*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[4BET]

Type: Future/Prop
Product:
Sportsbook
Amount:
$xxxx
To win:
$xxxxxxx
Status:
Pending
Description:
Entertainment - Specials - Gisele Bundchen Next Boyfriend - Donald Trump Sr +100000

[Kalam]

Enjoy the game. You've really done well on your Tribe bets at the end of the season.

Decided I'm firing both NFL picks I talked about. Lines degraded a little since I posted. Should've just bet them then. Oh well.

Cleveland +110 vs Chargers (+2 ok)
Seattle +190 vs New Orleans (+5 ok)

Why bet a +2.5 40 hours before kickoff? Why not wait and see where it goes? If it goes to +3 it is a big deal, if it goes to +2 or +1.5 not a big deal at all. Asymetric risk. I kind of like Browns agains this super injured Chargers team, but definitely waiting to see what happens with the line.

[Dan Druff]

Enjoy the game. You've really done well on your Tribe bets at the end of the season.

Decided I'm firing both NFL picks I talked about. Lines degraded a little since I posted. Should've just bet them then. Oh well.

Cleveland +110 vs Chargers (+2 ok)
Seattle +190 vs New Orleans (+5 ok)

Why bet a +2.5 40 hours before kickoff? Why not wait and see where it goes? If it goes to +3 it is a big deal, if it goes to +2 or +1.5 not a big deal at all. Asymetric risk. I kind of like Browns agains this super injured Chargers team, but definitely waiting to see what happens with the line.

Because I'm betting moneyline, not spread. And it keeps going down.

[Sanlmar]

Enjoy the game. You've really done well on your Tribe bets at the end of the season.

Decided I'm firing both NFL picks I talked about. Lines degraded a little since I posted. Should've just bet them then. Oh well.

Cleveland +110 vs Chargers (+2 ok)
Seattle +190 vs New Orleans (+5 ok)

Think I just heard that the line has not mattered 51-11

[Daly]

I love utah today. You love utah today. Everyone loves utah today.

1/ Per @TS_Sportsbook's @ZachALucas on UTAH-UCLA: Utes from -3 to -3.5, then on to -4, back to -3.5. Ticket count 2/1 and money 4/1 Utah.

"Sharps and public siding with Utah. Utah is our biggest liability of the day."



I legit love utah - had this circled when it was -4 let alone -3.
Im passing but the “sharp” play here is UCLA

[Dan Druff]

Since I'm batting .900 (!!) in my first 21 NFL picks, time to take a shot with NCAAF.

First pick below. More coming soon.

I'll start with some chalk.

Florida -10.5 vs Missouri


I know, complex stuff. The home -10.5 favorite. Starting in 20 min.

[Dan Druff]

Here's a few more:

Navy +5.5 vs Tulsa
Iowa State +1 vs Kansas State (Iowa moneyline ok)
South Carolina +175 at Kentucky (+4.5 ok)

[Dan Druff]

And two Washington related totals:

USC vs Washington State - Under 64.5 (63.5 ok)
Arizona State vs Washington - Under 56 (55.5 ok)

[Dan Druff]

I am a bit annoyed that South Carolina went from +205 to +175 while I was posting this. So I edited my post to reflect that line. Sadly I didn't bet before I posted either, so I got the +175 also.

[Dan Druff]

Gonna go Kalam style and fire a few more.

Hopefully I don't go 0-9 or something. That would be embarrassing. At least Florida is up 10-0 to start.

Akron +10 at Ohio
Vanderbilt +17 vs Ole Miss
Stanford +170 vs Oregon State (+4.5 ok)

[Dan Druff]

This Florida game going south quickly. Quick 10-0 up, then they just fell apart. Latest fail is a fumble. Might be 14-10 Mizzou by the half.

My record with chalk across all sports is pretty bad.

[DJ_Chaps]

NOT BETTING RELATED BUT HOLY FUCKING SHIT AT DRAFTKINGS. B2B WEEKS A TOP NCAAF PLAYER SUDDENLY OUT WITH NO WORD ON DRAFTKINGS UNTIL AFTER LOCK.

