*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Pickleball]

MLB -

These are my two future bets in 2023.

1. Dodgers to win the World Series at +450
The Dodgers record vs the Braves this year was 13-12.
Look for a seven games series for the National League Pennant, if both teams make it to the champioship round.

The Dodgers will have less pressure in the playoffs this year, since the Braves are favored to win the pennant and the World Series.

2. Orioles to win the American League Pennant + 275
Their record playing the Astros this year was 3-3.
The Astros had a losing record playing their home games at 39-42, but the best Away record in the American League at 51-30.

We all know that come playoff time, anything can happen.
The first round (best of five) can be an underdog's best friend. Just ask the San Diego Padres.

[BCR]

Anyone smart have an opinion on tonight? Obviously Seattle is better, but the public seems all over them and it feels a bit like the Jets spot.

[Tellafriend]

Anyone smart have an opinion on tonight? Obviously Seattle is better, but the public seems all over them and it feels a bit like the Jets spot.

i bet seattle earlier in the week and today over 46. just hunches.

[BCR]

Anyone smart have an opinion on tonight? Obviously Seattle is better, but the public seems all over them and it feels a bit like the Jets spot.

i bet seattle earlier in the week and today over 46. just hunches.

Yeah, my gut says Geno back in NY and the Giants are AIDS on offense, and both defenses suck. I was looking at the over 46. Has moved from 47.5 this morning. Maybe I’ll bet my first teaser and take NYG +8.5 and over 40. Probably just best to avoid as 27-10 someone wouldn’t exactly surprise me, even though it feels like a high scoring game with 2 bad defenses. I don’t love any of the props even.

[Tellafriend]

i bet seattle earlier in the week and today over 46. just hunches.

Yeah, my gut says Geno back in NY and the Giants are AIDS on offense, and both defenses suck. I was looking at the over 46. Has moved from 47.5 this morning. Maybe I’ll bet my first teaser and take NYG +8.5 and over 40. Probably just best to avoid as 27-10 someone wouldn’t exactly surprise me, even though it feels like a high scoring game with 2 bad defenses. I don’t love any of the props even.

my only prop tonight and it is NOT Daly sanctioned:

FL Darius Slayton of the New York Giants will have over 39.5 receiving yards -120

[BCR]

Just went against public betting and went with modified parlay.

SEA Seahawks @ NY Giants
Football
NFL
Oct 2, 2023 at 08:15 PM
Point Spread
NY Giants +3.0
SEA Seahawks @ NY Giants
Football
NFL
Oct 2, 2023 at 08:15 PM
Total Points
Over 40
+145

Figured if Giants stay close, it’s likely going over 40. Probably regret it.

[Ballhawknet]

In what alternate reality has the Braves and Dodgers playing 25 games this year?
This obvious mistake disqualifies you for posting any and all baseball picks the remainder of 2023.

MLB -

These are my two future bets in 2023.

1. Dodgers to win the World Series at +450
The Dodgers record vs the Braves this year was 13-12.
Look for a seven games series for the National League Pennant, if both teams make it to the champioship round.

The Dodgers will have less pressure in the playoffs this year, since the Braves are favored to win the pennant and the World Series.

2. Orioles to win the American League Pennant + 275
Their record playing the Astros this year was 3-3.
The Astros had a losing record playing their home games at 39-42, but the best Away record in the American League at 51-30.

We all know that come playoff time, anything can happen.
The first round (best of five) can be an underdog's best friend. Just ask the San Diego Padres.

[Pickleball]

In what alternate reality has the Braves and Dodgers playing 25 games this year?
This obvious mistake disqualifies you for posting any and all baseball picks the remainder of 2023.

MLB -

These are my two future bets in 2023.

1. Dodgers to win the World Series at +450
The Dodgers record vs the Braves this year was 13-12.
Look for a seven games series for the National League Pennant, if both teams make it to the champioship round.

The Dodgers will have less pressure in the playoffs this year, since the Braves are favored to win the pennant and the World Series.

2. Orioles to win the American League Pennant + 275
Their record playing the Astros this year was 3-3.
The Astros had a losing record playing their home games at 39-42, but the best Away record in the American League at 51-30.

We all know that come playoff time, anything can happen.
The first round (best of five) can be an underdog's best friend. Just ask the San Diego Padres.

You are correct that the stat I posted was an error. They played 7 games vs each other this year.

As far as me being disqualified from posting my opinions on MLB, all I can say is shoo fly shoo.....

