Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #26341
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Just wait for betting kiosks at stadium.

    Lives would be at risk

  2. #26342
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Rovell came out today and announced he has ~$240K on the line this weekend if NW (beats Ohio state) and wins the big ten. It works out to 1550/420K and a bunch of different odds. All the bets are at pointsbet.


    The book offered him a buyout of $20K as the game Is lined -1100

    He countered the line maker and asked him to watch the game with him live and play “deal or no deal”. Should make an interesting podcast.

  3. #26343
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I’d feel like I’m drawing live if I had a passing team against Ohio State. I’d ride that out. Facing the 12th best passing team in the BIG I honestly feel as confident as I ever have laying 21. I honestly expect them to win by over 40. I was shocked at the line.

    It’s a great spot for him obviously, and I don’t know how exactly that wager works, but I would rather have about 8 teams in BIG before NW

  4. #26344
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I’d feel like I’m drawing live if I had a passing team against Ohio State. I’d ride that out. Facing the 12th best passing team in the BIG I honestly feel as confident as I ever have laying 21. I honestly expect them to win by over 40. I was shocked at the line.

    It’s a great spot for him obviously, and I don’t know how exactly that wager works, but I would rather have about 8 teams in BIG before NW
    Fun read

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/...n=DarrenRovell

  5. #26345
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I’d feel like I’m drawing live if I had a passing team against Ohio State. I’d ride that out. Facing the 12th best passing team in the BIG I honestly feel as confident as I ever have laying 21. I honestly expect them to win by over 40. I was shocked at the line.

    It’s a great spot for him obviously, and I don’t know how exactly that wager works, but I would rather have about 8 teams in BIG before NW
    Fun read

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/...n=DarrenRovell
    Great read. I thought maybe it was like action points wager China used to love, but it’s just incremental bets. I didn’t get the 240k followed by 1550/420k part.

    My first thought was is he an alum? I looked at his wiki and it reads

    “Rovell graduated from Roslyn High School in Roslyn Heights, New York in 1996.

    Rovell attended Camp Greylock for Boys, a sports camp in the Berkshires.

    He attended and graduated cum laude from Northeastern University in Boston, Massachusetts, in 2000, where he is on the advisory board for graduate programs in sports administration.[3] He majored in theater. However, he also hosted a college radio show about sports business.[4]


    I see now he is your rare Northeastern and NW grad. Makes more sense, even though the logic of betting on smart team to get through Covid was solid reasoning to just be in this spot to get offered $20k buyout.

    I’d wish him well, but I’d be lying. It’s great for his podcast.
    Last edited by BCR; 12-14-2020 at 10:21 PM.

  6. #26346

  7. #26347
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Tilt shipped the Ravens -3 -120. May want to fade my ass.
    Good grief
    Gambling Gods have revoked my whining/bitching/complaining license for the time being in exchange for that safety. This thread is included, so feel free to red rep me if I disobey.

  8. #26348
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    The only thing I have ever heard about hockey in Sweden is that it is notoriously low scoring. Think it was on some kind of special on Henrik Lundquist back in the day. BTW, even the reporter in the photo has a guilty look on his face. That smirk he’s holding back says I had Alternate Puck line -3.5 myself.

  9. #26349
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Mom may let you watch but she won’t let you play

  10. #26350
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    Yes, this is void of value, somewhat lazy and self indulgent. Basically insurance against back to back steamy weekends. I am concerned about her running out of gas after playing three weeks in a row after sitting out most of the season. That being said...her form can't be disputed. She had played solid and she didn't come over here at the end of the year to not keep grinding this week at the tour championship. I would of liked to get 12-1 or so but I'm going to swallow the 10-1.

    Tournament has only 60 players not 156.
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      Daly: You son of a bitch...... I’m in
      
      JoeD: Field of 72 (I think) but still like it. J Ko is definitely a machine. GL!
    Last edited by JeffDime; 12-16-2020 at 07:42 AM.

