*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[JeffDime]

Ah ya, X making par on the first two par 5s is going to get him left behind fast. He is first in par 5 score this year but so far only made birdie on half of them. All the sharp money on Bryson, which Daly was all over, was correct regardless of outcome.

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

if you have some spare lunch money hanging around, guy i follow on KBO likes the following today:

Kiwoom Heroes/LG Twins F5 U4

[tgull]

Redsox - Indians over 9.5. Both pitchers are awful.

[Kalam]

Bump.

Thanks for nothing guys.

I am grunching most of the last month of this thread, so apologies if this has already been posted.

But Daly, any good CFB O/U's yet?

I posted something a few weeks back. I can tell you what I got but (thankfully for me) most of it got hammered.

Top play per value is/was CJ Stroud to win the Heisman. I got it in as good as 40-1. It’s 16/20 now and the moment they make him the formal starter it’s 7-1. If it turns out the high school kid gets the job (or anyone else) it goes from 200-1 to 7-1 the same way a Clemson/OU/Bama QB would.

I bet some Bama to win NC at +300. Not a ton of value but I can’t see a situation where they don’t make the final 4 and when they do I can’t see them being even money or worse. O won’t be the same but the D will be the best they have had in 10 years, and that’s saying something.

I’m high on UAB. Over 7.5 wins and to win the conference.

I was in South Carolina over 3.5 early and it’s moved to 4 at a lot of places. If you can find 3.5 even at a price I do really think it will be hard to not get to 4 with that schedule.

NC State might be the one team that’s disrespected in gambling circles more than any other team over the past few years. Last year was a straight rebuild and they finished in the top 25. I don’t think they challenge clemson but over 6 feels like a safe bet. It’s moved to 6.5 in some places.

I don’t get Ark St being lined at 3.5 wins. Louisiana got a near unanimous 9 first place votes in the sun belt west division coaches poll. Ark St was picked second and was the only other team with a first place vote. I do see 5 losses on the schedule but I can’t see them not eeeking out 4 after you figure C Ark and ULM and the rest of the coin flips.

The Vols continue to be in neutral. The all world LB transferred out to Bama. I see 4 if not 5 clear losses on the schedule. Getting to 7 seems a lot more unlikely than falling short of 6. Give me under 6 and I’ll hope for the best.

If you like holding your nose and going for it UMASS, who is legitimately awful, total is 1.5 wins. As you might expect there are a ton of games where they have zero chance including week 1 vs Pitt where they are 37 point dogs. They have UConn, URI, Maine and NM St to find 2 wins. I passed in it but there is some respected $$ over 1.5.

[tgull]

Redsox - Indians over 9.5. Both pitchers are awful.

Basically two terrible pitchers look like Kershaw and Sale right now. This will be a loss likely, I am not going to chase at 6.5 updated line. I have the Rays -3.5 as a near even hedge. Hopefully I catch some luck .

[tgull]

Redsox - Indians over 9.5. Both pitchers are awful.

Basically two terrible pitchers look like Kershaw and Sale right now. This will be a loss likely, I am not going to chase at 6.5 updated line. I have the Rays -3.5 as a near even hedge. Hopefully I catch some luck .

Unreal, my hedge blew up in the bottom of the 9th. Guy launches a homerun, lose my half run. LOL.

[Sanlmar]

Basically two terrible pitchers look like Kershaw and Sale right now. This will be a loss likely, I am not going to chase at 6.5 updated line. I have the Rays -3.5 as a near even hedge. Hopefully I catch some luck .

Unreal, my hedge blew up in the bottom of the 9th. Guy launches a homerun, lose my half run. LOL.

I had Tampa Bay & Sawks in a parlay for +122

Then I heard about the Kike Hernandez testing positive this afternoon …. then Arroyo and sports talk radio thought there might be more.

I felt sick. Promises made about not betting during Covid. Waiting til last minute like Druff. You know the drill.

Kike Hernandez is a lefty killer and that bum Logan Allen was a lefty. Kike hits lead off and the whole lineup got fucked up. The locker room was a mess.

