*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[simpdog]

Sawks -145 tonight vs Jays.

Jays bullpen blew it last night and their starter will tonight. (Sorry Druff)

[hongkonger]

Week 1 NFL Line’s out. Pretty much every game is less than a three point spread. Need a CMoney appearance here for a bold week 1 pic! Anyone else here reading the tea leaves?

Wongs.

[Daly]

Week 1 NFL Line’s out. Pretty much every game is less than a three point spread. Need a CMoney appearance here for a bold week 1 pic! Anyone else here reading the tea leaves?

I’ve read the tea leaves. The most sure bet on the board is novice bettors across the nation will pour into the most liquid (re: sharp) market there is in sports wagering and have very little chance to come out ahead.

My prediction for week 2 is the 2-5 teams that come out and win impressively as Dogs will open up as much larger favorites then they should. Week 2 is my best non prop week year in year out.

[Sanlmar]

What are the lines like in Mississippi?

Are they the legalized fail I expect?

[Daly]

What are the lines like in Mississippi?

Are they the legalized fail I expect?

From everything I’ve read the best of lines post law change has been .12. NJ had the equivalent of .30 lines on golf a few weeks ago. Most are between .15-.20

[ErickAA]

Daly,

Have you given any CFB team O/U bets yet? I checked the last couple pages and didn’t see anything, so not sure.

[Daly]

ZoD and I had a long exchange earlier today on a different matter. At the end I shared with him my Hot takes on the upcoming football season. I figured I’d share (some of this isn’t new)

BC over 5.5 was stealing (seeing 7 now), BC +15.5 vs Clemson in the game of the year is a buy,BC vs Umass -18 week 1 is a buy - think I’m going to be backing BC a lot early on this season.

FSU will be hard pressed not to win at least 7 games... really can’t see them not doing it.

UCLA won’t win 6 with that schedule

OHIO U will win the MAC - over 8.5 is good, but most seem to like under

Boise Boise Boise Boise, blue turf, blue turf..... I get it. But put me down for Fresno State in the Mountan West.

If you can find Auburn week one -2.5 buy it, will be 3 by kickoff if not already

Big Ben under 4450 passing yards is “lockish” - done it once in 15 years

T Gurley might go over 1350 yards but give me the under all day long. In today’s NFL it’s just incredibly hard to do.

Kamura Under 950 rushing is a play, over priced by 150 yards

D Watson led the league in fantasy points in the half season he started, buy in fantasy and for MVP

By week one of the Presason I have a list together for OROY..... this year I don’t have a good feel for anyone. None of the QB really stand out.

Imp

[simpdog]

Sawks -145 tonight vs Jays.

Jays bullpen blew it last night and their starter will tonight. (Sorry Druff)

Both the starter + bullpen blowing it tonight

Pushing the luck here...

Oakland +155

I like the pick and I know Sanlmar will love it.

[Dan Druff]

Sawks -145 tonight vs Jays.

Jays bullpen blew it last night and their starter will tonight. (Sorry Druff)

Both the starter + bullpen blowing it tonight

Pushing the luck here...

Oakland +155

I like the pick and I know Sanlmar will love it.

I know a guy who went first 5 on Boston. He had to be happy with that decision after both winning and watching them melt down in the 6th and 7th. They'll probably still win, though.

I had no picks today, though.

I looked, just liked nothing.

The Oakland +155 actually isn't bad. Good team, at home, Kershaw hasn't been himself this year, Fiers has been decent.

Obv I'll be rooting against it though.

[Sanlmar]

Sawks -145 tonight vs Jays.

Jays bullpen blew it last night and their starter will tonight. (Sorry Druff)

Both the starter + bullpen blowing it tonight

Pushing the luck here...

Oakland +155

I like the pick and I know Sanlmar will love it.

TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 967 BOSTON RED SOX -140 FOR GAME

TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 968 BOSTON RED SOX/TORONTO BLUE JAYS OVER 9½ -110 FOR GAME

Just can’t quite pull the trigger with the gun aimed at Kershaw’s head. But this is a Kershaw fade too

MOBILE - BASEBALL - MLB - 978 LOS ANGELES DODGERS/OAKLAND ATHLETICS OVER 4 +105 FOR 1ST 5 INNINGS


TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 978 LOS ANGELES DODGERS/OAKLAND ATHLETICS OVER 7½ -120 FOR GAME

Been an easy day.

Braves +104 and the 9 over


Keep posting Simp

[ErickAA]

ZoD and I had a long exchange earlier today on a different matter. At the end I shared with him my Hot takes on the upcoming football season. I figured I’d share (some of this isn’t new)

BC over 5.5 was stealing (seeing 7 now), BC +15.5 vs Clemson in the game of the year is a buy,BC vs Umass -18 week 1 is a buy - think I’m going to be backing BC a lot early on this season.

FSU will be hard pressed not to win at least 7 games... really can’t see them not doing it.

UCLA won’t win 6 with that schedule

OHIO U will win the MAC - over 8.5 is good, but most seem to like under

Boise Boise Boise Boise, blue turf, blue turf..... I get it. But put me down for Fresno State in the Mountan West.

If you can find Auburn week one -2.5 buy it, will be 3 by kickoff if not already

Big Ben under 4450 passing yards is “lockish” - done it once in 15 years

T Gurley might go over 1350 yards but give me the under all day long. In today’s NFL it’s just incredibly hard to do.

Kamura Under 950 rushing is a play, over priced by 150 yards

D Watson led the league in fantasy points in the half season he started, buy in fantasy and for MVP

By week one of the Presason I have a list together for OROY..... this year I don’t have a good feel for anyone. None of the QB really stand out.

Imp

Thanks. I just listened to the "Behind the Bets" podcast with Stanford Steve and Fallica. I am pretty sure they agree with you on BC and Fl St.

[Daly]

Anyone have a bookmaker account?

[ErickAA]

I had an account at one time, but I haven't used it in years.

Back in the day they were the only books that would release football lines Sunday night for the next week, which was kind of fun to bet super early on lines you thought were off, although obviously I didn't make any $$ doing this.

[Daly]

I had an account at one time, but I haven't used it in years.

Back in the day they were the only books that would release football lines Sunday night for the next week, which was kind of fun to bet super early on lines you thought were off, although obviously I didn't make any $$ doing this.

PM sent

[Sanlmar]

Nice job Simp.

Treinen coming in to close it out

Lock it up.

[snake_in_the_ass]

Nice job Simp.

Treinen coming in to close it out

Lock it up.

Go Oakland!

[Charham]

ok finally have some sides, ATL ML, and CLE, MIL and Houston (RL and ML).

[Sanlmar]

The democratization of gambling (and the death of big casinos) has long been my call.

Buffalo Wild Wings is exploring offering sports wagering. They are the biggest sports bar in America.

This is fucking brilliant.

The trend is Millenials ordering out. You keep their ass in the seat and add customers who would not have gone to a place like that ordinarily. Brilliant synergy

Partner with William Hill.

A sports book atmosphere on every corner.

[Sanlmar]

ok finally have some sides, ATL ML, and CLE, MIL and Houston (RL and ML).

I caught Braves v Nats @ +126 last night.

I couldn’t believe it. We joke about a bad line but I kept asking myself, “what am I missing ?”

Things have corrected themselves but it’s still a good spot @ +105

I did Sawks at -165 and Dodgers u10.5 last night too.

Sawks Porcello v Jays rookie Borucki. Borucki doesn’t have swing and miss stuff. Good luck against Sawks lineup. Lotta juice- should be more. I may take another bite under -155.

[Sanlmar]

Hey Plop,

You ever wonder what Druff’s life would have been if he spent the summer with an Amish family as a yute?

Skip to. 1:50 and try your best to ignore Kimmel.