Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29961
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4320
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    21,211
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    I'll take the Blue Jays at + money against Tampa Alek

    Get that Manoah while you can today if you understand what I'm sayin'
    I like Menorah. But let’s be honest about the Jays bullpen. Do you really want to depend on that?
    Baseball - 917 Toronto Blue Jays +105 for 1st 5 Innings


    I’m like a teenage Mormon on a mission to convert all of you to the 1st 5 totals lifestyle

    Philadelphia Phillies team total over 2½ -130 for 1st 5 Innings
    Druff is fading Garrett “Goo-less” Richards. This is the universal thinking. However the Red Sox bullpen is righteous. Let’s isolate Richards and truly make the bet you want

    Houston Astros team total over 2½ -105 for 1st 5 Innings

    Chicago White Sox team total over 2½ -127 for 1st 5 Innings

    Repent

    I can’t steer clear of Dodgers, of course.

    Dodgers team total over 5½ +110
    Who knows from David Price and the bullpen. Let’s focus on offense. Small bet

  2. #29962
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2688
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,347
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    I agree Daly and I try to keep my whining to a minimum. He played fantastic. Shit happens. Just looked like it was going to be a real special round. But you’re 100% right. I was just being greedy and wanted to sleep on or near the lead for the soul.

    Feels like a whining type day today. Everyone did well enough to stay in the mix but nobody really capitalized.

  3. #29963
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
    Reputation
    1486
    Join Date
    Apr 2020
    Location
    Brick City, USA
    Posts
    2,727
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    I agree Daly and I try to keep my whining to a minimum. He played fantastic. Shit happens. Just looked like it was going to be a real special round. But you’re 100% right. I was just being greedy and wanted to sleep on or near the lead for the soul.

    Feels like a whining type day today. Everyone did well enough to stay in the mix but nobody really capitalized.
    Yup Kang was setting the world on fire 7 under for the day through 12. The coverage came on, and 3 straight bogeys. What makes everything worse is Nasa’s 4 birdies in a row to finish. Looked like we would at least have been clumped together and she would be lucky to post -10. Matilda and Henslight right in it. Would of been nice if Nasa didn’t get her shit together. Kang looked like she was gonna shoot 10 under for a while.

    Hensley playing fucking great tee to green.

    BTW great call on Matilda and Hensilit playing well. I figured one would but two surprises me. They def got game.

  4. #29964
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    I'll take the Blue Jays at + money against Tampa Alek

    Get that Manoah while you can today if you understand what I'm sayin'
    I like Menorah. But let’s be honest about the Jays bullpen. Do you really want to depend on that?
    Baseball - 917 Toronto Blue Jays +105 for 1st 5 Innings


    I’m like a teenage Mormon on a mission to convert all of you to the 1st 5 totals lifestyle

    Philadelphia Phillies team total over 2½ -130 for 1st 5 Innings
    Druff is fading Garrett “Goo-less” Richards. This is the universal thinking. However the Red Sox bullpen is righteous. Let’s isolate Richards and truly make the bet you want

    Houston Astros team total over 2½ -105 for 1st 5 Innings

    Chicago White Sox team total over 2½ -127 for 1st 5 Innings

    Repent

    I can’t steer clear of Dodgers, of course.

    Dodgers team total over 5½ +110
    Who knows from David Price and the bullpen. Let’s focus on offense. Small bet
    Jays have 2 new arms and one back from injury. I think their bullpen will start to hold their own better now.

  5. #29965
    Bronze
    Reputation
    85
    Join Date
    Jan 2019
    Posts
    393
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Got two overs for you today.

    Philadelphia (V. Velasquez) at Boston (G. Richards) - Over 11 -110
    Oakland (Irvin) at Texas (Lyles) - Over 9 -120

    I'm sure even the ploppies can get on board with these picks.

    Decent start at Fenway. 5-3 end of 2nd

  6. #29966
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10156
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Got two overs for you today.

    Philadelphia (V. Velasquez) at Boston (G. Richards) - Over 11 -110
    Oakland (Irvin) at Texas (Lyles) - Over 9 -120

    I'm sure even the ploppies can get on board with these picks.

    Decent start at Fenway. 5-3 end of 2nd
    Yeah that one covered before the game was half over.

    The Oakland one is going to be more of a struggle. At the halfway point, it was 1-0. Now 3-2 in the bottom of the 6th, so we have a shot there.

  7. #29967
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I like Menorah. But let’s be honest about the Jays bullpen. Do you really want to depend on that?
    Baseball - 917 Toronto Blue Jays +105 for 1st 5 Innings


    I’m like a teenage Mormon on a mission to convert all of you to the 1st 5 totals lifestyle

    Philadelphia Phillies team total over 2½ -130 for 1st 5 Innings
    Druff is fading Garrett “Goo-less” Richards. This is the universal thinking. However the Red Sox bullpen is righteous. Let’s isolate Richards and truly make the bet you want

    Houston Astros team total over 2½ -105 for 1st 5 Innings

    Chicago White Sox team total over 2½ -127 for 1st 5 Innings

    Repent

    I can’t steer clear of Dodgers, of course.

    Dodgers team total over 5½ +110
    Who knows from David Price and the bullpen. Let’s focus on offense. Small bet
    Jays have 2 new arms and one back from injury. I think their bullpen will start to hold their own better now.
    My face is red, better luck next time.

  8. #29968
    Gold
    Reputation
    308
    Join Date
    Sep 2020
    Posts
    1,741
    Load Metric
    68207715
    So this is level 1 thinking. I know little about MMA but I have to assume the books are begging the public to bet Connor McGregor as an underdog, which means betting the other guy as a small favorite should be massive +EV. Am I right in this logic?

