*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[1dollarboxcar]

anyone like the Cubs vs Padres over 8 @ -105 tonight ?? i did a little more than a sprinkle on it.... but would add more if i could get some blessings.....

[1dollarboxcar]

my Masters play so far, late last night started with , 2 leg parlay Shane Lowry and Russel Henley top 40 @ -111

in top UK + Ireland category , Shane Lowry +600 and Rory +140

[BCR]

I don’t see how the NCAA final goes over 145.5. Those are both nasty fucking defensive teams. I think it’s closer to 125 than 145.5.

Bet the finals under

I like this Reese Olson, weird play, but adjusted total up a bit. Hate to bet into hot pirates and tigers aren’t hitting, but a feel play

Parlay (2 Picks) @
+210
0 of 2 settled
Apr 8 • 2024 At 01:10:43 PM
Ticket ID: 70522195
Total Runs: Under 9.5
DET Tigers @ PIT Pirates
Moneyline: DET Tigers
DET Tigers @ PIT Pirates



Single
@
-112
Open
Apr 8 • 2024 At 01:14:01 PM
Ticket ID: 70522413
Point Spread: LA Lakers -2.0
GS Warriors @ LA Lakers

Thankfully the under hit. The baseball parlay was loser. I cashed out lakers bet because I thought it was yesterday. Forgot no NBA on finals night of CBB and they added LBJ and AD to injury list as GTD. Happy now that I see Doc the other way.

I hate home team run lines, but have Tribe RL at home today at -103. The pitching and hitting with runners on base has been outstanding. Hope that trend holds up today.

Have a small sprinkle on Ramirez HR +430. Irrelevant in days profit/loss if it blanks, but fun sweat.


Edit- well at least I don’t have to waste time on this one. Loser in first inning

[1dollarboxcar]

Fowler has been dogshit and total dogshit this year and of late...Fowler to miss the cut +148 that's @Circa, you can get +138 @betrivers and +126 @ fanduel

[JeffDime]

Daly - I know you already posted some Masters musings in this thread but any value plays you like this week? (for DFS purposes mostly).

Welcome JeffDime and other’s thoughts here too.

BTW if betting outrights I think you have to prob go 60/40 (w/o Scottie odds/straight up).

But for DFS sake and what not here would be my list excluding Scottie.

Rahm 12
X 16

Then I don’t like any of the guys in the 20s or 30s but I don’t like total bombs either.

Zal 40
Young 45
Lowry 45
Theegala 45
Burns 55
Henley 60
Day 66
Harmon 66
Conners 66
McCarthy 100-1

No bombs and outside Rahm no LIV. Not hating. I just think they will disappoint for the most part. I know Brooks sucks over water and form seems to not matter. But he played absolutely Dicks out at Doral. The guys who played well for the most past don’t have a spot this week. Yes, Sergio does but I think he is beyond disappointed not making that two putt to win last week and I have no trust with him on the greens this week. Phil is totally washed. Golfers age in Dog Years once they hit 53. He will be in the booth next year for LIV. They can’t continue to just have him shoot 77 every day.

Actually for outrights

33.3 Straight
33.3 W/O Scottie
33.3 W/O Scottie, Rahm & Rory.

I’m over generalizing. Obviously it depends on the odds, your risk tolerance and maybe you’re not worried about the top guys that much. But I would spread the money through these 3 markets for any outright not on Scottie, Rahm or Rory. Even if you bet Rahm or Rory certainly put a portion W/o Scottie.

This is a very tough year with Scottie being the only really big name to win. Things are really hectic in men’s Golf and as always Rory is an enigma. No athlete in history has had more money torched on them than Rory. But he wins when you least expect and had a hell of a Sunday in Texas. So if you can fit him in a couple lineups to cover yourself I think that would be wise. Daly’s list looks solid as always and I think there is a good amount of crossover.

GL. As far as a betting card I’m still figuring it all out. I got Rahm future bets I’m locked in to. Have to be careful with these make cuts odds because of the small cut and a dozen or so old timers in the field. Any other major I would be betting Tiger to miss the cut. But he can make it here. In fact I would expect him to play his best Friday when his body is loose and then start to struggle with it on the weekend (if he makes it).

