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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #40721
    How Could You? WillieMcFML's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by WillieMcFML View Post
    Any college basketball sharps?

    DK pick6 has a 50% boost tomorrow cbb and I know nothing.

    Shill me your picks please.

    Edit: for anyone unfamiliar with DK P6, these are player props.
    I haven’t seen it yet on DK. There is a whole “boost” subculture. Crazy Ninja Odds on discord and CNO adjacent discords get deep into the math using sharp books like Pinny to devig the EV for the boost. Usually, stuff like football and basketball that I don’t care about I just let the math win

    The limits on these boosts vary like crazy. I often skip them if they are super small

    I’ll check tomorrow

    Crazy Ninja Mike just joined ProphetX. I’ll have to see if things have changed.
    DK Pick6, underdog, and prizepicks are probably not beatable without the boosts - at least DK now with the payout changes the rake is something like 40%

    Luckily underdog and DK have profit boosts damn near everyday

    DK P6 boosts are usually either 30% or 50%, max bet of $100

    Underdog the max bet on their boosts can be a grand or two

    The payouts on DK P6 can be massive though, as it’s paramutual. Everywhere else the payouts are fixed.
    Hi Lew!!!

  2. #40722
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Can you screenshot the promo? I’m curious now.

    The Catholic Church and well meaning liberals might not allow Prize Picks here. Maybe that’s it.

    40% dear lord. I’ll light a candle for you



    The CNO peeps have gotten out of regional boosts analysis iirc

    Speaking of college basketball you really need a NIL deal yourself.

  3. #40723
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    Hi Lew!!!

  4. #40724
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WillieMcFML View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I haven’t seen it yet on DK. There is a whole “boost” subculture. Crazy Ninja Odds on discord and CNO adjacent discords get deep into the math using sharp books like Pinny to devig the EV for the boost. Usually, stuff like football and basketball that I don’t care about I just let the math win

    The limits on these boosts vary like crazy. I often skip them if they are super small

    I’ll check tomorrow

    Crazy Ninja Mike just joined ProphetX. I’ll have to see if things have changed.
    DK Pick6, underdog, and prizepicks are probably not beatable without the boosts - at least DK now with the payout changes the rake is something like 40%

    Luckily underdog and DK have profit boosts damn near everyday

    DK P6 boosts are usually either 30% or 50%, max bet of $100

    Underdog the max bet on their boosts can be a grand or two

    The payouts on DK P6 can be massive though, as it’s paramutual. Everywhere else the payouts are fixed.
    Step one: know college football well

    Step two: wait until they release the season long player totals

    Step three: identify the very best unders

    Step four: hammer as much as they let you on all the two “team” parlays you can

    Step five watch injury take out half you your picks and be right about the other half and scoop the whole card

    Step six get invited to leave the platform

  5. #40725
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    I closed my DK account this morning. I sweated an under 38.5 on last night's game I bet mid game, won it, barely. It was only $1,000 but I am just mentally fatigued watching games at 11:30pm when I would normally be asleep. Sports betting is really the worst, I don't have an off switch and just check the score the next day, I have to obsessively follow the game until the end. I am literally nodding off in my chair last night watching the last play. A game I would never even watched with no money on it. I just prefer Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em in the pits of a casino every couple months. I do really well at that game, and it's enjoyable. I am just done with sports betting. It's too much of a time commitment, and just mentally torturous, especially when you get into over/unders in college football at 11pm on a Saturday night.

     
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      Tellafriend: fucking truth

  6. #40726
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Phoenix -5.5 -110 at Utah

     
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      WillieMcFML: Got em

  7. #40727
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I closed my DK account this morning. I sweated an under 38.5 on last night's game I bet mid game, won it, barely. It was only $1,000 but I am just mentally fatigued watching games at 11:30pm when I would normally be asleep. Sports betting is really the worst, I don't have an off switch and just check the score the next day, I have to obsessively follow the game until the end. I am literally nodding off in my chair last night watching the last play. A game I would never even watched with no money on it. I just prefer Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em in the pits of a casino every couple months. I do really well at that game, and it's enjoyable. I am just done with sports betting. It's too much of a time commitment, and just mentally torturous, especially when you get into over/unders in college football at 11pm on a Saturday night.