  9. #29969
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
    Reputation
    1486
    Join Date
    Apr 2020
    Location
    Brick City, USA
    Posts
    2,727
    Load Metric
    68207715
    If anyone shipped it on Kang, I really liked her and when she was 7 under on her round through 12 yesterday. It seemed at the very least, she would be in contention as long as Nasa didn’t run away with things. The two brides to close yesterday gave her an outside chance after the 3 bogeys prior. Today she opened with 4 pars and now a 3 putt double. She really shit the bed. The bogeys I saw yesterday were sloppy. This double wasn’t televised but it included 3 putts, so it probably should of been only one dropped shot. I still don’t think this was a bad bet, but the ticket is 99 percent a napkin now.

    Hopefully be able to salvage something else this week. But major air out of the ballon after she was threatening to post 9 or 10 under yesterday before the wheels fell off.

    On a side note it will be pretty steamy if Detry somehow pulls off the Scottish. He was one of those very good Euro grinders at astronomical odds. Most books had him 100-1 or greater.

    BTW….Henley has been within 15 feet on pins all week. Unfortunately a bunch between 10-15 feet. Great ball striking and easy 2 putts. But won’t get us the W. Need to roll some in. He is playing very well.
    Last edited by JeffDime; 07-10-2021 at 09:15 AM.

  10. #29970
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2688
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,347
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    If anyone shipped it on Kang, I really liked her and when she was 7 under on her round through 12 yesterday. It seemed at the very least, she would be in contention as long as Nasa didn’t run away with things. The two brides to close yesterday gave her an outside chance after the 3 bogeys prior. Today she opened with 4 pars and now a 3 putt double. She really shit the bed. The bogeys I saw yesterday were sloppy. This double wasn’t televised but it included 3 putts, so it probably should of been only one dropped shot. I still don’t think this was a bad bet, but the ticket is 99 percent a napkin now.

    Hopefully be able to salvage something else this week. But major air out of the ballon after she was threatening to post 9 or 10 under yesterday before the wheels fell off.

    On a side note it will be pretty steamy if Detry somehow pulls off the Scottish. He was one of those very good Euro grinders at astronomical odds. Most books had him 100-1 or greater.

    BTW….Henley has been within 15 feet on pins all week. Unfortunately a bunch between 10-15 feet. Great ball striking and easy 2 putts. But won’t get us the W. Need to roll some in. He is playing very well.

    100% on Henley. Relatively low stress rounds. Every hole he’s on in regulation between 4ft and 20ft. If he can cut that down between 4-9 he will catch and pass the guys in front of him. He’s in it. He’s right where he needs to be. Now he needs to tighten it up.

    Holes 8-10 coming up will be important for him. I think it will be a window. Into what we can expect over the next day and a half.

  11. #29971
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10156
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    54,807
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Another Cubs fade.

    St. Louis (Kim) +105 at Cubs (Davies)

  12. #29972
    Gold
    Reputation
    371
    Join Date
    Feb 2021
    Posts
    2,372
    Load Metric
    68207715
    OMalley Fight ends round 1,-110

  13. #29973
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    OMalley Fight ends round 1,-110
    My biggest bet of 2021 is under 1.5 rounds.

    Let’s go

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Parlay piece rep

  14. #29974
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
    Reputation
    1486
    Join Date
    Apr 2020
    Location
    Brick City, USA
    Posts
    2,727
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Not much to say. The LPGA looks like it wouldn’t of mattered who I bet. Unless Nasa plays awful tommorrow no one else has a chance.

    As for Henley. Two butchered holes. The 17th today was most likely the stake in the heart. Ended with a putt missed from just inside 10 feet. Another total waste of great tee to green play. Even still, he would be much more in the mix if he didn’t make these two awful bogeys. Yes it’s hard to complain when a guy drops only 2 shots all week, but these were fucking ugly.

    Guess it’s just one of those weeks.

  15. #29975
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    OMalley Fight ends round 1,-110
    My biggest bet of 2021 is under 1.5 rounds.

    Let’s go
    And we hit the ATM for a deposit

    That should have been over round 1. Sigh.

     
    Comments
      
      NickyPipes: Bad luck round 1 was a few seconds longer, that’s UFC tho crazy to bet on

  16. #29976
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
    Reputation
    561
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,690
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    My biggest bet of 2021 is under 1.5 rounds.

    Let’s go
    And we hit the ATM for a deposit

    That should have been over round 1. Sigh.
    Sorry for your loss. Thoughts and prayers.

    But what a terrible stoppage. Let the guy have his pride after that show of extreme heart.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  17. #29977
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68207715
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    And we hit the ATM for a deposit

    That should have been over round 1. Sigh.
    Sorry for your loss. Thoughts and prayers.

    But what a terrible stoppage. Let the guy have his pride after that show of extreme heart.
    I’m just glad my betting amounts this year are a lot smaller. I have too much tied up in ethereum and stocks like a responsible adult

  18. #29978
    How Could You? WillieMcFML's Avatar
    Reputation
    1053
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    5,945
    Load Metric
    68207715
    anyone have a good link?
    Hi Lew!!!

  19. #29979
    How Could You? WillieMcFML's Avatar
    Reputation
    1053
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    5,945
    Load Metric
    68207715
    found one:

    Hi Dana!

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: Toda
    Last edited by WillieMcFML; 07-10-2021 at 08:39 PM.
    Hi Lew!!!

  20. #29980
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    1962
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,578
    Load Metric
    68207715
    In before Willie has to sell his Zed horses to pay Papa Dana in a lawsuit

     
    Comments
      
      WillieMcFML: what do you mean i just said "hi dana"?

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 22 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 22 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 03:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 10:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 08:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 10:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 07:36 PM

Tags for this Thread