[Dan Druff]

Today I learned that I'm better at NFL picking than NCAAF picking.

How it's going:

Florida -11 vs Missouri - Got off to a great start, then Florida shit the bed. Ended up a 7-point win for them, not enough. LOSS

Akron +10 at Ohio - Akron defense was just awful the whole way. Down 48-20 after 3, they actually had a chance to cover when they made it 48-34, but it's about to lose by 21. LOSS

Navy +5.5 vs Tulsa - Looking very good. Almost bet moneyline but chickened out. 33-14 near end of 1H. Could possibly get FG to make it 36-14 at halftime PROBABLE WIN

Vanderbilt +17 vs. Ole Miss - I was very tempted to bet moneyline for half of this, but didn't see Vandy winning outright. 20-10 Vandy after almost 2 quarters! PROBABLE WIN

Washington at Arizona St - Under 56 - Only 2 TDs so far, with 6:22 left in 2nd, but it's 10-10. Could go either way, but slightly favoring winning. TOSSUP, FAVORING WIN

Other 4 haven't started yet.

[Sanlmar]

Fading DeGrom and his blister

San Diego Padres +154 v Mets


Did you know he has a blister? No? Neither do the ploppies to whom DeGrom is a trusted brand name….. at least that’s my value argument.

[Dan Druff]

Fading DeGrom and his blister

San Diego Padres +154 v Mets


Did you know he has a blister? No? Neither do the ploppies to whom DeGrom is a trusted brand name….. at least that’s my value argument.

That's actually a very good argument.

Also, the Mets are the Mets, and they seem to find a way to fail. They already blew the division lead, now they can complete the fail by going 2-and-out at home in the Wildcard Series.

Sharp money is on Padres. I'm close to doing it myself. I just don't trust Snell. I know he was killing it during the final month-plus of the season, but I could easily see him getting bombed here. But if I had to pick a side on this, I would go Padres moneyline.

[Dan Druff]

My Arizona State under has gone in the toilet, with lots of scoring in the end 6 minutes of the 2nd. 41 at the half. Kiss that goodbye.

Navy is pretty much a lock. Vandy up only 3 at the half. I could see Ole Miss just obliterating them in the 2nd half, so I can't count that a win yet. Still, that would leave me 2-3 in my first 5.

This is kind of a tryout to see if I'm any good at NCAAF. Much like I was doing a tryout with NFL, which has gone better than I ever imagined, though obviously some of that is luck. If South Carolina wins and gets me my +175, that will be a big boost.

[Kalam]

So sick. I am going to throw up.

I had U49.5 in the Georgia game. At the end of 3 quarters it was 21-3, and I had a stone cold lock. First 5 minutes of the 4th Q there is 3 TDs, all on long plays, and now I am fucked up the ass. Unreal. Why do I continue to do unders? It is literally a 0% win rate, and yet I just keep throwing money away.

I am not even joking. I do about 2 or 3 unders a weekend, and they always lose, so I am basically just spotting the bookie 3 bets every week. Why? Why? Why?

[DrPeters]

lol, i hear ya kalam. i am 0-life on betting unders, i don't bet them anymore, not worth it.

[Daly]

lol, i hear ya kalam. i am 0-life on betting unders, i don't bet them anymore, not worth it.

Unders are for player props, not ncaaf totals.

[Daly]

NOT BETTING RELATED BUT HOLY FUCKING SHIT AT DRAFTKINGS. B2B WEEKS A TOP NCAAF PLAYER SUDDENLY OUT WITH NO WORD ON DRAFTKINGS UNTIL AFTER LOCK.

As soon as these money junkies get their act together and have 4 playoff eligible super conferences they will get to work on making teams do injury lists. Draftkings will make sure of that Because there are some syndicates that specialize in injury plays and they do very very well (save three weeks ago when they bet SD when they knew Herbert was playing vs Jax and they took it right in the ass).