    The key is to not watch the games.

  8. #40728
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I closed my DK account this morning. I sweated an under 38.5 on last night's game I bet mid game, won it, barely. It was only $1,000 but I am just mentally fatigued watching games at 11:30pm when I would normally be asleep. Sports betting is really the worst, I don't have an off switch and just check the score the next day, I have to obsessively follow the game until the end. I am literally nodding off in my chair last night watching the last play. A game I would never even watched with no money on it. I just prefer Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em in the pits of a casino every couple months. I do really well at that game, and it's enjoyable. I am just done with sports betting. It's too much of a time commitment, and just mentally torturous, especially when you get into over/unders in college football at 11pm on a Saturday night.

    The key is to not watch the games.
    Yeah, I guess, but I am addicted to the action. I just can't do it anymore. It just tortures me watching a Washington State game at midnight because you can't stay awake. It breaks you spiritually. Even when you win you still wake up at 4am wondering WTF happened in the game, going to your phone. I just am done, and I have done fairly decent the last 5 years, probably break even I guess. But sweating whether the kicker gets in field gold range at midnight, I just cant do it any longer. It's a brutal way to gamble, I am sticking to the bi-monthly trip to the casino. That is just me.

  9. #40729
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    The key is to not watch the games.
    Yeah, I guess, but I am addicted to the action. I just can't do it anymore. It just tortures me watching a Washington State game at midnight because you can't stay awake. It breaks you spiritually. Even when you win you still wake up at 4am wondering WTF happened in the game, going to your phone. I just am done, and I have done fairly decent the last 5 years, probably break even I guess. But sweating whether the kicker gets in field gold range at midnight, I just cant do it any longer. It's a brutal way to gamble, I am sticking to the bi-monthly trip to the casino. That is just me.


    fucking more truth bombs. pfa's top, top.

  10. #40730
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I closed my DK account this morning. I sweated an under 38.5 on last night's game I bet mid game, won it, barely. It was only $1,000 but I am just mentally fatigued watching games at 11:30pm when I would normally be asleep. Sports betting is really the worst, I don't have an off switch and just check the score the next day, I have to obsessively follow the game until the end. I am literally nodding off in my chair last night watching the last play. A game I would never even watched with no money on it. I just prefer Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em in the pits of a casino every couple months. I do really well at that game, and it's enjoyable. I am just done with sports betting. It's too much of a time commitment, and just mentally torturous, especially when you get into over/unders in college football at 11pm on a Saturday night.

    The key is to not watch the games.
    The key for me is to watch the first 25-50% of an NZ/Australian Rugby/Basketball/Cricket match or Tennis - I'm up big live betting these spots but I have edge-able insight

    Any tips I take on USA sports I don't watch much and mainly due to having GSW blow a 12 pt lead with 2mins on the clock the day my live ML bet returning 20k busted

    If I sweat them it's usually an unpleasant experience. My down under EV manages to help avoid mostly when watching that stuff
    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  11. #40731
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Orlando vs Indiana - Under 224.5 -110

     
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      go_buccos: Wire to wire

  12. #40732
    Bronze some user's Avatar
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    Current odds today:

    Detroit Lions superbowl winner +460

    Detroit Lions to beat Kansas City Chiefs +1400

  13. #40733
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    starting good feels good
    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  14. #40734
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Orlando vs Indiana - Under 224.5 -110
    didn't see but watched the first quarter

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    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  15. #40735
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    Fuck Devin Sooker
    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  16. #40736
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    Just got blocked twice from betting Josh Okogie over 13.5 and 15.5 by him scoring back to back

    Fuck
    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  17. #40737
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    come on
    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  18. #40738
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    101-98 now
    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  19. #40739
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    paying so much juice doing this shit
    RichardBrodiesCombover has aids

  20. #40740
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Orlando vs Indiana - Under 224.5 -110
    Under 184.5 would have also been acceptable


     
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      OK2: nh

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