I was watching the wrestling this morning and had a similar dilemma. No clue how the scoring worked. The color guy spent the whole time "couch QBing" all the American wrestlers, and I still had no clue what was going on.Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I was watching the wrestling this morning and had a similar dilemma. No clue how the scoring worked. The color guy spent the whole time "couch QBing" all the American wrestlers, and I still had no clue what was going on.
Watching women's water polo now. They are all wearing thongs, but you can't see anything when they are in the water and I feel like the cameras are intentionally making sure we dont see anything when they aren't. Caught a glimpse of one of the Americans asses and was actually a nice shape.
Oh yeah, the US is winning too.
Slept it off to see JT bet is swimming with the fishes. He just 3 putt from 3 feet. I think Rory and him need to stop worrying about voting against green books and focus on their games. Anyways I digress.
There was a lot of twists and turns where Lydia looked to be poised to overtake. The whole round was just a stomach churner. If I had to say the biggest dick in the ass was the Par 5 8th. Nelly just had a chip come back to her twice and she made a double on the Par 3 7th.
The nerves were getting to her and Lydia had pulled even with her at 15 under. Nelly pulled her tee shot on 8 and had a poor wedge shot for her third and Lydia hit her third dead. It looked like Lydia would tap in for the lead. Nelly hit her 25 footer. That to me was the key. That putt settled her nerves and she was not over taken. She went to the 9th tied with Lydia instead of one back. Then she made a few more birdies after that.
Later I am three back and starting to accept that it all got fucked there but Nelly stalled out again later in the round. Lydia missed a short putt on 16 for par that was the difference.
Nelly was 15 under in this tournament after 35 holes. She played the final 37 in just 2 under. She should of been caught and passed.
Anyways, I may bet something after the rounds today. Slept it off. I know I’m close and I’ll just keep plugging away. But last night took a few more months off my life expectancy for sure.
Starting at 4:15pm PT:
Kansas City (Keller) at St. Louis (Kim) - Over 8.5 -115
gotta take +310.....this is baseball..not chess.
LA Angels 08/07/2021 (06:10 PM) (Pending)
Money Line +310 for the Game J. Barria(action) J. Urias(action)
Derrick Lewis +280
Kenney -120
Aldo -120
Serious question to anyone who may know. Do you think it is +EV to always take the dog in baseball if it is +300 or higher? I feel it should be, but really don't know.
Edit: My book is only offering +285 for the play. Pretty big difference.
Song -110
Luque -120
gd lk
Serious question to anyone who may know. Do you think it is +EV to always take the dog in baseball if it is +300 or higher? I feel it should be, but really don't know.
Edit: My book is only offering +285 for the play. Pretty big difference.
100% you should be looking for reasons to avoid Chalk and make most of your bets on dogs.... a 50-50 bettor even less can still win at years end... ahem ahem...
look at it this way lay -350....lose...now you must WIN 4 games to get ahead..... never lay the -350 in MLB....IMO>.. ; 0/
I am a degenerate sports bettor. I know how moneylines work, I just don’t know baseball betting all the well. But yeah, it looks like my baseball lines suck big time. Looks like laying down serious implied vig.
I told my bookie I wanted nfl, cfb and nba spreads and totals -105, and I got that, so probably not leaving anytime soon though.
The scoop on the MLB now is legit favorite ML’s post trade deadline are 50-75 points above fair value.
The truth about big dogs is you need to be doing volume to reap the reward. Right? Right. You can’t be the occasional recreational punter and beat the variance reliably.
Nothing wrong with thinking about team totals as an expression of your love if you like the favorite or have thoughts about the game
I run my units how I run my units
Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-07-2021 at 07:11 PM. Reason: forgot to use commas
On the road so I will add this to the tally later
WGC- Cam Smith $500 +400
Euro Tarrio +400/WGC Cam Smith $100 parlay +2400
English is the guy to beat and looks like a cool customer. Fatigue is a concern. But at 4-1 Cam seems like a good play only 2 back. Some places have him +350. MGM has him +400 so it can be found.
I did like Tarrio but not to bet big on him. Think one of the Scotsman will prob win. Rationale is in case I'm right I double my sweat on Cam. Think it's worth 100 bucks.
If you are betting small, a straight bet on Tarrio would be advised
Last edited by JeffDime; 08-07-2021 at 08:28 PM.
Refer to above post…just to make it clear I would never past post. Safe to make JT bed shit a loss at this point
Bets for August 2 -Aug 8 (Week 2)
Settled
Lydia Ko Women’s Olympic $1000 at +1800 (Loser) fuck
JT $1000 (Loser) money on fire total bed shit.
New Today
WGC Cam Smith $500 at +400
Euro Tarrio +400/ WGC Cam Smith +400 Parlay $100 at +2400
Start $50,000 Remaining $46,000 Current Week -$2,000 Last Week -$1,400
I have a legit soft spot in my heart for SW Kim. That said I can’t wait to see the replay….
I hope everyone is ready for the annual “bet it all on Web at the Wyndham” week
Fuck, I am running late
Sports weather porn Daly. ABC Sunday Night game.
This will be my first time attending and I plan to pile like you said. Just hope not to be pitched a timeshare.
It’s 2:45 in the East.
There are thousands of dollars at stake.
Time to pull the plug on the broadcast.
In response to Shoeshine's comment: I can get -105 lines because I bet 30+ football gams a week (my plan is to be more selective this year, but I say that every year and I never am) and have had 15 losing years in a row. So a very Pyrrhic victory to say the least.
“Don’t take this the wrong way” but you should not only get -105 but he should be taking you out for a steak once a month and you should also get freerolls into season long suicide pools and pick ems.In response to Shoeshine's comment: I can get -105 lines because I bet 30+ football gams a week (my plan is to be more selective this year, but I say that every year and I never am) and have had 15 losing years in a row. So a very Pyrrhic victory to say the least.
Your action is worth $$
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