Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #28821
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sitting on two ties, 8-8 in the 4th and 2-2 in the 9th.

    Here's some NBA.

    Brooklyn vs. Charlotte - Under 222.5 (Harden out, Griffin out, Ball out)
    Clippers vs. Denver - Under 219 (George out, Morris questionable)

  2. #28822
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Well another nickel donated to the Tony Finau sponsored addition to the William Hill home office. Yes, that is one fairway hit all day. He actually still could of got in at even or -1, but drove it out of bounds on 17.

    J Ko I think we’ll be live. Gonna need her one more time for old times sake.

    Well done WH with that +1600 bait. Hook line and sinker. Time for me to go to bed.

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  3. #28823
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Regardless of what happens in this Braves/Phillies game, the runner on 2nd in extras thing is so lame.

    10-8 Royals now in the 4th. Insane.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Regardless of what happens in this Braves/Phillies game, the runner on 2nd in extras thing is so lame.

    10-8 Royals now in the 4th. Insane.
    Thinking the same thing

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well, I had a nice streak going, but I had to lose at some point. Phoenix didn't cover. Still went 2-1, and I'm now 15-4 in my last 19.

    Let's focus on some MLB.

    I have 2 picks today (so far). Remember these start early:

    Texas (Gibson) +140 at Kansas City (Keller)
    Philadelphia (Nola) -121 vs. Atlanta (Fried)
    It’s a fine play and won, but just curious what made you take Philly? I don’t see you play many favorites and this looked like, and was, a “toss up” game, was surprised to see you took it. Anyways just curious

  6. #28826
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well, I had a nice streak going, but I had to lose at some point. Phoenix didn't cover. Still went 2-1, and I'm now 15-4 in my last 19.

    Let's focus on some MLB.

    I have 2 picks today (so far). Remember these start early:

    Texas (Gibson) +140 at Kansas City (Keller)
    Philadelphia (Nola) -121 vs. Atlanta (Fried)
    It’s a fine play and won, but just curious what made you take Philly? I don’t see you play many favorites and this looked like, and was, a “toss up” game, was surprised to see you took it. Anyways just curious
    I actually make a lot of small favorite picks in MLB. What I tend to avoid are the ploppy big favorite picks, though I think there might be some value in the -1.5 variety in certain spots when it gets to midseason.

    I liked how Nola looked at the end of spring training, and felt he was going to outpitch Fried, which he ended up doing (though Fried wasn't bad). Nola whiffed 14 in his last 9 spring innings pitched, and 6 of those innings were against a Yankees squad resembling the one which would be playing during the regular season. Phillies were at home, which is a bigger advantage in close matchups, because extra innings now favors the home team even more, thanks to the man-on-2nd bullshit. That was actually the factor today.

  7. #28827
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Anyway the Royals won 14-10 over the Rangers (lol), so that pick lost. Pretty sad to lose a pick where you have a 5-0 lead and your team scores 10 runs, but that's what happened. The Rangers even had a good shot to get ahead late in the game when it was 10-9 Royals, and they had first and third with one out.

    So I'm starting off down 0.176 units in MLB to begin the season.

    The NBA continues to go well, as the Nets under easily covered by over 20 points, and the Clips under is looking good after 1Q.

  8. #28828
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Moving forward, I will be fading every Druff NBA pick until further notice. Ice cold, sad to see from a bettor I respect. Normally I think he has a good feel. Not seeing the board lately!
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Proper fade etiquette is to just be happy collecting and not post this. Unless you are secretly trying to reverse the trend by posting this, in which case I just fucked that up. My bad.

    Just messing around. Druff is solid. Just a matter of time. GL.
    This was on March 18, a day I took off after going into a 2-11 slump following the All Star break.

    Nicky wouldn't have done well fading me since then.

    I started off 1-2 after his post, from March 19-20.

    After that, from March 21 through today, I'm 16-4 in the NBA, with one still playing right now.

    Hopefully Nicky was just trying to motivate me badguy style, and wasn't actually fading these picks.

     
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      JeffDime:

  9. #28829
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Clips were way behind, and scoring slowed, so this looked like a LOCK, despite a mediocre first half which put it right on pace for 219 or so.

