Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #25401
    Platinum Krypt's Avatar
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    im on this daly prop, which quite frankly is akin to lighting $ on fire

  2. #25402
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    You ballsy rascal badguy. I did the same thing.

  3. #25403
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Wentz is fucking awful

  4. #25404
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krypt View Post
    im on this daly prop, which quite frankly is akin to lighting $ on fire

    I hear you. They shouldn’t let Wentz throw again tonight.

  5. #25405
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Wentz is fucking awful
    The Eagles have been playing without a QB so why not Dallas?

  6. #25406
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I call the top bunk badguy

  7. #25407
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Took unders for both QBs.

    250 for Wentz
    212 for Rookie.

    Will they hit 250 combined yards?

  8. #25408
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Took unders for both QBs.

    250 for Wentz
    212 for Rookie.

    Will they hit 250 combined yards?
    No

    Nice bets. I didn’t pull the trigger.

    My eyes a mere bleeding watching this game

  9. #25409
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Took unders for both QBs.

    250 for Wentz
    212 for Rookie.

    Will they hit 250 combined yards?
    No

    Nice bets. I didn’t pull the trigger.

    My eyes a mere bleeding watching this game
    I don't think I can watch the second half.

    Hat tip to you for suggesting some unders today. Thanks sir.

     
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      Daly: Broken clock right twice a day

  10. #25410
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    eagles 2nd half -7

     
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      Daly: Nice pull

  11. #25411
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Stole this from San in another thread but will repost here as there are wagering applications.

    All the other threads on PFA aside You can really only bet this one way, on Biden. This has quickly turned into a replay of Floyd vs Connor. The house knows Floyd should be -1000 but they getting so much action on Connor They can’t possibly hang a +750 line because if the miracle happens they would be out of business.

    Biden by the numbers should be -400 or better which would make Trump +300. It’s not completely
    Imposable trump can win but it would be a genuine outlier if he did. You can get Biden at some books as low as -175. There are locals that are fucked if Trump wins. Deep pocketed offshore books are exposed to a Trump win. They not moving the line and are happy with this exposure. This should be setting off bells and whistles.



    Since Monday, 85 percent of the presidential bets have been on Trump, which has greatly swung the numbers in terms of liability. As of this post, BetOnline stands to lose a sum in the low seven figures if Trump is re-elected.

    “Political stances aside, we’re all rooting for the favorite next week,” Mason said. “That’s uncommon in our industry,but we need Biden in a big way.”

    The 2020 Presidential Election is close to becoming the biggest decision in BetOnline’s 20-year history of bookmaking. The political betting markets this year have already surpassed the straight bet handle for Super Bowl LIV. In total, the website has booked an amount in the mid eight-figure range.

  12. #25412
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Stole this from San in another thread but will repost here as there are wagering applications.

    All the other threads on PFA aside You can really only bet this one way, on Biden. This has quickly turned into a replay of Floyd vs Connor. The house knows Floyd should be -1000 but they getting so much action on Connor They can’t possibly hang a +750 line because if the miracle happens they would be out of business.

    Biden by the numbers should be -400 or better which would make Trump +300. It’s not completely
    Imposable trump can win but it would be a genuine outlier if he did. You can get Biden at some books as low as -175. There are locals that are fucked if Trump wins. Deep pocketed offshore books are exposed to a Trump win. They not moving the line and are happy with this exposure. This should be setting off bells and whistles.



    Since Monday, 85 percent of the presidential bets have been on Trump, which has greatly swung the numbers in terms of liability. As of this post, BetOnline stands to lose a sum in the low seven figures if Trump is re-elected.

    “Political stances aside, we’re all rooting for the favorite next week,” Mason said. “That’s uncommon in our industry,but we need Biden in a big way.”

    The 2020 Presidential Election is close to becoming the biggest decision in BetOnline’s 20-year history of bookmaking. The political betting markets this year have already surpassed the straight bet handle for Super Bowl LIV. In total, the website has booked an amount in the mid eight-figure range.

    Biden by the #s is -400 sure, but why aren't they moving the line to say -150 Biden to grab some more Biden money? It's not like they need to move the line the other way to +300 Trump.

