*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

Right now it's 23-6 Sac.

Wow.

Thanks, Bovada (at least thanks for right now).

[Dan Druff]

38-16 Sac at the 1st quarter.

Interesting how the public loved what appeared to be a bad Sac line (at least to me), and then indeed Sac is clobbering Memphis. Is there something I'm missing here, or was this just a case of the public getting behind something and then it happening to work out right?

[simpdog]

Lol @ Philly 76ers almost losing by 50 pts with 5 mins to go. That is embarrassing

[rollinx420]

Lol @ Philly 76ers almost losing by 50 pts with 5 mins to go. That is embarrassing

down 44 at the half, yikes

[Hockey Guy]

Lol @ Philly 76ers almost losing by 50 pts with 5 mins to go. That is embarrassing

down 44 at the half, yikes

How the fuck could any team be down 44 at the half. How is that even possible?

That's pathetic.

[Dan Druff]

I would have gone 1-1 today if I bet on my two picks. Memphis -5 would have lost, Brooklyn +10.5 would have won.

I bet on neither. Whatever. Wasn't going to count it in my record because I didn't actually bet on either.

[Dan Druff]

Don't look now, but the Clippers are 0-6 ATS.

[Fademypicks]

Cleveland and Spurs lines jump at me.. Probably trap bets but betting both to cover... and have 3 four team parlays with them being in all...

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

13-9 this week so far.

15-9 last week

28-18

CHI +9 and O 54

29-19

MIA -5 O41.5

1-1

30-20 WIll post this weekend's picks tomorrow.

Not that anyone cares

[Dan Druff]

San Antonio at Lakers

SA is favored by 8. Don't want to touch that one. Lakers are 5-3 ATS.

However, O/U has fallen from 208.5 to 204 (!!), despite no apparent surprise injuries.

Neither team played yesterday. SA hasn't played since Tuesday.

SA has been a mixed bag when it comes to scoring. When they win, they usually score (101, 94, 89, 113). When they lose, they get shut down (89, 81, 99). Of course, the sample space is small, but they only have scored and allowed around 95 per game.

The Lakers, of course, can't pay defense. They have given up 107 or more points in 7 of their 8 games, and 118 or more three times (with no OT!)

Lakers are 5-2-1 in overs so far, though their last over was due to a lucky last minute ball drop by New Orleans.

Right now Bovada has -115 on the 204 line, so I am waiting to see if it goes to -110 as it is in Vegas. If it does, I'll bet it.

Also possibly looking at Cleveland -5 against Boston.

[Daly]

Sorry to have abandoned the thread... I ended up having stomach surgery.

Not much to report tomorrow.

Auto play on Marshall -20.5
LSU O 50.5
FSU U 63

[Dan Druff]

Fired 600 on LA/SA over 204 -115.

Vegas line now 205 so I got a good deal.

[ShadyJ]

Fired 600 on LA/SA over 204 -115.

Vegas line now 205 so I got a good deal.

You do realize that when the line drops that much with no injuries a ton of money went on the under right? Not like alot of bets but a few bets for a shit load of money. Like 4-5 years ago I used to play any o/u that the line moved 3 points or more immediately and although I dont know the % I was making alot of money.

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

Fired 600 on LA/SA over 204 -115.

Vegas line now 205 so I got a good deal.

You do realize that when the line drops that much with no injuries a ton of money went on the under right? Not like alot of bets but a few bets for a shit load of money. Like 4-5 years ago I used to play any o/u that the line moved 3 points or more immediately and although I dont know the % I was making alot of money.

SHut the fuck up. Todd knows more about gambling than you know about where items are in Walmart you white trash long white t shirt wearing disgrace

[Dan Druff]

Well, I didn't know very much tonight.

I didn't bet Cleveland -5, but they only won by 1.

But in the bet I did make (Lakers/Spurs over 204), the Lakers are bricking like they're shooting blindfolded, and put forth a dreadful 35-point first half. My over is looking doubtful. Would need 122 in the 2nd half to tie, which is unlikely against a good SA defensive team and a cold-shooting Lakers squad. I said I would stay away from defensive teams in these O/U bets, and then I did it again. Stupid. Was just excited about the 4.5 point line move, thinking I was getting value.

Oh...and even though I didn't have an opinion on this game, Philadelphia almost beat Houston IN Houston, but lost by 1, after their 53 point massacre last night in Dallas.

But New Orleans followed that up by scoring 139 tonight and winning by 48 over Minnesota. That game slipped off my radar, but I should have bet it. Minnesota has looked terrible lately, and it was only NO -8.