The Sawks AAA team is right down the street which is unusual so they were able to quickly grab the kid that hit the winning homer. Kid had no clue he was in the Show til a few hours before the game.

Stupid Cleveland’s offense should be investigated.

You’re still live cause Sawks bullpen is exhausted and spent

[tgull]

I've got another hedge, Nationals / Mets under 5. It does not quite cover my losses tonight, but gets me back 65% or so. So we will see.

[Daly]

Bump.

Thanks for nothing guys.

I posted something a few weeks back. I can tell you what I got but (thankfully for me) most of it got hammered.

Top play per value is/was CJ Stroud to win the Heisman. I got it in as good as 40-1. It’s 16/20 now and the moment they make him the formal starter it’s 7-1. If it turns out the high school kid gets the job (or anyone else) it goes from 200-1 to 7-1 the same way a Clemson/OU/Bama QB would.

I bet some Bama to win NC at +300. Not a ton of value but I can’t see a situation where they don’t make the final 4 and when they do I can’t see them being even money or worse. O won’t be the same but the D will be the best they have had in 10 years, and that’s saying something.

I’m high on UAB. Over 7.5 wins and to win the conference.

I was in South Carolina over 3.5 early and it’s moved to 4 at a lot of places. If you can find 3.5 even at a price I do really think it will be hard to not get to 4 with that schedule.

NC State might be the one team that’s disrespected in gambling circles more than any other team over the past few years. Last year was a straight rebuild and they finished in the top 25. I don’t think they challenge clemson but over 6 feels like a safe bet. It’s moved to 6.5 in some places.

I don’t get Ark St being lined at 3.5 wins. Louisiana got a near unanimous 9 first place votes in the sun belt west division coaches poll. Ark St was picked second and was the only other team with a first place vote. I do see 5 losses on the schedule but I can’t see them not eeeking out 4 after you figure C Ark and ULM and the rest of the coin flips.

The Vols continue to be in neutral. The all world LB transferred out to Bama. I see 4 if not 5 clear losses on the schedule. Getting to 7 seems a lot more unlikely than falling short of 6. Give me under 6 and I’ll hope for the best.

If you like holding your nose and going for it UMASS, who is legitimately awful, total is 1.5 wins. As you might expect there are a ton of games where they have zero chance including week 1 vs Pitt where they are 37 point dogs. They have UConn, URI, Maine and NM St to find 2 wins. I passed in it but there is some respected $$ over 1.5.

?

[tgull]

I've got another hedge, Nationals / Mets under 5. It does not quite cover my losses tonight, but gets me back 65% or so. So we will see.

Was tough with Alonso up, thankfully he just sank first base.

[JeffDime]

Coverage comes on with Detry in solo lead by one. Third hole par 3. Balls falls off putting surface. Poor chip. Three putt from less than 10 feet for the absolute butchered equity killing double. Just fucking brutal. For the love of Christ he can’t just two putt and join a tie for first. This fucking guy.

Sorry to everyone. Forgive my anger but once this guy got into solo first it all fell apart in two goddam holes. Such a shame. Guy has done the same shit before. Just sucks.

Fucking nightmare. Blue isn’t good.

[Sanlmar]

I haven't posted much baseball, but here's a double pick starting very shortly:

Oakland (Kaprielian) +114 vs. Yankees (Taillon)
Oakland/Yankees under 8.5 +100

Hottest MLB team Yankees vs the coldest team. This shoulda been a scratch from your list. They are still performing in this manner one game after this pick. Recent performance matters (a lot).

These two teams aren’t just teams on a trend either. It’s far more than that. The Yankees are 13 straight wins and playing unconscious.

While we are at it. Dodgers & Giants. Same story as Yankees. I know you claim you don’t bet Dodgers. I hope this isn’t true. They lost last night. When I woke up I learned I lost and I just smiled. Dodgers were an ATM and I’m Sanlmar with the Dodgers hard on. I like money though. Money is fun. Of course we are doing brain dead parlays and series. We adjust our betting accordingly to circumstances.

