Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29801
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    To add salt to the wounds I’m offered live odds of +350 +440 +550 on a one run game. What am I supposed to do? I have to drill a deeper hole

    Stupid Giants who are somewhat famous for late come backs are like 0-10 with base runners. This shoulda been pretty simple.

    I’m in a rough patch past couple days. Starting to feel frustrated and that’s a signal to take a siesta.

  2. #29802
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    If I ran my action through your agent, Daly, all your problems would be solved. They’d be wondering if Daly suffered a stroke or something.

  3. #29803
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    0-13 with runners

    LOB 11

    2 on no outs in 8th for Giants ….

    It is quite a baseball game. Good baseball.

    Unfortunately Kenley Jansen isn’t his old self. He’s very good this year.

  4. #29804
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    badguy would have had some sage advice for me

    “Become a valet at the new Resorts in Vegas”

  5. #29805
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Going to take it easy this week.

    Take a little Korda at +500. That was some tigeresque shit this past weekend.

    Kinzler quietly had a good week last week and finished 2 behind Bryson last year. At 35-1 that’s a buy.

    Taking Bez in the Irish at 18-1. He’s due to win “a real one” beyond the South African open.

    I dont see it confirmed anywhere but I think Korda withdrew for this week. My general observation is that the Florida LPGA players dont seem to like the Texas Summer weather, but I could be wrong.

    Also, while J Ko has been no where near her great self so far this season, I think the Colony may be her US home course.

  6. #29806
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Going to take it easy this week.

    Take a little Korda at +500. That was some tigeresque shit this past weekend.

    Kinzler quietly had a good week last week and finished 2 behind Bryson last year. At 35-1 that’s a buy.

    Taking Bez in the Irish at 18-1. He’s due to win “a real one” beyond the South African open.

    I dont see it confirmed anywhere but I think Korda withdrew for this week. My general observation is that the Florida LPGA players dont seem to like the Texas Summer weather, but I could be wrong.

    Also, while J Ko has been no where near her great self so far this season, I think the Colony may be her US home course.
    FanDuel has Nelly off the board With odds corrected. Other books are slow I scooped up J Ko at +750 before she's adjusted to +650 SY will be favored at +450 I can't imagine FanDuel is wrong The lack of transparency is really annoying Not surprised that she withdrew but if you are going to take the others you want to before with adjustment This is still sketchy though

  7. #29807
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    This is really fucking annoying. FanDuel is the only book that adjusted the odds. This is total bullshit. They can't have this ambiguity. Most books still have here listed. It's like the venue doesn't want it to come out. Sketchy

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  8. #29808
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    She is still there at Bet MGM. This is a current screenshot. All I can find is propaganda about the Olympic team which was just a formality Bad job by the LPGA. Big difference for SY Kim A smaller amount for J Ko. This has been a couple hours at least with this ambiguity

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  9. #29809
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    Korda is definitely NOT in the final field for this week as announced and confirmed by the LPGA.

    Since the LPGA is still often treated as an afterthought, it is not surprising that some of the books and even Draft Kings as of this moment still has her available. Given the betting involved, it is a bit surprising they are not on top of this.

     
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      JeffDime: Thanks Joe. Amazing that most of these books have not updated the betting.

  10. #29810
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    Korda is definitely NOT in the final field for this week as announced and confirmed by the LPGA.

    Since the LPGA is still often treated as an afterthought, it is not surprising that some of the books and even Draft Kings as of this moment still has her available. Given the betting involved, it is a bit surprising they are not on top of this.
    It's just amazing that she is still a betting option on many major books. MGM just started a partnership with them. I wouldn't have bet J Ko as much with Nelly in field. I'm glad I got the good odds. Anyone who likes SY Kim should for sure bet where Nelly is still available. +650 rather than +450 or 500 once adjusted. Nelly money will be refunded.

     
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      JoeD: If only Calif didn't suck so much in the area of legalized sports betting, I'd be loading up my retirement account. Seems like a very good spot for Ko or Kim to get their act together this week. Cheers on getting the better odds!

  11. #29811
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Couple of bets you guys should avoid:

    Detroit Tigers/Cleveland Indians over 9½ -115
    Two pitchers are absolute trash & bullpens aren’t any better. Yes, even Indians bullpen is now no prize

    Boston Red Sox team total over 5½ -130
    Hitting weather bad pitching & offense mashing
    1st 5 & full game over too


    Francisco Giants +135
    I give Gausman the edge over post goo Buehler

  12. #29812
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Cubs +205. Zach Davies has gone 6 shutout innings in 3 of last 4 starts. Any +200 MLB bet should get your attention. This one is good value IMO
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  13. #29813
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    I guess Nelly is so good, even though she doesn’t have a tee time for Thursday you can still bet her +450 at Bet MGM and Betonline. I guess there is not a lot of action so far. Sites also will not refund pre tee-off withdraws prior to the tournament sometimes. Forcing bettors to deposit more if they are using post-up sites, which is ultimately what they want. I doubt it’s that convoluted, but to let a whole day go by is pretty absurd.

  14. #29814
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    Here are my plays for the weekend.

    PGA- $390/+3500 Kisner

    EURO- $1500/+500 Mcilory (Yup, course is not traditional links. Tee to green Rory plays like he did at the Open should handle this field. A lot of noise about him hosting and what not. I’m just firing chalk and hope I can get some money back from this guy.)

    Bezinhoudt $250/+1800

    I’ll be pissed if Horsefield wins but I’m going to leave him out.

    LPGA- J Ko $900/+750 (If she plays poorly this really is it. See if the timing can be right here.). Like in my post above you can still get here at these odds in certain places. She’s been adjusted to +600 on most sites that have taken out Nelly.

    This is the time. It’s her, SY Kim & HJ Kim. No Kordas, Kang, Inbee, Patty T, Lexi, Brooke Henderson, Lydia Ko, Minjee Lee, etc. If she’s not going to right the ship now…

    GL
    Last edited by JeffDime; 06-29-2021 at 03:12 PM.

  15. #29815
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Cubs +205. Zach Davies has gone 6 shutout innings in 3 of last 4 starts. Any +200 MLB bet should get your attention. This one is good value IMO

    wheres that royals swag? fuck pivetta

  16. #29816
    Cubic Zirconia Colonel Nigel Fabersham's Avatar
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    Greetings to degens across the pond!

    Here's 2 American baseball picks:

    Atlanta (Fried) vs Mets (Peterson) - Over 9 -105
    Minnesota (Ober) +113 at White Sox (Cease)

  17. #29817
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    Belgium +700 to win Euro seems good, toughest path though

    SWITZ at 30/1, won’t win but good odds they just beat France

  18. #29818
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    I want to place a LARGE wager to get my mind back in the game, any ideas?

  19. #29819
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    I want to place a LARGE wager to get my mind back in the game, any ideas?
    I only know how to light money on fire now that summer is here.

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    What exactly is going on with the Astros? They are making Matt Harvey 7.54 ERA 1.73 WHIP look like deGrom or Elton John

    Matt Harvey working on a no hitter


    I caught the Blue Jays when they were down 4-0 but it was +1.5 -125. Actually a pretty poor bet.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-30-2021 at 05:30 PM.

  20. #29820
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Druff’s Mets Braves over 9 cashed in the 4th

     
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      NickyPipes: Nice win

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