Boy the Cubs suck. I know they hung 10 on the Cards yesterday, but I knew they were going to get spanked today.
Boy the Cubs suck. I know they hung 10 on the Cards yesterday, but I knew they were going to get spanked today.
lol i was going to put in a spoiler box but i too dumbOriginally Posted by simpdog
and stay away from my ponies, dana!
Hi Lew!!!
As long as his ankle heals, now the UFC has the perfect excuse to do the same fight again.
I had the under, 7.5, when it went 6-0 Cards in the middle innings I thought I was toast for 5 bills. I got lucky.
People might not understand how umpiring affects the game. It was 2-0 in the 5th and I was felling pretty salty on my bet. In fact I could have early cashed out for a $250 profit. Anyway, to end the inning the umpire missed a perfect strike to call out looking. I mean it was right down the middle. Even the Cubs announcers, homers, were like WTF. Next pitch homerun, two minutes later another 2 run homerun. So 2-0 to 6-0 when the inning should have been over. I get Umps miss shit all the time, but this call was a strike literally right down the middle to end the inning. The Announcers were on his case all night, I am sure he will be admonished today, like I said it was literally right down the middle and kills the integrity of the game when you miss like that.
Little chance that Hataoka shits the bed today but maybe someone else gets hot.
Danielle Kang's problem seems more mental than anything else. She definitely has the skills and knows how to win but often has brain farts during a round for whatever reason.
The upcoming team tournament that starts on Wednesday this week should be interesting. The Korda sisters will be chalk/heavy favorites no doubt. But Nelly hasn't played in two weeks while probably hearing over and over how great she is. If Kang and Salas team up and get good odds of +1000 or higher it might be a good bet. Also maybe a good time for a hot rookie to team up with a good veteran since a win in this event counts as a full LPGA title.
Hatton took the third round off.
Henley and his seemingly endless missed 15 ft bird puts
some random Japanese chick coming out of nowhere to shoot two course record level rounds
Can’t win every week at 20-1
As already stated, I’m not waiting. Give me Rham next week.
I’m happy to have some $€£¥ on Fleetwood and Morikowa as well but if I had to do it again I’d just cast it all kn Rham.
Last minute but here you go. I hate low totals like these, but I'm making an exception.
Atlanta (I. Anderson) at Miami (P. Lopez) - Under 6.5 +105
Not a good start in the above game, as Miami's Aguilar popped a 3-run HR in the first. This is why I hate 6.5 unders.
On the plus side, Pablo Lopez is dealing, as I expected, striking out 6 of 6 batters faced thus far.
Anyway here is another one, for all you plops out there:
Milwaukee -1.5 (Woodruff) +135 vs. Cincinnati (L. Castillo)
It’s 2:45 in the east.
Time to shut down all golf coverage for 15 minutes.
Someone remind me next time to never bet under 6.5 again.
Yes a very absurd stoppage by Herb Dean, outlandish really! They let the man get his ass beat for the entire fight and stop it while he was still standing and coming forward with 30 seconds left? Not right! Mourihno was an absolute warrior and is clearly a disciple of the Just Bleed GodSorry for your loss. Thoughts and prayers.
But what a terrible stoppage. Let the guy have his pride after that show of extreme heart.
I did two things I hate in MLB betting today.
I bet under on a low line (way too much variance) and I bet a home team -1.5 (you often get fucked because you almost can't win if they aren't ahead by 2 by the end of 8 innings).
1-1 going to the 8th. Unless they hang 2 in the bottom of the 8th, or if they hit a walkoff HR of 2 runs or more, I lose.
I did two things I hate in MLB betting today.
I bet under on a low line (way too much variance) and I bet a home team -1.5 (you often get fucked because you almost can't win if they aren't ahead by 2 by the end of 8 innings).
1-1 going to the 8th. Unless they hang 2 in the bottom of the 8th, or if they hit a walkoff HR of 2 runs or more, I lose.
“I’ve never met a winning run line player”.
This will be corrected by the time I get to Jersey. If someone likes Bryson and is in one of the states…William Hill currently has Bryson at 14-1 and Bet MGM has him at 30-1. JFC, if you ship a grand on him that’s a hell of a difference in payout.
If anyone didn’t check and bet Bryson at 14-1 at WH try all you can to ge them to cancel before the line moves. I see him near the 30-1 mark in most places. Hopefully no one bet him already at this number. It can be argued the number is so bad comparatively that they are responsible.
This doesn’t mean if you bet him weeks or months ago on future odds. Those odds are written in stone. I’m stuck with DJ +1500 from 6 months ago for some decent change. . Hoping he would play better and I would make out on it. Just the opposite happened. Unfortunately ,last year I did the same with Rahm on futures. I had the right two guys but the wrong two years.
Last edited by JeffDime; 07-12-2021 at 08:29 AM.
“ Hopefully no one bet him……”
Could have ended this here.
Blunt but correct. I can never give you that paragraph and change of your life back. My bad.
I got crushed last night. I lost the Angels / Mariners game last night, under, in the fucking 9th inning. I tilted and took the points on the Suns. I figured the Bucks would win, but 20?
-$800
Fly out to Vegas Friday AM. Can’t wait. Bad timing as if I would have left 2 days early I could have bet the open Vegas and not use my regular outs.
Happy I piled into Rham when I did. He’s as low as +625 on some shitty PPH’s now.
Going to take a 15% backup bet on Koepka. He’s the only other top 10 guy who I make a winner.
Still have my Morikowa and Fleetwood futures from earlier. Neither one has recent form but I suppose I can have faith that they both have the right makeup to win here.
Might buy some Grace 100-1 for small
Other bets:
Fleetwood > 49.5 he’s finished top 25 the last 4 opens
Koepka > DJ -125
Phil > Ian P +125 (Ian has historically sucked at the open, can get behind any reasonable fade)
Grace > Macintire -120
Bez > Fowler (recent form > history form) > Fowler stupid hat and mustache
Rory > DJ becuase even good bettors make bad decisions from time to time
Last edited by Daly; 07-12-2021 at 12:35 PM.
talked to daly about this one...
i have an out that has brooks (+150) v. rahm (-190)...there are zero elite golfers that are that big of a favorite over another elite golfer on any given week...especially at a british where shit can go whacky...
i know books dont give out good bets, so they got me here...i need 40% to breakeven on this bet...can't imagine that there are any scenarios where i dont have 40% in this matchup...especially in a major where brooks actually gives a shit...
ill bet taking brooks at +150 over rahm...
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