Live and learn

This amuses even me - from a previous post. Parlaying late Dodgers game with early Dodgers game. Unique spot that you can’t do with the Yankees, for instance. Yeah, it won. I’m such a whore.

[Kalam]

Bump.

Thanks for nothing guys.

?

Not you. A couple days ago I made a post asking someone to bump your picks, so I didn't have to do the work of finding the post. But noone else did, so I had to do it myself, which wasn't the plan.

:/

Also, Ark St. was at 5 wins (with positive odds) at my book. So obviously, over 3.5 was the right side and I waited way too long on that one.

[Kalam]

Some college football futures. My book has +/- 115 as their base, so that is why a lot of these odds are so bad.

Indiana u7.5 -130

SMU o6.5 -125

BC o7.5 -125

Mizzou u7 -110

NC o9.5 -125

NC St. o6.5 -120

Tenn u6 -130

UAB o7.5 -135

Oregon u9.5 -125

Cal o6 -130

Kan St. o5.5 -135

Mich St u5 -120

Penn St. u9 -155

--I also want to bet USC o8.5, but for some reason my book doesn't have odds available yet for USC.

[Kalam]

Took O52.5 in the Nebraska game staring now. Just wanted to watch and have a sweat.

[Sanlmar]

Forgot I had these. W W




In living memory of Pipes.

Tampa Bay (Wacha Wacha) v Orioles (Means)
Wacha sucks is the theme. Scroll back on the incredible Orioles totals last week. Orioles are disrespected and in the meantime their offense is overlooked
I see wind blowing in & I don’t care
Baltimore Orioles team total over 3½ -127 for Game L
Tampa Bay Rays/Baltimore Orioles over 5 -105 for 1st 5 Innings L

CWS and Cardinals (1st 5) are your approved chalk parlay pieces. Use your imagination.
CWS Lance Lynn over 6.5 strikeouts W

Colorado Rockies./Los Angeles Dodgers. over 4½ -130 for 1st 5 Innings Cancelled
I’m not going to tell you again. David Price sucks balls. Gonna skip under 4 strikeouts today though - weak sauce by me.
Colorado Rockies +175 for 1st 5 Innings small Cancelled

San Francisco Giants/Atlanta Braves under 4½ -118 for 1st 5 Innings W

Minnesota Twins +132 for Game W
Just can’t resist this price vs Brewers. Just a value play. Little sickness here.

[Kalam]

Took O52.5 in the Nebraska game staring now. Just wanted to watch and have a sweat.

Game ended on 52 points with Nebraska missing 2 extra point kicks.

Standard.

[tgull]

Took O52.5 in the Nebraska game staring now. Just wanted to watch and have a sweat.

Game ended on 52 points with Nebraska missing 2 extra point kicks.

Standard.

Scott Frost has been a total fail job at Nebraska. Not sure why these guys leave great jobs to go back to their alma mater. He was a star coach at Central Florida, all that recruiting and goes back to Nebraska and starts to fail out of control. Really odd. Same with Jim Harbaugh with Michigan.

[JeffDime]

Just not my week and there’s not much to say about it.

The initial picks are toast. The Detry bet is a very tough pill to swallow. When you take a guy after round 1 and 5 back at 16-1 and 20 holes later he is alone in the lead…well that’s pretty much the dream. He just had to shoot even to still be tied for the lead. The dream became a nightmare once the telecast came on.

Not the first time he seems to get nervy once he is alone on the top of the leaderboard. Can’t lie, that one hurts.

Prob outside Bryson, Cantlay and a few others it wouldn’t of matter who I landed on. This course you need to get off to a very fast start and you need to hit good mid/long irons. X struggled with those two and then he just imploded on the back nine today. It was way over before that. Bez just not going low enough. Horsfield bet was pure horseshit.

Next week…

[Daly]

Update on that UMASS over 1.5.

UCONN looked like aids tonight. They might have a real chance here for one win.