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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #7721
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Stupid ass fan wasting beer like that.

  2. #7722
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    lol Jimenez

    Canada wins.

  3. #7723
    Bronze VegasJim's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by pagelpoker View Post
    Been refreshing all morning waiting on daly lol
    Sorry guys! I'll try and publish some stuff for tonight. I needed to travel back to my hometown of Boston for work and the better half "let" me fly up early so I could hit the CT casinos.

    Damn...Just saw this...Did you already go to Foxwoods or Mohegan? If not, respond here or PM me. I'm going to Mohegan tomorrow and if your around, it would be nice to meet you in person and shoot the shit. Ill treat you to a meal at Jordan's Steakhouse.

  4. #7724
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    The Durant era Warriors began tonight in preseason and they are treating it like a regular season game up 86-36 mid 3rd quarter.

  5. #7725
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    The Durant era Warriors began tonight in preseason and they are treating it like a regular season game up 86-36 mid 3rd quarter.
    Did you miss the Raptors beating them down 97-93 last weekend?

  6. #7726
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    The Durant era Warriors began tonight in preseason and they are treating it like a regular season game up 86-36 mid 3rd quarter.
    Did you miss the Raptors beating them down 97-93 last weekend?
    I must have but I heard one of the announcers say it was their first game of the year. Perhaps he meant home game?

  7. #7727
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    DeAndre Jordan just put up a -51 in 21 minutes of play. That's impressive.

    In other news, the Baltimore Orioles fought hard for 163 games to come a hair away from the ALDS, and then put their entire season in the hands of Ubaldo Jimenez. Makes sense.

  8. #7728
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasJim View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Sorry guys! I'll try and publish some stuff for tonight. I needed to travel back to my hometown of Boston for work and the better half "let" me fly up early so I could hit the CT casinos.

    Damn...Just saw this...Did you already go to Foxwoods or Mohegan? If not, respond here or PM me. I'm going to Mohegan tomorrow and if your around, it would be nice to meet you in person and shoot the shit. Ill treat you to a meal at Jordan's Steakhouse.
    Yeah I was supposed to work in Boston this week but I had to fly home due to Mathew.

    That would have been great...... but..... I would have insisted on The Summer Shack (and I would have paid).

  9. #7729
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    Fangraphs and Five-Thirty Eight rate the Dodgers chance of winning the World Series at 21.4% (fangraphs) and 14% (538). That is about 3.7 to 1 and 6.2 to 1. I will put $100 on the Dodgers if can find 8 to 1 or better. If I trust the stat geeks, this is an overlay.

    Peace,

    Hozer11

  10. #7730
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I love sportsbook history stories....


    Funny story I heard on the Beating the Book podcast. It’s 1989. NFL Team win total bets don’t exist. The Cowboys fire Tom Landry and the whole coaching staff. Some big shot from Texas who is well known to this bookmaker in Vegas is having a conversation with him about it and says “I mean, how many games do you think they win this year?” Bookmaker says “what do you think?” Guy says, “Give me a line and I’ll bet it.”

    Since the dude is well known the bookmaker guy makes him a line and he bets $30k. Well big shot also is good friends with a newspaper writer in Dallas and tells him about it. He takes a picture of the ticket and writes it up in the paper. It gets picked up by the AP.

    Bookmaker’s casino gets calls off the hook from around the country with fans wanting the same bets on their team. So they take the time and make all the lines and take a whole bunch of those bets. He says 80% were on the over because duh, people want to root for their team, so they had to adjust them up.

    Next year, same thing, but this time the smart bettors have taken note. They hit the overs early with the fans, then hit the unders when they get moved up by a full win, and now a whole bunch of smart guys have a whole bunch of middles and crush the casino. They adjust, move on from there, and now everybody has team win totals. Fascinating.

     
    Comments
      
      lewfather: Interesting
      
      Sanlmar: Camouflaged podcast recommendation

  11. #7731
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    That is pretty cool daly. I had no idea that was how team totals started.

  12. #7732
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    ok my value system is showing Denver at -4.5 as pretty good value. I am firing away.

    (Philly, Miami and Cleveland also showing some value but lines need to move more to qualify) (I am not putting my hard earned $ on Miami or Cleveland anytime soon as the risk of blowouts with those teams is too high).

  13. #7733
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    A live bettor's prayer:

    Cubs, please pull a rope-a-dope and give up the first run. Amen

    My wife has left me because I am a compulsive gambler. I’d do anything to win her back.

  14. #7734
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    tomorrow's reverse line movement special has to be NC State -2.5. 70% plus of the money on ND and the line has dropped like a stone

  15. #7735
    Golf Professional Tegnation22's Avatar
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    2017 Masters Bets

    Bubba 15-1

    Fowler 25-1
    "I hit that shot because it was a defining moment and when a defining moment comes along, you either define the moment or the moment defines you" Roy "Tin Cup" Mcevoy

  16. #7736
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    It's a bit faggot to come in and say "I have a friend who thinks" so you can say later on it wasn't you.

    But.....

    I have a friend who made a compelling case for Cueto +155 or better today.

  17. #7737
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    It's a bit faggot to come in and say "I have a friend who thinks" so you can say later on it wasn't you.

    But.....

    I have a friend who made a compelling case for Cueto +155 or better today.
    I hope so. I bet the Giants +220 to win the series.

  18. #7738
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    It's a bit faggot to come in and say "I have a friend who thinks" so you can say later on it wasn't you.

    But.....

    I have a friend who made a compelling case for Cueto +155 or better today.
    I hope so. I bet the Giants +220 to win the series.
    Thought we had a shot here...

  19. #7739
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Somebody remind me Halloween weekend when New Mexico @Hawaii to max bet a Hawaii and over parlay.

    That New Mexico secondary was a horror show last night.

  20. #7740
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Going with GT and Colorado as my ML dogs for the day.

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