[chinamaniac]

Denver ML -450

Ohio State -13.5/ -14

Minnesota has been playing well and are at home and well but well they havent really beaten anyone. The only ranked team they faced was TCU and they lost by 23. They are going to look to run the ball as that is their strong suit and I think Ohio State keys in on this and takes that away. If they take away Minnesotas run and they get ahead Minnesota will not be able to throw the ball to stay in this game and it could get very ugly. Since losing to Virginia Tech , Ohio State has won by 66, 22 , 28 and this was a road game, 39, 7 in road game @ PSU, 41 and then won by 8 and was more dominating than the 8 showed @ Michigan State.

Ohio State is firing on all cylinders right now and they need to impress the committee and urban knows this and he isnt afraid to run up the score if he gets a chance

TCU -27.5/28

TCU has played 3 unranked opponents this year. They won by 34,56 and 55

Kansas has played 3 opp who are ranked. They lost @ Duke by 38 @ WV by 19 @ Baylor by 46


Boise St -14


SD ST lost @ NC by 4 , @ Oregon State by 21 , @ Fresno by 11 , they won @ NM and they suck and they lost by 16 @ Nevada

Boise is better than all of those teams IMO. On the blue turf this year Boise beat Colorado State by 13 and they are a good team and the game wasn't as close as this score looks. They beat La Lafayette by 25, Fresno by 10, BYU by 25

Good chance of a double digit victory on the blue rug IMO

Michigan State -11/11.5

Maryland has played 2 top 25 teams this year. They lost to Wisconsin 52-7 and Ohio State 52-24. Michigan State has handled every team they have played this year pretty easily outside of the 2 losses to Ohio State and Oregon who are both now top 8 teams.

Arizona State -7 /7.5

I think they cover even if it is 7.5 more often than not but 7 would be best. 2 teams going in oppo directions here.

Oregon State opened the season with 3 wins vs sub par teams. Since then they lost @ USC by 25, they beat Colorado, lost @ home to Utah by 6 , lost @ Stanford by 24, and lost by 14 @ home to Cal and lost by 7 @ home to Wazzou even with Wazzous backup QB playing.

Zona State got blown out @ home by UCLA by 35 and almost lost @ USC but won with a late hail Mary. Since that USC game they beat Stanford by 16, won @ Washington by 14 , beat Utah by 3, and beat Notre Dame by 24.

Just 2 teams heading in oppo directions and I think ASU has too much firepower.

[BeerAndPoker]

Like your picks China especially TCU and MSU but I'd never lay the Denver -450 ML juice even if it's a lock. MSU seems like a gift.

[BCR]

u40 in Temple/PSU seems awful probable. Penn State has awesome defense and a horrible offense. Temple isn't explosive. That game strikes me as another 13-10 affair. I'm hitting that with 1.5 units

Also temple + 11.5. 1 unit


Iowa -3.5 1 unit
Washington/ Az o61. 1 unit
Notre Dame -17.5. 1 unit
MSU -12. 1 unit

[JimmyG_415]

2 units 11/7/14 11:30pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1102 Al Iaquinta +140* vs Ross Pearson*
1 Unit 11/7/14 10:30pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1301 Walt Harris +150* vs Soa Palelei*
1 unit 11/7/14 8:00pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1802 Chris Clements +110* vs Vik Grujic*

2-1 +2.9

1 Unit 11/8/14 11:59pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1001 Ovince St. Preux +145* vs Mauricio Rua*
1 Unit 11/8/14 8:30pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1802 Charlie Brenneman +105* vs Leandro Silva*

3-2 +3.35 @GambLou

1 unit 11/15/14 11:00pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1201 Ricardo Lamas +168* vs Dennis Bermudez*
1 unit 11/15/14 11:59pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1001 Mark Hunt/Fabricio Werdum Over 1½*-135*
1 unit [24234] YAIR RODRIGUEZ -165 (LEONARDO MORALES vrs YAIR RODRIGUEZ) (5 dimes has 160, but this guy lets me bet on credit which is worth .05 on a day w/NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB )

2-1 +1.33
5-3 +4.68 overall @gamblou

.5 unit 11/22/14 9:00pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1701 Roger Narvaez +315* vs Luke Barnatt*
.5 unit 11/22/14 9:30pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1601 Josh Copeland +185* vs Ruslan Magomedov*
.5 unit 11/22/14 10:30pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1401 Dustin Ortiz +370* vs Joseph Benavidez*
1 unit 11/22/14 11:00pm* UFC*Fighting* 1301 Oleksiy Oliynyk/Jared Rosholt Over 1½*-180**
.5 unit 11/22/14 11:59pm* Reduced*Fighting* 1001 Cub Swanson +170* vs Frankie Edgar*

[DRK Star]

TCU v Kansas

2-4 inches of snow predicted to fall during the game