    Unfortunately now it's a 3-point game, so it's a stone cold LOCK with no OT, but now OT is on the table. It's actually doing well enough (179 points with 3:19 left) to where it could still win in OT, but I don't want to have to sweat that.

  10. #28830
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'll post MLB for now, NBA coming later.

    White Sox (Keuchel) +102 at Angels (Heaney)

    Seattle (Kikuchi) -114 vs. San Francisco (Cueto)

    Note that Kikuchi has added speed to his fastball, and has thrown in a new cutter this year. He looked really good in the spring, and it should be noted that despite a pretty bad 2020, one bright spot was only allowing 3 HR in 47 IP. He had allowed 36 in 161 IP the year before! Cueto, on the other hand, looks close to done.

  11. #28831
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    MYBOOKIES does not offer KBO lines? Who does? I bet KBO on 5dimes last year before they went away for US and some on bookmaker. I have a roll on MB now and a big Gonzaga ticket pending, not trying to deposit elsewhere

    Tonight I like TB RAYS -110
    Yarborough and the Rays own Miami. Check the stats and recent history.

    I did not face you Druff other than the one game I posted, which you won! Have been busy with “life” and hard to monitor this thread and when you post picks, etc. might fade your Sox pick tonight and take angels will confirm here if I do. Agree Mariners look good but not a play yet for me

  12. #28832
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Well another nickel donated to the Tony Finau sponsored addition to the William Hill home office. Yes, that is one fairway hit all day. He actually still could of got in at even or -1, but drove it out of bounds on 17.

    J Ko I think we’ll be live. Gonna need her one more time for old times sake.

    Well done WH with that +1600 bait. Hook line and sinker. Time for me to go to bed.

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    Finau has fucked more black men who bet old Golf than FEMA.

    First true golf disaster weekend in quite some time. Grace was obviously a disgrace.

    KO right where we want her to be.

    Spieth is legitimately looking decent

  13. #28833
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I'll post MLB for now, NBA coming later.

    White Sox (Keuchel) +102 at Angels (Heaney)

    Seattle (Kikuchi) -114 vs. San Francisco (Cueto)

    Note that Kikuchi has added speed to his fastball, and has thrown in a new cutter this year. He looked really good in the spring, and it should be noted that despite a pretty bad 2020, one bright spot was only allowing 3 HR in 47 IP. He had allowed 36 in 161 IP the year before! Cueto, on the other hand, looks close to done.
    Fine I’ll bite to have some fun on a Friday. I’m on SAN FRAN and ANGELS. Good luck Druff!

  14. #28834
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last minute NBA

    Golden State vs. Toronto - Under 219 (Curry, Lowry OUT)

  15. #28835
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    Not-so-last-minute NBA, but still soon:

    New York vs. Dallas - Under 212.5
    Minnesota vs. Memphis - Over 232
    Milwaukee vs. Portland - Over 240.5 (this one not starting for a few hours)

  16. #28836
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Coulda gotten a better line on White Sox (right now it's +111 or better, I got +103). Appears Vegas thinks White Sox are losing tonight. Hopefully they're wrong.

  17. #28837
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Coulda gotten a better line on White Sox (right now it's +111 or better, I got +103). Appears Vegas thinks White Sox are losing tonight. Hopefully they're wrong.
    Might get Piped by Pipes! Angels seem like they can be ok this year. Let’s hope Trout can at least make a wild card game!

  18. #28838
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    If someone told me that GS would have 59 points in the mid-4th, I'd call that under bet a complete LOCK.

    Unfortunately, Toronto has 119, in what is one of the biggest NBA leads ever.

    60 point game, y'all.

    I actually considered Toronto -5.5! LOL

    Anyway, my under is going to be determined by trash time, though I'm on pace to win at the moment.

  19. #28839
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    Well, with 48s left, it's 128-77.

    Looks like I will win the under easily unless the Warriors score 51 points in 48 seconds to take it to OT. Well, or if they combine for 16 points in trash time.

  20. #28840
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    2-0 already in the NBA today.

    Minnesota over is going to be close.

    The Portland game hasn't started yet.

    If I could go 4-0, this would put a cherry on top of one of my best runs ever in the NBA.


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