Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

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    Red -121

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    Cle +115

     
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      Sanlmar: Hmmmmm

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    @simpdog

    I see you didn’t use Blue Jays in the parlays. Menorah might have gone on a bender after serving his sentence? Don’t trust him?

    Wind blowing in. That bugs me. I gotta say, I’m starting to question the data on that Buffalo park though. Is it REALLY BLOWING IN?

    Looks like a parlay piece to me

    I had Montreal +230 series late. They owed me. Bastards took my money during the season against the pesky Senators. I never forgive. I never forget.

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    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    @simpdog

    I see you didn’t use Blue Jays in the parlays. Menorah might have gone on a bender after serving his sentence? Don’t trust him?

    Wind blowing in. That bugs me. I gotta say, I’m starting to question the data on that Buffalo park though. Is it REALLY BLOWING IN?

    Looks like a parlay piece to me

    I had Montreal +230 series late. They owed me. Bastards took my money during the season against the pesky Senators. I never forgive. I never forget.
    His last time out (against the Orioles), he made it through just 3.1 innings, allowing 5 runs on 4 hits and a walk, striking out 6. All 4 hits were home runs. Then he threw at a guy and got kicked out...........


    Montreal has surprised me in every respect since game 5 against my Leafs
    -Price turned back time and is playing amazing (during the year tons of habs fans around here were wishing they could deal his huge contract and stick with Jake Allen)
    -Perry/Staal/Armia -- this is their fourth line and they have turned back time and are playing like they are the top (or at worst second line)
    -Caufield. He sat games 1,2 against the Leafs. He's going to have huge pressure to score 30+ goals next year but for now let the kid enjoy his ride.

    And had the Tavares injury not happened the Canadiens are long gone from the playoffs. So it really proves in the playoffs you need
    -hot goalie
    -gritty players
    -young guy or someone to step up

    Which is why right now my Leafs are the NHL equivalent to the Dodgers. Will be interesting to see if they trade a major piece this summer or generally stick to the same core group.

  6. #29766
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    His last time out (against the Orioles), he made it through just 3.1 innings, allowing 5 runs on 4 hits and a walk, striking out 6. All 4 hits were home runs. Then he threw at a guy and got kicked out.........
    Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you like the play?


    Also kudos for working in the Dodgers shot. I’m thinking we might have Cubs value. Should be a lot of runs. Gonsolin is a gas can. Sure the Dodgers should hit with that line up but you don’t bet regression until you see some kind of confirmation. This is a stock trading truth that works with sports and women.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-25-2021 at 12:13 PM.

  7. #29767
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Wacha Wacha = trash. We faded him last outing successfully. Kinda think this is a steal.

    I could be a pussy and pretend I didn’t say this but I’ll man up.

    Wacha Wacha had 7 strike outs and 5 scoreless innings against a good offense.

    I just want to clarify a misconception I suspect you have, Nicky. I am not a Sawks homer. The notion you might think I’m a Sawks fan hurts me deeply.


  8. #29768
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Not a useful contribution to the cause but rather a personal admission of what might be a personality defect.

    GA suggests I come clean.

    Parlay +176

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    Parlay +100

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      simpdog: First step for recovery is admission

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    I see LA Clippers +318 to win series. I want PHX to win but those seem like nice odds even down 2-1

  10. #29770
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Got two MLB unders:

    Angels (Cannings) at Tampa (Kittredge) - Under 8 -115
    Boston (M. Perez) at Yankees (German) - Under 10.5 -115

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Going with a dumb side tonight. House needs Bucks -8.5 fairly bad. I’m going to help them Out and jump in with them.

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    Frustrating week because there was so much money that appears to have been able to be made and I just missed it. Nelly Korda was +1600 and now she’s -135. She is the real deal. She made this course look foolish today. Won’t see here at +1600 again. Regardless if she finishes this (Which she will), I missed the boat here.

    Hovland was the play on the Euro Tour. His shitty price, the whole eye thing and the MC made me stay away. Now he’s +240 and it really does look like it’s his tournament to lose. A couple good guys are close. I took a look at some of the chasers but the price isn’t right. Pieters had a shitty opening nine to start the tournament, with a 6 that was corrected to an 8 the next morning. Too much racetrack and it’s one of those where part of me wished he just MC.

    The Travelers you can’t ask for more from Bubba. It’s going to be a Calvary charge to the end but he’s where he has to be. No need to make any bets at this point. I will say watching PGA Tour live this looked like Brooks was about to put himself on the top of the board and he just got real sloppy at the end of the round. For sure seems to really lose focus. Just tough to bet him on these regular tour stops.

    I did parlay N Korda/Hovland for $500. Just to kind of salvage missing the boat. Not in any mood to lay 135 or make a straight wager on Hovland +240. It’s a weird bet but all I could come up with. There prices suck and I don’t feel good enough about any of the chasers. Hopefully they either both finish it off or both don’t.

    GL

  13. #29773
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    So word around the campfire is Jason Day bad back started to come unglued at the end of his miraculous/unlikely
    Round yesterday.

    I have a bunch invested on Watson already, obv but I’m not going to let a good opportunity go by.

