Last minute bet (starts 7:05 PT):
Clippers vs. Charlotte - Over 232
Zeller and Ibaka are out. When centers who aren't essential to scoring are missing, the game tends to be higher scoring, because there's a hole in the defense. Here they're missing on both ends.
When I bet him he was even on the day and woke up and he was still even. Those odds are probably correct. Too many people and strokes ahead of him. He would have to shoot 8 under or better. He is capable of that (7 under Friday) but hasn’t shown he can shoot like that on a Sunday. Small bet at the huge number I guess couldn’t hurt. He has to really annihilate the course and Harding would have to have a pedestrian round. A few bucks you can’t expect getting back is ok.
Last minute:
Portland vs. Dallas - Under 227
Stein, Johnson out
Gonna be close.
Super blowout game 121-82 with 5:30 left. Hopefully this trash time doesn't fuck me. Will really come down to whether the scrubs can score.
Was getting nervous with some 3s being sunk in late trash time, but fortunately with the game at 132-92, the ball landed in Dallas' hands with 23.4 seconds on the clock, which meant they were obviously going to run it out with the 40-point lead. So the game finished at 224, and I got a much-needed win.
GL me. The draw is at 11 but I can’t see a better price than this. Had to pounce. LFG DJ!
Euro- giving Burmester another shot at +2500. He played well 3 of 4 days including Sunday. They are playing in the same exact place this week. You are not going to find a weaker field that this time of year on the Euro Tour. I would expect him to stay in form and have a good feeling about this one.
Off PGA Pieters 20-1
Here's a play for a 6:05pm PDT game. Two picks in one game.
Memphis -4.5 vs. Boston (Tatum, Thompson & Walker out)
Memphis/Boston - Under 218
Damn, got a pretty good one. Had Clippers -6.5. They were down 22 in the 3rd at one point and Ty Lue pulled every starter and put in the scrubs and they clawed back, and then starters came back and got the cover. I did have to fade a last second 30 foot junk time 3 by Trey that looked good but was barely short.
1-1 today, but there was a lot of drama to get that win.
Memphis was down 5 after the first half, but outscored Boston by 13 in the 3rd to go up 8.
They were up by 9 at the 6:13 mark, but chunked off the lead, and it was super close at the end. Fortunately it landed on OT, so it gave me a chance to cover. Thankfully the Grizz outscored Boston by 6, and that was that. Covered by 1.5. Phew.
was just looking at matchups for the WCG first round matches...thoughts on doing 2 leg parlays with these guys? wanted to do that bc the juice on some of these is pretty steep...
rory -186 v poulter (love rory in this format where him sticking his dick in the ground with a quad doesnt really cost him)
X -230 v sullivan
english -125 v todd
rahm -278 v munoz
reed - 157 v bubba
spieth -120 v fitzpatrick (same thinking with rory here)
JT -240 v kooch
kiz +104 v louis
zalatoris -120 v kokrak
bryson -240 v rozner
viktor -186 v streelman
morikawa -210 v poston
webb -157 v gooch
casey -195 v hughes
im -143 v henley
DJ -250 v long
This is where the local PPH scene is headed. Haven’t even made a bet yet.
Think about how truly fucking insulting this is. If you 95% of our customers who are DOA and going to ship us money you are more than welcome. If you are 5% of the base and you have a shot at winning fuck you, we only want suckers.
I’ve seen it up close and personal. Agents requesting juice or spreads to be changed for local teams. Parlays to be vastly underpaid. Casinos are all fucking rigged. Have an account disabled when someone is on a heater and have a bullshit error message come up.
They will call and bitch if someone made a big score. If someone is dumb enough to play the casino and win they will say it’s a malfunction. Hidden Terms of Service on the website to show a player after a big score to justify slow paying them. “Hey it was there the whole time”. Sub agents blaming the main agent for fucking over the player. The main agent blaming the PPH operation in CR. Well into 6 figures I’ve had them dick me in the ass.
Meanwhile agents will routinely fuck over other agents by giving them sharp action. Mostly under the pretense of “This guy is a ploppy but I don’t want to book that amount of action”.
Fuck them all. Legalization is going to fuck them. Sure there are guys who like to bet on credit. But most don’t want this bullshit relationship and have this shady meet up every week.
Portland vs. Brooklyn - Under 231.5 (Jurkic, Durant, Irving out... Harden questionable with neck pain)
I had Phoenix under for a second, but decided to retract it (and didn't bet it either).
Decided to bring the Phoenix under back.
Miami vs. Phoenix - Under 214
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