit pretty regularly like get too conservative and allows teams to get back into games. Harbaugh built a decent program uo there and he’s been fucking it up ever since.

I bet this also. I thought about ML also as I thought Stanford was due, and those pacific northwest teams play like shit on the road, then thought I better take the 4.5 because Shaw will likely fuck it up because he’s a legit retard. I always feel bad for his kids because among football players, Stanford isn’t like some schools that let just anyone in. Some of the smartest kids in the country coached by a retard. I didn’t even watch it, so idk if he went into a shell, but he usually does. I just bet it and then went to bed



Single @
-109
Won
Oct 8 • 2022
Ticket ID: 504716
Point Spread: Stanford +4.5
Oregon State @ Stanford

[BCR]

I don’t love this one but only bet I have so far. I keep thinking how does it lose? They usually do when I feel that way.

Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
Oct 8 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5047128034
Point Spread: GB Packers -2.0 @ -286
NY Giants vs GB Packers
Point Spread: MIN Vikings -2.0 @ -295
CHI Bears @ MIN Vikings
Odds:
-125

[BCR]

I don’t love anything this weekend, so I’m just taking a shot on some gut feels.


Feel like TB defense might abuse MM after getting eviscerated by Mahomes. Belichick v Lions and I think Zappe is an upgrade. Carolina is a mess.



Parlay (2 Picks)0 of 2 settled
Oct 9 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5048092405
Point Spread: TB Buccaneers -6.0 @ -190
ATL Falcons @ TB Buccaneers
Point Spread: NE Patriots -2.5 @ -130
DET Lions @ NE Patriots
Odds:
+171



Parlay (3 Picks)0 of 3 settled
Oct 9 • 2022
Ticket ID: 5048057802
Point Spread: TB Buccaneers -6.0 @ -190
ATL Falcons @ TB Buccaneers
Point Spread: NE Patriots -2.5 @ -130
DET Lions @ NE Patriots
Moneyline: SF 49ers @ -275
SF 49ers @ CAR Panthers
Odds:
+271

[DJ_Chaps]

TODAYS PROLINE

MIAMI -3.5 (BASICALLY PROLINE ml SINCE THEY GOTTA WIN BY 4)
TENN -1
SF/CAR u40
ARIZONA +5.5
DETROIT ML


PAYS 30/1

[Kalam]

Yeah. Anyone who had Stanford ML or the under that would have been brutal. I of course still lost today so Pyrrhic victory, but we take what we can get.

David Shaw, Stanford coach, does idiotic shit pretty regularly like get too conservative and allows teams to get back into games. Harbaugh built a decent program uo there and he’s been fucking it up ever since.

I bet this also. I thought about ML also as I thought Stanford was due, and those pacific northwest teams play like shit on the road, then thought I better take the 4.5 because Shaw will likely fuck it up because he’s a legit retard. I always feel bad for his kids because among football players, Stanford isn’t like some schools that let just anyone in. Some of the smartest kids in the country coached by a retard. I didn’t even watch it, so idk if he went into a shell, but he usually does. I just bet it and then went to bed



Single @
-109
Won
Oct 8 • 2022
Ticket ID: 504716
Point Spread: Stanford +4.5
Oregon State @ Stanford

So you didn't stay up to 3 AM to watch? Nothing too egregious. Pretty typical spot. Stanford was up 2 points in FG range with about 1 minute left. So just need one first down to ice game. On 3rd and 3 he brings in his running QB, and it is a QB read option (except I dont think there was any option, I think the QB was always going to keep it) and the defense sells out on the QB who keeps the ball and gets stuffed behind the line of scrimmage. Stanford kicks a FG, goes up 5. Nick Saban probably does the same thing in that spot (with a much better defense to back him up of course).

And Oregon St. scores a game winning TD drive in 1 minute with no timeouts which is crazy, but in CFB stuff like this happens. Less crazy than the Houston ending.

Also, to your Stanford point; it is pretty much impossible to transfer to Stanford through the portal (which you need now to compete), so I suspect the good stretch that Stanford has had under Harbaugh and Shaw has come to an end, and they will go back to being a bad team like they were pre Harbaugh.

Also, I suspect the extreme progressive politics of the Bay Area has hurt Stanford and Cal recruiting the last couple years. I am pretty sure both those schools still have mask mandates, as do many of the local businesses. I dont know if it has happened yet, but Cal was talking about flu vaccine mandates and mandatory masking for students that dont comply. What the fuck college kid wants to deal with that level of Covid hysteria in 2022? And this is all on top of all the Bay Area downtown areas turning into giant homeless camps/open air drug markets.

[Kalam]

Wow. Completely forgot about London game. Packers up 17-3 so looks like about how one would expect it to go. Made a lot of these bets early in week so lines might have moved. So far:

Cowboys +5.5
Lions +3
Bucs -2/Vikings -1 tease
Jags -1/Pack -2 tease
Raiders +7.5
Sewhawks +6
Ravens/Chiefs O47.5
Jets +3.5
Browns +1
Cards +5

Titans -3 +100 (WTF happened here. I see the line is pickem now. A line moving from 3 to pickem in the NFL with no breaking QB news is pretty insane IMO. I still like Titans, but obviously I would have much rather had pickem than -3.

[Tellafriend]

[QUOTE=Kalam;1058613

Titans -3 +100 (WTF happened here. I see the line is pickem now. A line moving from 3 to pickem in the NFL with no breaking QB news is pretty insane IMO. I still like Titans, but obviously I would have much rather had pickem than -3.[/QUOTE]



yeah, that is some serious reverse line movement as the public is all over Tenn. i hate it b/c i also like Tenn. I couldn't be Wash, so too Tenn at pk. GL



i'm feeling better about my bets today now. the only other game i'm also on with you is Cle at +1.5; so should be a good day

[BCR]

I sure hope the packers don’t go for two if they score

Fuck. What I deserve for betting that shit London game

[Daly]

I sure hope the packers don’t go for two if they score

Fuck. What I deserve for betting that shit London game

Im in a cruise ship this weekend so didnt do as much research as i normally would. Fucked around and found out with a packers wong teaser.


Yesterday was a big lesson in making sure you got the right number.

Most people got Michigan -21.5 or worse. Most people got Kansas +7. Most people got Stanford Under 54.5.

People who got the right number did well. Others who said “fuck it” and settled took it in the ass or pushed.

[Dan Druff]

My NFL runbad has finally arrived.

Down 30-28, Browns have it on the 9 yard line and throw an INT with 3 min left in the game. Awful. Pretty good shot to win if that doesn't happen.

Probably going 0-2 today, unless Seattle can come back, down 31-25 in the 4th.

[BCR]

These retards going for 2 inexplicably is going to fuck me again. If I’m lucky and TB doesn’t blow a 21-0 4th qtr lead. 21-13 and Falcons go for 2 when I have -6 and the other game is won in my parlay. Now I’m sitting 21-15

[Dan Druff]

Browns actually got the ball back and got it to the 35. But they couldn't complete 2 passes, and missed the FG.




Go Seahawks