[Sanlmar]

If you have the MGM promo this is a fun idea

[JeffDime]

Been having a lot of trouble making decisions on the golf this week. There is tons of tournaments. Most of the men’s with guys who just won the Ryder Cup as favorites. Really having a tough time locking in.

Great reminder why I try to stay in my lane…Took Alvarez over Sinner today and after losing first set tie break he got absolutely destroyed 6-1 to get closed out. I may have something later, but just can’t be specific on a time. I’m really trying to not force things. Seems crazy to take a week off with 6 tournaments going but if I don’t have a strong opinion that’s the correct move. I’ve been pretty locked in last month, even on my losses.

But there is only the illusion of momentum in sports betting. Each event is completely brand new. You can certainly improve as a bettor and a big part of that is knowing when not to bet. That’s a good reason why most touts are BS. They will always tell you to bet….because that’s how they get paid.

There are always things from the past you are certainly going to tske into account when making the bet…but with betting, you start over every week or every game or however you want to look at it. Good luck with the Baseball! Some great work up here by everyone as always.

[Sanlmar]

Just went to withdraw something from BetOnline and I was informed BOL and /or their payment processor is looking to grift a little something for Bitcoin withdrawals. That’s new.

Don’t have to bet everything but we do.

Glasnow hasn’t been a playoff stud historically. Glasnow hasn’t been sharp recently either. Rangers Monty has been fine. Monty has pitched 5x in the Rays circus tent so I’m ok with that. Public is all over Rays and I’ll just take the value. Texas F5 +135

I’m gonna go with Gausman Jays F5 +100. Minny Lopez has looked like dogshit against some awful teams of late. His better games were against Cleveland and the Mets so whoop de doo. The Jays are so unreliable offensively but I go into this knowing it’s two bad teams.

I credited your account with two free bets Tellafriend.


Brewers F5 RL -130
Phillies F5 RL -110

[Sanlmar]

You obviously see me in the midst of a mental health crisis when I bet the banned Jays IN A PLAYOFF GAME.

Not a word of alarm or support.

[DJ_Chaps]

Just went to withdraw something from BetOnline and I was informed BOL and /or their payment processor is looking to grift a little something for Bitcoin withdrawals. That’s new.

Don’t have to bet everything but we do.

Glasnow hasn’t been a playoff stud historically. Glasnow hasn’t been sharp recently either. Rangers Monty has been fine. Monty has pitched 5x in the Rays circus tent so I’m ok with that. Public is all over Rays and I’ll just take the value. Texas F5 +135

I’m gonna go with Gausman Jays F5 +100. Minny Lopez has looked like dogshit against some awful teams of late. His better games were against Cleveland and the Mets so whoop de doo. The Jays are so unreliable offensively but I go into this knowing it’s two bad teams.

I credited your account with two free bets Tellafriend.


Brewers F5 RL -130
Phillies F5 RL -110

TWINS HAD LOST LIKE 18 STRAIGHT PLAYOFF GAMES, BUT WHY ARE YOU CALLING THE JAYS A BAD TEAM? LOL

[Dan Druff]

I was considering going with Arizona, but Pfaadt is just so inconsistent, I could see him getting bombed and feeling like an idiot.

So I'll just sit today out. Would've taken Texas but was sleeping. Oh well.

[Daly]

Being the selfish twit i am i usually hold this sort of thing until later in the week but its been a while since I helped the fellas out.

Dont know what the line is yet but the Commanders are up there with Sacks with 13 YTD and the Bears have let up a dreadful 17. Not sure what the team total for sacks will be the wash this week but its a good chance ill be looking to be on the over so long as its not overly adjusted.

[1dollarboxcar]

PGA, Sanderson Farms Championship starts tomorrow, DK offered a NO hole in one for the tournament at +150.... i sprinkled on that and then

Eric Cole to finish top 20 at +100

[JeffDime]

Sorry bout late notice but I see 75 watching this thread so you got an hour before tee off of Sanderson…Play or fade


Sanderson - Dime Piece on Ludwig Aberg 12/1 and 11/1 - weighing the hangover against holes 11-15 where he should score like a maniac this week…decided to fire. Betting kiosk and at the cage because of hacking as much as possible. Caused me to get punished 11-1 for about half the bet. 60 bucks FRL +2800 (Fanduel)


Volunteers - look I got 300 on Lexi at 30-1. It’s not a play I love it’s a play I had to take. You’re not going to find better than 25-1. I wouldn’t play her at those odds. Once I made the bet the book moved her to 22-1. But I believe MGM still has her 25-1. But I don’t love it there. Would like 28. 60 bucks FRL +3500 (Standard number)


ARAMCO Hong Kong brought to you by PIF - Nickel on J Ko +450. Weak field and Asia. Must fire.