So the theme for me is no LiV outside Rahm. No JT or Spieth. No Joaquin or Ludwig. First time around the track for Lud and his putting just not likely to all of a sudden come alive on these greens. I don’t love what I saw on the greens from Scottie two weeks ago in Houston. Particularly Sunday. But I won’t fade him either. Why I think you need to make these outright bets majority w/o Scottie.

I could end up shipping it on a Scottie at the shit odds. But I haven’t made up my mind yet. Will let you know if I do.

An absolute bomb for DFS sake mainly. 300 Ryo Hisatune. Young kid from Japan may be something real special. I rather take the bomb on the come. Although the Masters trend goes the other way b/c course knowledge is so important. But he’s cheap enough to throw in a lineup.

Yes and no Clark for me. I wouldn’t try and hit these putts through the break. They will end up back in the fairway. But in general, I think his game is more suited to US Open/PGA type setups. I guess time will tell on that. He certainly can do damage on 13 & 15. But his game lacks the nuisance at this point imho for Augusta.

Hopefully this helps with a DFS angle. I can’t like everyone so I tried to give my angle/ how I would try and differentiate myself.

[1dollarboxcar]

rain, wind and maybe thunderstorms expected for thursday @ Masters... but then weather looks beautiful for the rest of the tournament....

[1dollarboxcar]

rain, wind and maybe thunderstorms expected for thursday @ Masters... but then weather looks beautiful for the rest of the tournament....

and don't forget Augusta National has these sub air drying systems under all the greens and trouble spots in the some of the fairways.... it helps the course recover faster.... i don't think they actually turn them on while playing... anyways....

someone else had also mentioned Shane Lowry doing well in this tournament, i also noticed this while looking over past performances and stats and stuff the last few days.... the one name that i kept seeing as a " more than solid player " here was Lowry... and my intent was to get him in play where i can cause he is not that expensive and should do well here again... so here we go....

Lowry to shoot under 72.5 in round 1, +110 @DK
3 ball round 1, Lowry +130 over Bhatia and Poston @DK
sprinkle Lowry to win +6000 @DK

Rickie Fowler ( Flowers as i like to call him ) over 73.5 round 1, -105 @DK

already have Scheffler in futures... so let's just see how he does.... maybe a spot will open up during the tournament to get him in play....

[Dan Druff]

Cubs +126

[1dollarboxcar]

Scheffler said his baby is due.... he may get called off the course....

[Sanlmar]

Does your therapist work weekends @jeffdime?

[1dollarboxcar]

Sam Burns too... https://ftw.usatoday.com/2024/04/sco...-labor-masters

[1dollarboxcar]

Lowry +100 over Fleetwood in tournament matchup

Lowry +185, tournament 3 ball over Theegala and Fleetwood

[1dollarboxcar]

Tiger Woods to miss the cut -115 , if they even play tomorrow he will have to play more than 18 holes on Friday, if they do play tomorrow and then have to stop and maybe start up again ( and that may happen a few times ) and then finish extra holes on Friday,... his riddled body can't handle this.....

[Daly]

So i came to post that tiger missed cut bet. I like it as well. No guarantees he even makes it to 36 let alone with the score needed.

I also like Christo Lamprecht +200 this weekend for top Amateur.

Phil should easily be top Sr.

[Daly]

Lowry +100 over Fleetwood in tournament matchup

Lowry +185, tournament 3 ball over Theegala and Fleetwood

Wish Theegala wasn't in this.

[DrPeters]

oakland a's +1.5

[Dan Druff]

NHL

Vegas -106 at Edmonton

[Starbucks Spunk Bucket]

Took an impulsive head stagger and added the following to my stable:

Lowry 40/1 ew top 7
Rory 22/1 FRL ew top 5
Hideki 28/1 FRL ew top 5

GLGLGL

[Daly]

At 4.5 or 5 to one I dont think its a big rush to bet it today.

That said I think I have locked myself into a Scottie Scheffler Masters ticket even at the short odds.

I mean there are always stories and angles. I just feel like its a chalk year. Who else is going to come up and get him? I mean I am not afraid of Rory. And the other two main guys are Rham and Koepka and I think its hard to show up off LIV and win here despite what Koepka looked like last year (and was a play at 60-1 or whatever it was).

Nobody else is “hot” or “in form” except maybe X. Maybe W Clark. Could one of the also rans like Lowry, Theegala, Cantlay….. I mean I guess.

Not calling lock here at at such short odds its probably a pass. But for him to be this short already in this tournament I think it says something.

[DrPeters]

jazz +11