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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #40101
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    game day boys.


    where do we stand?


    verm, where you at ?

  2. #40102
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    game day boys.


    where do we stand?


    verm, where you at ?
    Another hate the bet, have to take it

    Canes -2

    Va tech -13.5 looks good

     
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      Tellafriend: gl

  3. #40103
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    game day boys.


    where do we stand?


    verm, where you at ?
    Another hate the bet, have to take it

    Canes -2

    Va tech -13.5 looks good

    My bigger bet today is Miami ml and -2.5.

    Tailing your VT.

    I like Syr over 44.5

  4. #40104
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Oakland (J. Estes) at Texas (Bradford) - Under 8.5 -115

  5. #40105
    Cubic Zirconia
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    this is a post from another forum - I put in quotes - and this guy was in no way a big player - but the book took drastic action to limit him anyway

    I believe this is fairly common with the legal online books - and this really, really sucks__________so ridiculous - I guess if you bet in person at LV they don't do this - but I'm not really sure

    maybe this guy was not giving them enough action outside of the bonus and free play stuff - again, not sure - but still - outgrageous


    .
    "Oh well. BetRivers has ended my gravy train from them. I have now been limited to TWENTY FIVE CENTS for any of their house specials. And if I have a profit boost with a $50 max it will tell me…. $12 max, unless you submit for manual review. And they of course deny any bet sent for manual review. Also the slew of ‘parlay insurance’ offers all disappeared in one day. So I probably went from an EV of $25 a day to maybe $2 a day. I did have a customer support interaction where they obviously just tell the agent to lie. There was a lot more to it, but the most egregious lie was this…. I was denied a $1 bet to win $1.60. On a major event. They allowed me to bet a quarter to win 40 cents. The agent said ‘the Sportsbook sometimes wants to limit the action on certain bets’. Which is of course a euphemism for ‘we notice you have consistently beaten us month after month for the past two years’."

    .
    the foolish sayings of a rich man are often taken as words of wisdom by the fools around him

  6. #40106
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SmallyBig View Post
    this is a post from another forum - I put in quotes - and this guy was in no way a big player - but the book took drastic action to limit him anyway

    I believe this is fairly common with the legal online books - and this really, really sucks__________so ridiculous - I guess if you bet in person at LV they don't do this - but I'm not really sure

    maybe this guy was not giving them enough action outside of the bonus and free play stuff - again, not sure - but still - outgrageous


    .
    "Oh well. BetRivers has ended my gravy train from them. I have now been limited to TWENTY FIVE CENTS for any of their house specials. And if I have a profit boost with a $50 max it will tell me…. $12 max, unless you submit for manual review. And they of course deny any bet sent for manual review. Also the slew of ‘parlay insurance’ offers all disappeared in one day. So I probably went from an EV of $25 a day to maybe $2 a day. I did have a customer support interaction where they obviously just tell the agent to lie. There was a lot more to it, but the most egregious lie was this…. I was denied a $1 bet to win $1.60. On a major event. They allowed me to bet a quarter to win 40 cents. The agent said ‘the Sportsbook sometimes wants to limit the action on certain bets’. Which is of course a euphemism for ‘we notice you have consistently beaten us month after month for the past two years’."

    .

    Wow i am absolutely shocked a sportbook would do this.

    Criminals

  7. #40107
    Bronze DrPeters's Avatar
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    lsu -4

  8. #40108
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    Ran into some usc freshmans mom named elijah newby in vegas COULD BE A SIGN TROJANS

  9. #40109

  10. #40110
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Welcome to another exciting installment of "Druff taking advantage of injured pitchers".

    Today our subject is Steven Matz.

    He was awful during the first month of the season. Then... he got hurt. For a long time. His return is today, over 4 months later.

    His first 4 rehab starts went very well, but his last one did not.

    Aaron Civale has pitched fairly well in his last 4 starts, including two zero-run outings in his past 3 games. The Cardinals are not a good team, despite somehow being at .500. Their fan base absolutely hates this team, and has been staying home in recent months.

    Normally I don't like big favorites, but I'll make an exception here.


    Milwaukee (Civale) -150 vs St. Louis (Matz)

  11. #40111
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Dodgers against Angels tonight in Anaheim.

    Walker Buehler is going. 'Nuff said.

    Reid Detmers was terrible during the first two months of the season, then was sent down to Salt Lake, and had a 5.54 ERA and 1.40 WHIP across 78 innings with Salt Lake this season. He has been better over his last three starts with a 1.29 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 29/7 K:BB across 21 innings, but playing the Dodgers is a big jump from that.

    An evenish money bet for these two together giving up 5+ is a good one. Oh, and it's a hot day in Anaheim.

    Angels (Detmers) vs Dodgers (Buehler) - OVER 5 -110 FIRST 5 INNINGS

  12. #40112
    Cubic Zirconia
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    .
    NFL picks - first 2 weeks - all underdogs ats_______it's that time____the season starts tomorrow

    I surmised that the first 2 weeks would be very unpredictable and that unpredictability would favor the underdogs
    I have now tracked the first 2 weeks of 11 seasons - about 350 games - and the dogs have won just over 57% for about a 9% r.o.i. (pushes not considered)
    in the 11 years I tracked the faves have never had a winning year - they did tie one year which caused a slight loss due to the vig
    this is related to the Wizard's tracking of thousands of games and showing all underdogs losing only a tiny % and road dogs being slightly profitable - see link
    my goal was to improve on that r.o.i. with selectivity
    a couple of people at another forum made $ with this last season when I first posted it

    .
    https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/

    .

     
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      1dollarboxcar: thanks for the info, highly appreciated...
    the foolish sayings of a rich man are often taken as words of wisdom by the fools around him

  13. #40113
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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  14. #40114
    Bronze DrPeters's Avatar
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    giants +115

  15. #40115
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If you don't mind betting historical situational there is an absolute mountain of data that supports Titans +4 Sunday.

    Im a Caleb believer personally but first time starting QB as a favorites are like 1-998 vs the number.

    Ill probably pass but its noteworthy so I figured Id mention it.

  16. #40116
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    For those of you holding Skenes NL ROY you might consider this last call to insure your principal.

    I’m holding Skenes +1700 and +1000. Last night I bought Jackson Merrill +135. Tonight he is +110 after another good performance in a Padres win.

    Skenes is good now not great and that doesn’t factor getting shut down.

    Then again, maybe we score you with a defensive indifference

    One bad outing or a shut down for the year away from Merrill locking this up.

    Name:  
Views: 
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    Getting to Rape Charge territory for Merrill to not take it down.

    Im not calling for it but it wouldn't shock me if Chourio keeps it up and Skeenes gets shut down that it goes 1-2 Merrill-Chourio

    Top two get a year of service time which doesnt matter for chourio where he has a long term deal. The pirates would get away with murder

    Interesting situation




    Name:  IMG_7529.png
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  17. #40117
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    CIN +136
    MIN F5 RL -110

  18. #40118
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    CIN +136 ✅
    MIN F5 RL -110 ✅
    Makes up for Druff’s Bobby Thriller fiasco last night. Bobby Miller won’t even be on the playoff roster. I mean I hoped he would be but he won’t

     
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  19. #40119
    Gold The Boz's Avatar
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    What’s the NFL thoughts tonight? Line down to 2.5 with varying odds out there. Dogs always start good but I liked Baltimore more at +3 obviously. Going to look around more.

  20. #40120
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    BALT +3 for me.

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