Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #20261
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Can someone open up an Official NFL thread?

    Someone with some NFL cred or love. Either one. That rules me out but I have some player props, futures and wins totals I’d like to share.

    Last night was a hoot. I had moneyline -150 Broncos and would have happily taken a field goal for a push. I collect a stupid lucky pachinko preseason NFL win in the end zone
    Kind of always viewed this as the unofficial NFL thread.

  2. #20262
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Can someone open up an Official NFL thread?

    Someone with some NFL cred or love. Either one. That rules me out but I have some player props, futures and wins totals I’d like to share.

    Last night was a hoot. I had moneyline -150 Broncos and would have happily taken a field goal for a push. I collect a stupid lucky pachinko preseason NFL win in the end zone
    Kind of always viewed this as the unofficial NFL thread.
    I don’t mean any disrespect. Some ideas gets scrolled into oblivion, although admittedly we are slowing down these days. Hopefully we pick up.

    Let’s sort them by topic.

  3. #20263
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Kind of always viewed this as the unofficial NFL thread.
    I don’t mean any disrespect. Some ideas gets scrolled into oblivion, although admittedly we are slowing down these days. Hopefully we pick up.

    Let’s sort them by topic.
    agree with daly on this being the dump for general week-to-week wagering, but we can do all the futures shit and general NFL shit in that other thread...easier to find the futures stuff in a dedicated thread...

  4. #20264
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    No disrespect taken - whatever works for the group. I have at times moved some of the high dollar futures bets to a different thread (ROY, MVP).

    I can promise you it will pick up in here in three weeks. I’m so ready for the season.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Hot Weather And Football In The Northeast, Doesn't Get Any Better Rep

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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    No disrespect taken - whatever works for the group. I have at times moved some of the high dollar futures bets to a different thread (ROY, MVP).

    I can promise you it will pick up in here in three weeks. I’m so ready for the season.
    I didn't realize there was a 2 game slate on the 24th...

    and mcafee (I think the dude is hilarious) is doing Thursday night college on ESPN...

    my head might explode...

  6. #20266
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    These guys kinda tickle me at these prices to win the heisman...most likely not gonna fire, but just curious what you think Daly...

    Hurts +1400
    Ehlinger +2800
    King +4000

    King just tickles me because he is gonna put up fucking huge, video game numbers...at 40:1 it’s probably still a little low given he’s in the AAC...

    My reasoning for liking the other two is that unless things have really changed defensively in the big12 (which I doubt) they are gonna put up the numbers (probably not King type numbers but it won’t matter since they’re in a power 5 conference)...

    I think Lawrence and tua are both gonna be hurt by sitting out a lotta fourth quarters (just like tua last year) since from a cursory glance at their schedules look to be really cake-y...

    Seeing Justin fields at +1400 too which seems fucking nuts...much rather roll with hurts at that price...

    I could also take the field against tua/Lawrence for +125...that’s very tempting...

  7. #20267
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    These guys kinda tickle me at these prices to win the heisman...most likely not gonna fire, but just curious what you think Daly...

    Hurts +1400
    Ehlinger +2800
    King +4000

    King just tickles me because he is gonna put up fucking huge, video game numbers...at 40:1 it’s probably still a little low given he’s in the AAC...

    My reasoning for liking the other two is that unless things have really changed defensively in the big12 (which I doubt) they are gonna put up the numbers (probably not King type numbers but it won’t matter since they’re in a power 5 conference)...

    I think Lawrence and tua are both gonna be hurt by sitting out a lotta fourth quarters (just like tua last year) since from a cursory glance at their schedules look to be really cake-y...

    Seeing Justin fields at +1400 too which seems fucking nuts...much rather roll with hurts at that price...

    I could also take the field against tua/Lawrence for +125...that’s very tempting...
    I’ve tried to put my head around this a few time and I keep Coming back to the fact that sunshine and Tua are going to be the two best players or two teams that are going undefeated who are going to put up video game numbers.

  8. #20268
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    No disrespect taken - whatever works for the group. I have at times moved some of the high dollar futures bets to a different thread (ROY, MVP).

    I can promise you it will pick up in here in three weeks. I’m so ready for the season.
    I didn't realize there was a 2 game slate on the 24th...

    and mcafee (I think the dude is hilarious) is doing Thursday night college on ESPN...

    my head might explode...
    Florida/Hawaii FWIIW

    I’ve been trying to build chalk parlays in baseball with the last leg being these two games.

  9. #20269
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    I didn't realize there was a 2 game slate on the 24th...

    and mcafee (I think the dude is hilarious) is doing Thursday night college on ESPN...

    my head might explode...
    Florida/Hawaii FWIIW

    I’ve been trying to build chalk parlays in baseball with the last leg being these two games.
    As someone who is never afraid to bet the right chalk I would exercise caution today with perceived chalk. Bieber-Barria is an example.

    What chalk you looking at?

  10. #20270
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    These guys kinda tickle me at these prices to win the heisman...most likely not gonna fire, but just curious what you think Daly...

    Hurts +1400
    Ehlinger +2800
    King +4000

    King just tickles me because he is gonna put up fucking huge, video game numbers...at 40:1 it’s probably still a little low given he’s in the AAC...

    My reasoning for liking the other two is that unless things have really changed defensively in the big12 (which I doubt) they are gonna put up the numbers (probably not King type numbers but it won’t matter since they’re in a power 5 conference)...