Korm Ferry Tour Championship 200 on Adrien Dumont de Chassart 29-1. Form been off a bit but maybe the championship gets him back. You won’t find 29-1 though. 25 prob best you can do.

Don’t love Strick at +250. God Mode and Father Time have to have an effect. I have him parlayed with a few of these small if your app allows it. But not firing 2.5-1.

Too late for the Dunhill Links.

GL. Sorry bout late notice but that’s how long it took me to decide to fire on Lud the Stud. This could ne over fast. It was a tough one. He’s young and strong like Bull but that’s a massive turnaround/jet lag for anyone. Even for a young specimen like Lud. The course he should handle and that was the deciding factor.

[DJ_Chaps]

Sorry bout late notice but I see 75 watching this thread so you got an hour before tee off of Sanderson…Play or fade


Sanderson - Dime Piece on Ludwig Aberg 12/1 and 11/1 - weighing the hangover against holes 11-15 where he should score like a maniac this week…decided to fire. Betting kiosk and at the cage because of hacking as much as possible. Caused me to get punished 11-1 for about half the bet. 60 bucks FRL +2800 (Fanduel)


Volunteers - look I got 300 on Lexi at 30-1. It’s not a play I love it’s a play I had to take. You’re not going to find better than 25-1. I wouldn’t play her at those odds. Once I made the bet the book moved her to 22-1. But I believe MGM still has her 25-1. But I don’t love it there. Would like 28. 60 bucks FRL +3500 (Standard number)


ARAMCO Hong Kong brought to you by PIF - Nickel on J Ko +450. Weak field and Asia. Must fire.

Korm Ferry Tour Championship 200 on Adrien Dumont de Chassart 29-1. Form been off a bit but maybe the championship gets him back. You won’t find 29-1 though. 25 prob best you can do.

Don’t love Strick at +250. God Mode and Father Time have to have an effect. I have him parlayed with a few of these small if your app allows it. But not firing 2.5-1.

Too late for the Dunhill Links.

GL. Sorry bout late notice but that’s how long it took me to decide to fire on Lud the Stud. This could ne over fast. It was a tough one. He’s young and strong like Bull but that’s a massive turnaround/jet lag for anyone. Even for a young specimen like Lud. The course he should handle and that was the deciding factor.

Ludvig Aberg @ +1200
Winner - PGA Tour - Sanderson Farms C'ship 2023

Each Way terms: 1/5 odds for first 6 places

[Daly]

Being the selfish twit i am i usually hold this sort of thing until later in the week but its been a while since I helped the fellas out.

Dont know what the line is yet but the Commanders are up there with Sacks with 13 YTD and the Bears have let up a dreadful 17. Not sure what the team total for sacks will be the wash this week but its a good chance ill be looking to be on the over so long as its not overly adjusted.

Opened 5.5 -110, closed -160

We got the right side anyway.

[JeffDime]

Ludwig looks like absolute death out there. This was my worry both the tiredness and these big hitters struggle around and on the greens when they first come on tour. But Sanderson is a tournament you don’t need to putt the lights out. But he’s not taking advantage of this back nine stretch where he can manufacture birdies.

Miserable day out there and just doesn’t look good guys. Sloppy chip and bogey on 12 after not making birdie on 11. Wish I put more on J Ko. Playing in Asia really seems to be the ticket for her. She wins it will be a small profitable week. Let’s hope she keeps the solid lead and play and we can get to next week. I just don’t feel great about Ludwig watching him on PGA Tour live. Looks like he wants to be in bed. He can still turn it around but needs to be passed the smelling salts pretty fast and get this round on track.

The FRL bets are really for the purpose of hopefully freerolling the week. I could not find any market that offered it on J Ko and it’s sucks. But that’s how it goes.

DuMont was a very small shot in the dark. Bed shit. Lexi don’t get me started. Last week she didn’t play to win. She hit half the greens yesterday and shot even. Shes playing with the boys next week mainly because her name recognition and her distance. But I’ll be surprised if she breaks 80 either day. + 23 is what I’m going with.