Stupid ass fan wasting beer like that.
Stupid ass fan wasting beer like that.
lol Jimenez
Canada wins.
The Durant era Warriors began tonight in preseason and they are treating it like a regular season game up 86-36 mid 3rd quarter.
DeAndre Jordan just put up a -51 in 21 minutes of play. That's impressive.
In other news, the Baltimore Orioles fought hard for 163 games to come a hair away from the ALDS, and then put their entire season in the hands of Ubaldo Jimenez. Makes sense.
Fangraphs and Five-Thirty Eight rate the Dodgers chance of winning the World Series at 21.4% (fangraphs) and 14% (538). That is about 3.7 to 1 and 6.2 to 1. I will put $100 on the Dodgers if can find 8 to 1 or better. If I trust the stat geeks, this is an overlay.
Peace,
Hozer11
I love sportsbook history stories....
Funny story I heard on the Beating the Book podcast. It’s 1989. NFL Team win total bets don’t exist. The Cowboys fire Tom Landry and the whole coaching staff. Some big shot from Texas who is well known to this bookmaker in Vegas is having a conversation with him about it and says “I mean, how many games do you think they win this year?” Bookmaker says “what do you think?” Guy says, “Give me a line and I’ll bet it.”
Since the dude is well known the bookmaker guy makes him a line and he bets $30k. Well big shot also is good friends with a newspaper writer in Dallas and tells him about it. He takes a picture of the ticket and writes it up in the paper. It gets picked up by the AP.
Bookmaker’s casino gets calls off the hook from around the country with fans wanting the same bets on their team. So they take the time and make all the lines and take a whole bunch of those bets. He says 80% were on the over because duh, people want to root for their team, so they had to adjust them up.
Next year, same thing, but this time the smart bettors have taken note. They hit the overs early with the fans, then hit the unders when they get moved up by a full win, and now a whole bunch of smart guys have a whole bunch of middles and crush the casino. They adjust, move on from there, and now everybody has team win totals. Fascinating.
That is pretty cool daly. I had no idea that was how team totals started.
ok my value system is showing Denver at -4.5 as pretty good value. I am firing away.
(Philly, Miami and Cleveland also showing some value but lines need to move more to qualify) (I am not putting my hard earned $ on Miami or Cleveland anytime soon as the risk of blowouts with those teams is too high).
A live bettor's prayer:
Cubs, please pull a rope-a-dope and give up the first run. Amen
My wife has left me because I am a compulsive gambler. I’d do anything to win her back.
tomorrow's reverse line movement special has to be NC State -2.5. 70% plus of the money on ND and the line has dropped like a stone
2017 Masters Bets
Bubba 15-1
Fowler 25-1
"I hit that shot because it was a defining moment and when a defining moment comes along, you either define the moment or the moment defines you" Roy "Tin Cup" Mcevoy
It's a bit faggot to come in and say "I have a friend who thinks" so you can say later on it wasn't you.
But.....
I have a friend who made a compelling case for Cueto +155 or better today.
Somebody remind me Halloween weekend when New Mexico @Hawaii to max bet a Hawaii and over parlay.
That New Mexico secondary was a horror show last night.
Going with GT and Colorado as my ML dogs for the day.
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