    Bubba > Day -120



    “I was fortunate enough to not really get in my own way today. I hit a lot of good quality drives and my tee to green was pretty solid, I thought. Then holed a lot of crucial putts out there,” Day said.

    At the same time, the 33-year-old Australian’s back has been stiff this week, and he moved gingerly around the course. To compensate for pain when he shifts to the left side, he’s made a minor adjustment.

    “I’ve been hitting a lot of flighted shots. You know, sometimes when I get a little bit too far left, everything has to go back and start crunching on the right lower part of my back again,” he explained.
    Last edited by Daly; 06-26-2021 at 05:13 AM.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Got two MLB unders:

    Angels (Cannings) at Tampa (Kittredge) - Under 8 -115
    Boston (M. Perez) at Yankees (German) - Under 10.5 -115
    Pretty amazing these both won.

    Angels/Tampa was 3-3 after 2 1/2 innings.

    NY/Boston was 3-3 after 1 1/2 innings.

    I'll take it.

  15. #29775
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Texas (Gibson) +108 vs. Oakland (Montas)
    Late, but thank you for this offering. I bet $500 and it was easy money when all said and done. I mean 5-0 in the first inning is a beautiful thing. I would not have noticed the value and not bet it if not for this thread.

    Same with Salamander on that Rockies get the other day which was easy money as well since it was an Over and completed like by the 5th inning if I remember. That was another 3 bills.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Going with a dumb side tonight. House needs Bucks -8.5 fairly bad. I’m going to help them Out and jump in with them.
    Good call. Not a second of sweat. I thought about it but couldn't pull the trigger.

     
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      Daly: Broken clock right twice a day

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    Astros -1.5 vs Tigers
    -135

    Yes terrible odds but this is a complete mismatch. Easy $.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Frustrating week because there was so much money that appears to have been able to be made and I just missed it. Nelly Korda was +1600 and now she’s -135. She is the real deal. She made this course look foolish today. Won’t see here at +1600 again. Regardless if she finishes this (Which she will), I missed the boat here.

    Hovland was the play on the Euro Tour. His shitty price, the whole eye thing and the MC made me stay away. Now he’s +240 and it really does look like it’s his tournament to lose. A couple good guys are close. I took a look at some of the chasers but the price isn’t right. Pieters had a shitty opening nine to start the tournament, with a 6 that was corrected to an 8 the next morning. Too much racetrack and it’s one of those where part of me wished he just MC.

    The Travelers you can’t ask for more from Bubba. It’s going to be a Calvary charge to the end but he’s where he has to be. No need to make any bets at this point. I will say watching PGA Tour live this looked like Brooks was about to put himself on the top of the board and he just got real sloppy at the end of the round. For sure seems to really lose focus. Just tough to bet him on these regular tour stops.

    I did parlay N Korda/Hovland for $500. Just to kind of salvage missing the boat. Not in any mood to lay 135 or make a straight wager on Hovland +240. It’s a weird bet but all I could come up with. There prices suck and I don’t feel good enough about any of the chasers. Hopefully they either both finish it off or both don’t.

    GL
    Shame on the both of us frankly. Sure Hovland was “expensive” pre tourny but 9-1 was more than a completely fair price considering talent level and field. He made a mockery of the course today.

     
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      JeffDime: We fucked up for sure

  19. #29779
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Let’s indulge in some goo-free pitchers

    980 Oakland Athletics/San Francisco Giants over 4 -120 for 1ST 5 INNINGS
    Wood is an ex Dodger & Montas has struggled

    New York Yankees +116
    Eovaldi Sawks. Goo guy and recent whiner about same

    Colorado Rockies +½ -105 for 1ST 5 INNINGS
    Brewers can’t hit anymore That’s all you need to know
    You wanna have some fun full game +166 call me if you need a ride to the sportsbook


    For you haters
    Dodgers Cubs over 9 all you can eat.
    Urias you guys know the truth by now & AZ’s Mills is a bum who is gonna get smacked up. Bad bull pen yada yada
    Always sprinkle the Machine Gun Kelly to kill a guy prop

  20. #29780
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Anybody doing anything?

    Careful with Astros @ Detroit. Looks like rain. Prolly doesn’t get played. The worst outcome would be it does get played and rain delayed and blows up your parlays.

    I might have a problem with that personally.
    Kucherov might not be playing but I'm still riding Tampa game 7.

    Tampa in regulation +103 . Locked and loaded.win


    Parlay 1 +108win

    NBA Bucks + NHL Tampa

    Parlay 2 +200

    NHL Tampa + Euro Italy 3 way (to win) + Euro France 3 way (to win)

    Parlay 3 -115

    Euro: Italy 3 way (to win) + France 3 way (to win)



    And if all else fails I'll be at the GA meeting on Tuesday night. I would have already been attending but I was too busy weeping everytime the Canadiens won. No money lost just shedding tears for what could have been. Imagiine being up 3-1 on the Canadiens and failing to win a single game to finish them off.....only to see them get to the Cup final.
    Need the euro plays for a clean sweep.

    Jays under 10 is my play today.

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