  11. #26351
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    Looked like she was on her way to posting real low. Go out to shovel snow and she has her first double in two weeks. Plenty of time...just would of been nice to post a real low number today.

  12. #26352
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Looked like she was on her way to posting real low. Go out to shovel snow and she has her first double in two weeks. Plenty of time...just would of been nice to post a real low number today.
    -4 one back now. If she can post -4 or -5 I would be extremely happy with the round (except for not betting bigger)

  13. #26353
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Looked like she was on her way to posting real low. Go out to shovel snow and she has her first double in two weeks. Plenty of time...just would of been nice to post a real low number today.
    -4 one back now. If she can post -4 or -5 I would be extremely happy with the round (except for not betting bigger)

    -4 with a double got to take it. She is the best female golfer in the world from what I’ve read and seen last few weeks. Was trying to go to the wip early, would be nice to end 2020 on a decent win. Maybe we can go real low tomorrow.

  14. #26354
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I meant to jump on your golf bet this week, but keep forgetting to check early enough. Golf is hard to hit, and you’re hard on yourself, but you’re clearly very good at it.

    Love Rutgers ML at +200 tomorrow night. Obviously I like the +6.5 as well, but I view Rutgers as a small favorite imo even with a dinged up QB. I don’t quite understand why Nebraska is favored at all. I see that game as a coinflip at best.

    Researching alternate line for Ohio State game. Obviously I’m extremely confident in that one from previous post. It’s available to me at -20 -110, but also plan on firing at -27, is +200 the proper value for that bet? Feels a bit short.

    I’ve been betting through one book, and can’t recall if that’s in line with alternate lines I used to bet on. I have no over 35 option with heavy odds as I was hoping. It tops out at -29.5 for only +240 and I would feel that stupid to give up that 2.5 for the extra $40.

  15. #26355
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Some bets just make themselves



    10:00a ETPNC Championship Tournament Matchup - Team Singh vs Team Daly
    Team Singh
    -115
    Team Daly

  16. #26356
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I meant to jump on your golf bet this week, but keep forgetting to check early enough. Golf is hard to hit, and you’re hard on yourself, but you’re clearly very good at it.

    Love Rutgers ML at +200 tomorrow night. Obviously I like the +6.5 as well, but I view Rutgers as a small favorite imo even with a dinged up QB. I don’t quite understand why Nebraska is favored at all. I see that game as a coinflip at best.

    Researching alternate line for Ohio State game. Obviously I’m extremely confident in that one from previous post. It’s available to me at -20 -110, but also plan on firing at -27, is +200 the proper value for that bet? Feels a bit short.

    I’ve been betting through one book, and can’t recall if that’s in line with alternate lines I used to bet on. I have no over 35 option with heavy odds as I was hoping. It tops out at -29.5 for only +240 and I would feel that stupid to give up that 2.5 for the extra $40.
    Yeah it’s a bit short I’d say. 7 points is about $1.50 of value. So I’d say it should be closer to +240 or so. Alt lines are an exotic bet so they get a price.

    I’m in for Rutgers. Or should I say I’m in for the Nebraska fade.

  17. #26357
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I meant to jump on your golf bet this week, but keep forgetting to check early enough. Golf is hard to hit, and you’re hard on yourself, but you’re clearly very good at it.

    Love Rutgers ML at +200 tomorrow night. Obviously I like the +6.5 as well, but I view Rutgers as a small favorite imo even with a dinged up QB. I don’t quite understand why Nebraska is favored at all. I see that game as a coinflip at best.

    Researching alternate line for Ohio State game. Obviously I’m extremely confident in that one from previous post. It’s available to me at -20 -110, but also plan on firing at -27, is +200 the proper value for that bet? Feels a bit short.