    I think Lawrence and tua are both gonna be hurt by sitting out a lotta fourth quarters (just like tua last year) since from a cursory glance at their schedules look to be really cake-y...

    Seeing Justin fields at +1400 too which seems fucking nuts...much rather roll with hurts at that price...

    I could also take the field against tua/Lawrence for +125...that’s very tempting...
    I’ve tried to put my head around this a few time and I keep Coming back to the fact that sunshine and Tua are going to be the two best players or two teams that are going undefeated who are going to put up video game numbers.
    what price would you be tempted to take the field given that the field is gonna play a lot more of the game?

    if I told you that you would have a 1 loss Oklahoma or texas team, would you like hurts/ehlinger?

  11. #20271
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Florida/Hawaii FWIIW

    I’ve been trying to build chalk parlays in baseball with the last leg being these two games.
    As someone who is never afraid to bet the right chalk I would exercise caution today with perceived chalk. Bieber-Barria is an example.

    What chalk you looking at?
    The wrong chalk apparently - it started with the braves.

    Dodgers and Nationals too, but it’s dead now.

  12. #20272
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    I’ve tried to put my head around this a few time and I keep Coming back to the fact that sunshine and Tua are going to be the two best players or two teams that are going undefeated who are going to put up video game numbers.
    what price would you be tempted to take the field given that the field is gonna play a lot more of the game?

    if I told you that you would have a 1 loss Oklahoma or texas team, would you like hurts/ehlinger?
    Everyone else is dead money IMHO.

  13. #20273
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    what price would you be tempted to take the field given that the field is gonna play a lot more of the game?

    if I told you that you would have a 1 loss Oklahoma or texas team, would you like hurts/ehlinger?
    Everyone else is dead money IMHO.
    fair enough, more money for CFB DFS then...


  14. #20274
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Everyone else is dead money IMHO.
    fair enough, more money for CFB DFS then...

    Yeah def going to dabble more this year

  15. #20275
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    As someone who is never afraid to bet the right chalk I would exercise caution today with perceived chalk. Bieber-Barria is an example.

    What chalk you looking at?
    The wrong chalk apparently - it started with the braves.

    Dodgers and Nationals too, but it’s dead now.
    The only one I trusted was Astros. ML & RL. Big price. -190 RL. I had to endure a scare so I earned it.

    Occurs to me that it might seem incredible someone would do such a thing

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    I was wrong on Indians. I feel stupid. They have been so good to me and I repay my loyalty with doubt. Angels have sucked ass.

    We have entered a new phase in betting MLB. It’s all been nuked out. Brutal prices. I swear you are gonna see -400 or -450 on Tigers games.

    That’s not like the last time we saw -400. That was on Kershaw and there was value. (We won). No, this is just a very difficult time.

    I swear I am about to go to tennis.

  16. #20276
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    Arrow

    This space is for lease Simpdog Why not use it for our sandbox today?

    Toronto is huge fun. Missed your message So are the Red Sox. Different reasons, lol.

    Been quiet cause it’s just been brainless favorites for some time. Running with teams on streaks. Mets, Indians, Dodgers etc. It’s a living. MLB has been nuked out handicapping-wise.

    I was on lockdown during the Dodgers game. I was on Kershaw and I shut everything off so that I could suffer my shame in solitude.

    I couldn’t think of any other ways to bet the favorite.

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    Some heavy chalk in tennis. It’s like a US Treasury Bond before Trump.

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    Mets are 12-1 so we been riding them. Mr Tickle

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    You get the picture. Vegas wrote Dodgers tickets 13-1 to the favorite. They were part of every fucking parlay. Druff likes the sharp public analysis. I like money.

    We are really doing this exercise to antagonize Todd with favorites betting. Poor guy. He’s so sure of himself.

    Lotta day games and I’m getting a late start. They all look like shite. Oakland looks good. Carrot Top is pitching for the Dodgers.

    Gimme a few.

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    Not great but here it is

    905 Washington Nationals -118 for 1st 5 Innings W

    915 Chicago White Sox -123 for Game W

    922 Atlanta Braves/Minnesota Twins over 11 +102 for Game W

    926 Oakland Athletics/Chicago Cubs over 10½ -114 for Game W

    927 San Diego Padres -145 for Game L
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-07-2019 at 05:47 PM.

  18. #20278
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Carrot Top is pitching for the Dodgers.

    Gimme a few.
    I love Cards Flaherty and Todgers Gingergaard is a middle relief guy doing spot starts cause it doesn’t matter at this point ...

    I actually think Dustin May (Carrot Top) gets rocked if anyone studies his tape from his debut.

    ...but I’m gonna pass

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    You doing tennis Salty or badguy?

    I forgot we have some players here.

    Chalk parlay for even money

    Tablet - Tennis - WTA - 202015 Halep, Simona -296 for Match
    Tablet - Tennis - WTA - 202005 Bertens, Kiki -208 for Match

    Fading badguy’s chubby jail bait Sake. Just too much value to pass this up

    Tablet - Tennis - WTA - 202024 Swiatek, Iga +252 for Match

    I continue to say tennis live wagering is the greatest edge in sports. Algo so dumb. A -300 favorite in a 4-4 spot down 0-30. I get offered even money

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    Someday we are gonna have to address titty tassels and Halep’s boob reduction badguy.

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