Saturday, UFC 273
Piera Rodriguez -150
Jairzinho Rozenstruik -155
Mark O Madsen +115
Mackenzie Dern -115
Also sprinkled some on the feature bout underdogs.... Burns ML (+400), Sterling wins in 60 seconds (+10000), Sterling ML (+360), and Korean Zombie ML (+550).
Everything worked out except for White Sox.Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Jays were down 7-0 to start. I saw +1224 live. I actually plugged some figure in the box just to gaze at the result of that number x +1224. I had them run line and in a parlay or two. I just gave up. But they are a Show so I watched.
I love the new lights in Toronto’s stadium and the Jerry Jones size monitor in center field. When the closer came in the stadium dimmed and the multicolor light show kicked in. STRAIGHT OUTTA HOCKEY OR THE NBA. The Jays kids are so much fun.
But here’s the thing. I renewed my vows to stick to 1st 5’s. I saw some stuff already from bullpens that scared me straight. I was really mad at myself for being so reckless. You wanna be a degen and gamble late innings do it live.
Today could be a very good day.
I don’t normally hedge but with the price on offer I bit. That said I’ve never made a bet I wanted to lose more.
I think Scotty being offered -200 as a world #1 with a three stroke lead tells you what the book thinks about Smiths chances today. If it was Tiger/Rahm vs some other guy it’s -300 or better.
Crazy to have smith here but to have both Lowry and IM as my 2 & 3 choices is kind of sick. If Scottie took a stroke overnight and Woodland made the cut I’d be #1 in the world at Draftkings.
Best of luck to anyone who tailed and let’s hope for a great Masters Sunday.
Minnesota -135 (Ober) vs. Seattle (M. Gonzales)
Will Seattle win their 3rd straight game to start the year, while on the road?
I don't think so. Bailey Ober isn't an ace by any means, but he's a flyball pitcher, and we're looking at 17mph winds during the game today, blowing in. That should help.
Going to see if I can get a better price on the hedge live. Either way, best of luck! Great plays!
PFA NFL Handicapping Champion
Let's go back to the Reds.
Ian Anderson is a good pitcher, but on March 30, he gave up 6 runs in a spring start. Then, in his next start on April 4, he exited early with a blister on his toe.
This will be his first start since then.
Hunter Greene, the much anticipated Reds rookie, didn't exactly kill it in the spring either, but he did have an 11/3 K/BB ratio.
A lot of these early baseball matchups are catching which pitchers have it together, and which are having issues.
Cincinnati (Greene) +161 at Atlanta (I. Anderson)
All in all, a good night of fights.
Humidors in every park, more stringent sticky stuff checks, juiced balls?, pitchers not ready, YRFi’s amock.
No one has any earthly idea. Not if they are being honest.
I am semi-famous in some circles for this:
Do you think any of us will look back at our lives and regret the games we did not bet …or the places we didn’t go?
Obviously the former …. and yet, MLB I cannot bet. I did one NHL today. All three leagues are untouchable for all but the extreme degenerates at the moment.
Pray for them and be inspired by their bravery
Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-10-2022 at 08:30 PM.
Just call me the Cincinnati Kid. 2-0 on Reds bets so far, and both around +160.
Also hit the less impressive Twins -135.
3-2, up 1.971 units in the early goings in MLB.
Soon I'll have to stop riding the spring stats and look at the regular season, though. Later on it might be R+H+E time again, in select spots.
Starting at 11:10am, but if you're around, you can fire.
Carlos Hernandez of the Royals was awwwwwwwwwful in the spring, giving up 12 runs in 7 innings. Aaron Civale was solid, and only allowed 2 runs in his final 2 spring starts (7 innings).
Take the Indians (Guardians) as the small favorite.
Cleveland -110 (Civale) at KC (C. Hernandez)
Speaking of bad pitching...
Michael Wacha has been awful for the past few seasons, and didn't look good in the spring, either. Detroit's Matt Manning was hit and miss in the spring, but his velocity is down about 1.5 mph in his last start. This looks like an OVER.
Boston (Wacha) at Detroit (Manning) - Over 9.5 -115
Tennis degen.
Purcell, Max - Brouwer, Gijs
*Winner
Brouwer, Gijs
-133
Smith, Keegan - Shang, Juncheng
*
Winner
Shang, Juncheng
-192
$900.00
Total Odds
Est. Payout
$2,394.00
Betting in LTC
Last edited by Sam Snead; 04-11-2022 at 10:59 AM. Reason: Est. payout in LTC so could change
I'll probably be banned soon from betting on Stake tennis.
I got a few messages from my VIP host that said I'd be limited to UFC and Soccer and special promotions.
Who makes any money at betting soccer? Please indulge.
If i pull off cash on bodog should I send it to a temp wallet first before cashing out?
Yes. Get the Exodus wallet.
Trying for 3-0 with Cincy this year, and 2-0 with Mahle.
Mahle struck out 7 Braves opening day in Atlanta to get the win. This is an underrated pitcher who struck out 210 last year, going 13-6 on a mediocre Reds team.
Shane Bieber isn't the same guy he was in 2020. He's suffered greatly from the sticky stuff crackdown, and his shoulder may or may not be bothering him. Since the aforementioned crackdown, his spin rate is way down. More notably, his velocity in his first outing was down over 2mph from last year! Somehow he still had a decent outing last time, but 2022 doesn't bode well for him if he can't fix these issues.
Cincinnati (Mahle) -101 vs. Cleveland
Now a pick along the lines of "pitchers who shouldn't be in MLB anymore".
Jose Quintana had a 6.43 ERA and 1.743 WHIP last year. He was obliterated in his first two spring starts, though he managed to "only" allow 2 runs in 4 innings in his last outing.
He's starting for a bad Pirates team which will probably lose 100+ games.
Drew Smyly, on the other hand, has actually been sharp in his 2 spring appearances, and his 4.48/1.374 line in 2021 was actually a big improvement over his disasterous 2019 campaign. I wouldn't count on him to deliver a lot of innings, but I'm expecting him to be better than Quintana.
Cubs (Smyly) -114 at Pittsburgh (Quintana)
Monster sports day.
4th day of the season and we had our first position player on the mound.
Gonna give the MLB card a gander. Need to look at how many innings starters are lasting. 4? When does Urias pitch?
In order of love
Golden Knights -135
St. Louis Blues +116
LA Kings -145
Fun Parlay +158
Florida Panthers -1½ -165
Toronto Maple Leafs -1½ -165
Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-12-2022 at 11:36 AM.
Ughh, Druff making me look
Two absolutely trash pitchers in Doyers Minny
Will there be a score in 1st Inning - YES (LAD @ MIN) -115
Like WTF?
Sprinkle
Dodgers/Minnesota Twins over 5 -115 for 1st 5 Innings
Kershaw tomorrow. I think the fun times are over. RIP
Braves kid Elder is fascinating. Nats Corbin triggers gag reflex.
Braves -140 for 1st 5 Innings
Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-12-2022 at 11:51 AM.
Todd making me look at MLB. Yikes
Dan Druff binky Yu Darvish. New arm angle. New Indians pitching coach god. Yu’s personal,catcher is gone but #’s great last time out. He may never leave the mound
San Diego Padres -110 for 1st 5 Innings
Good luck guys.
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