    I understand it's great to take a +EV bet, but do books really want to lose 1 million on Trump?


    For me I'm going to keep an eye on things live. If someone jumps out to a huge advantage live I'll bet the other side. It's likely to flip flop a few times on election night.

  13. #25413
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Stole this from San in another thread but will repost here as there are wagering applications.

    All the other threads on PFA aside You can really only bet this one way, on Biden. This has quickly turned into a replay of Floyd vs Connor. The house knows Floyd should be -1000 but they getting so much action on Connor They can’t possibly hang a +750 line because if the miracle happens they would be out of business.

    Biden by the numbers should be -400 or better which would make Trump +300. It’s not completely
    Imposable trump can win but it would be a genuine outlier if he did. You can get Biden at some books as low as -175. There are locals that are fucked if Trump wins. Deep pocketed offshore books are exposed to a Trump win. They not moving the line and are happy with this exposure. This should be setting off bells and whistles.



    Since Monday, 85 percent of the presidential bets have been on Trump, which has greatly swung the numbers in terms of liability. As of this post, BetOnline stands to lose a sum in the low seven figures if Trump is re-elected.

    “Political stances aside, we’re all rooting for the favorite next week,” Mason said. “That’s uncommon in our industry,but we need Biden in a big way.”

    The 2020 Presidential Election is close to becoming the biggest decision in BetOnline’s 20-year history of bookmaking. The political betting markets this year have already surpassed the straight bet handle for Super Bowl LIV. In total, the website has booked an amount in the mid eight-figure range.

    Biden by the #s is -400 sure, but why aren't they moving the line to say -150 Biden to grab some more Biden money? It's not like they need to move the line the other way to +300 Trump.

    I understand it's great to take a +EV bet, but do books really want to lose 1 million on Trump?


    For me I'm going to keep an eye on things live. If someone jumps out to a huge advantage live I'll bet the other side. It's likely to flip flop a few times on election night.
    My observation is that books desire to always have balanced action is a fiction. At least the off shore. My only experience is South Point which is privately held and off shore

    It suddenly dawns on me.... what are the fiduciary duties of public books? Can they take big exposure to a side and risk like the old school books? How is that governed?

  14. #25414
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post


    Biden by the #s is -400 sure, but why aren't they moving the line to say -150 Biden to grab some more Biden money? It's not like they need to move the line the other way to +300 Trump.

    I understand it's great to take a +EV bet, but do books really want to lose 1 million on Trump?


    For me I'm going to keep an eye on things live. If someone jumps out to a huge advantage live I'll bet the other side. It's likely to flip flop a few times on election night.
    My observation is that books desire to always have balanced action is a fiction. At least the off shore. My only experience is South Point which is privately held and off shore

    It suddenly dawns on me.... what are the fiduciary duties of public books? Can they take big exposure to a side and risk like the old school books? How is that governed?

    These books have no1 to call off to anymore lol. The top books offshore all take risk and all have deep pockets. Everyone cloned pinnacle back in the day.. I think the only true line resides at Bet Online if you want to know the truth. Ppl take advantage of books that clone Pinnacle lines.Which is 80% of all books.

    You would think Bovada is one of these books. WRONG LOL if favs run wild Bovada will have yet another processing problem when its time to pay up. They have deep pockets but they have no clue how to run a book that's why they deal dual lines to this day.

    If you are betting through Bobby and Johnny who snort pills most of the day that they get from there sister as they take bets from there 1 bedroom apartment. You may get your bets called off then cuz they are booking for there next high and are taking 100 bets other than that there is no balanced action anymore if you ask me.

     
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  15. #25415
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Fournette over 40.5 -120 win
    Last edited by simpdog; 11-03-2020 at 09:04 AM.

  16. #25416
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Fournette over 40.5 -120

    42.5 at mgm and sunwager

    but i'm on it.

  17. #25417
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Giants cover again?


    This team may be the best + point team ever?


    LOL

    I love they killed all teasers too.

  18. #25418
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    Bowling Green @ Toledo
    Un 63 -110

    on a lark

  19. #25419
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    GB -6.5 -115

    Adams under 7.5 receptions -120

  20. #25420
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    daly --

    any takes on the 3 college games tonight?

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