    I’ve been betting through one book, and can’t recall if that’s in line with alternate lines I used to bet on. I have no over 35 option with heavy odds as I was hoping. It tops out at -29.5 for only +240 and I would feel that stupid to give up that 2.5 for the extra $40.
    Yeah it’s a bit short I’d say. 7 points is about $1.50 of value. So I’d say it should be closer to +240 or so. Alt lines are an exotic bet so they get a price.

    I’m in for Rutgers. Or should I say I’m in for the Nebraska fade.
    Thx. I thought it was a bit short.

    As I said, Rutgers QB is dinged and might play or not. I’m in either way. Backup came in and beat Maryland, who is better the Nebraska. I just feel like Rutgers has had a successful year under Schiano and will end on high note, and Nebraska is struggling.



    Edit- Just got text Olave is out for Ohio State from buddy who stays with team before travel. Outside Fields, that’s the biggest loss that could occur. I doubt that becomes public until shortly before game time so I won’t even get a break of any line movement. From what I can see googling, it doesn’t seem public info. We have ten 5* wrs, but that’s the clutch dude every time you need a catch.

    I see it reported as one of star receivers. It’s not Wilson, it’s Olave if they offer player props on college games. My site doesn’t.
    Last edited by BCR; 12-18-2020 at 06:16 AM.

  18. #26358
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Yes, this is void of value, somewhat lazy and self indulgent. Basically insurance against back to back steamy weekends. I am concerned about her running out of gas after playing three weeks in a row after sitting out most of the season. That being said...her form can't be disputed. She had played solid and she didn't come over here at the end of the year to not keep grinding this week at the tour championship. I would of liked to get 12-1 or so but I'm going to swallow the 10-1.

    Tournament has only 60 players not 156.
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      JeffDime: Good 36. LFG!

  19. #26359
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Yeah it’s a bit short I’d say. 7 points is about $1.50 of value. So I’d say it should be closer to +240 or so. Alt lines are an exotic bet so they get a price.

    I’m in for Rutgers. Or should I say I’m in for the Nebraska fade.
    Thx. I thought it was a bit short.

    As I said, Rutgers QB is dinged and might play or not. I’m in either way. Backup came in and beat Maryland, who is better the Nebraska. I just feel like Rutgers has had a successful year under Schiano and will end on high note, and Nebraska is struggling.



    Edit- Just got text Olave is out for Ohio State from buddy who stays with team before travel. Outside Fields, that’s the biggest loss that could occur. I doubt that becomes public until shortly before game time so I won’t even get a break of any line movement. From what I can see googling, it doesn’t seem public info. We have ten 5* wrs, but that’s the clutch dude every time you need a catch.

    I see it reported as one of star receivers. It’s not Wilson, it’s Olave if they offer player props on college games. My site doesn’t.
    I was just logging in to see which one of my picks got cancelled/suspended.

    I must defy you BCR
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    I bet Chargers Raiders game last night. I may have a gambling problem. I should just flip cards at blackjack

     
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      BCR:
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 12-18-2020 at 01:18 PM.

  20. #26360
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post

    Thx. I thought it was a bit short.

    As I said, Rutgers QB is dinged and might play or not. I’m in either way. Backup came in and beat Maryland, who is better the Nebraska. I just feel like Rutgers has had a successful year under Schiano and will end on high note, and Nebraska is struggling.



    Edit- Just got text Olave is out for Ohio State from buddy who stays with team before travel. Outside Fields, that’s the biggest loss that could occur. I doubt that becomes public until shortly before game time so I won’t even get a break of any line movement. From what I can see googling, it doesn’t seem public info. We have ten 5* wrs, but that’s the clutch dude every time you need a catch.

    I see it reported as one of star receivers. It’s not Wilson, it’s Olave if they offer player props on college games. My site doesn’t.
    I was just logging in to see which one of my picks got cancelled/suspended.

    I must defy you BCR
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    I bet Chargers Raiders game last night. I may have a gambling problem. I should just flip cards at blackjack
    No one ever goes broke fading me. I must point out you’ve invested in a team that lost to MSU. That has to give you pause.

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