carolina @ buffalo & nyj @ new england

[badguy23]

Someone plz paste the Ncaa Tourney thread here so new members don't follow Mulvo!!






DON"T FOLLOW MULVO!!!

[Walter Sobchak]

Where the action is: Bettors fading injured Patriots

What was supposed to be a sure thing for the New England Patriots is looking less and less like an easy win, when the beleaguered Pats host the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football.

New England suffered through an awful offseason and nearly got knocked off in the opener versus Buffalo. Now, the Patriots are down two offensive weapons – RB Shane Vereen and WR Danny Amendola - and the betting public is showing their lack of faith in New England.

We talk to sportsbooks about the action coming in on this AFC East rivalry and where they expect the odds to close come kickoff Thursday night:

New York Jets at New England Patriots – Open: -12, Move: -13.5, Move: -11

Both the Jets and Patriots picked up wins in Week 1 but only one of those victories is being seen as a positive. Oddsmakers opened New England as a 12-point favorite after narrowly avoided an upset at the hands of the Bills and early money moved that spread just under two touchdowns.

However, once injury news got out on Vereen and Amendola, New York bettors came out of the shadows and trimmed this line as many as 2.5 points. New England is already missing many key weapons and will need its unknown skill players to step up on the big stage.

“As expected the money kept on coming for the Jets with the line shifting to 11.5, which has slowed the bettors down,” Russ Candler, head of trading at UWin.com told Covers. “It might not be enough for the line to hold at 11.5 and we’re certain the line will go off around the -11 mark. The early morning money will have a big say on the final number.”

The total has also shrunk in the past day, dropping as low as 42.5 after opening as high as 44.5 points. Both the Jets and Patriots played under the number in their Week 1 contests, however, New England boasted the fast-paced offense and was the best over bet in the NFL last season, going 11-5 over/under.

“After it was announced Danny Amendola wouldn’t play, the total dropped to 43.5 with 68 percent still on over,” Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com told Covers.

"The punters have attacked the point totals, taking the overs. Shoot out here we come," says Candler.

The Patriots are seeing the majority of action on the moneyline, even more so after books trimmed their straight-up price from as high as -750 to -588. According to Sportsbook.com, 88 percent of moneyline wagers are on New England.

Goes to show you the sharps can get it wrong too. Both teams were unimpressive in week 1, good chance of rain, I teased NYJ and under. :moneytruck

[DJ_Chaps]

Losing Shane Vereen really fucked the Patriots. 40 yards from Ridley and 11 from Blount are not going to cut it against good teams.

i think your colts are going to lose to miami this week. pointspread suggests miami is a playoff team this year...the colts should be a solid 3-5pt favorite and they're not. just handicapping the line says miami all the way

U heard it here folks, ALL IN on Colts.

[DJ_Chaps]

Carolina line is interesting but they nearly beat a quality Seattle team so I'm not really surprised they are a favorite @ Buffalo.

As for the Pats they haven't impressed me one bit so far.

i am surprised they are a 2.5 fav.just as much as i;m surprised miami is getting 1>2.5 rather than 3.5>5

..they're basically telling you miamii s better than the colts by putting this game closer to a pk than a FG+..what's even more alarming is the indy is great at home and it's still being done.

whether it's true (miami being better), and most would say it isn't..that's what they're saying..and just for haha'a how the hell does indy almost lose @ home to oak w/ richard fucking pryor at QB?

His name is Terrell.

[Hockey Guy]

i'm a little stumped at this line....carolina favored by 2.5 on the road..very unusual pointspread set on this game. reading between the lines and nit evaluating the game suggest a carolina win here.



btw,..jets opened up @ +10..and you should've ran to the windows seeing that throwing $$$ on the pats. i would give 20 and feel comfortable. jets shouldn't score more that one offensive TD and should be held to <14 points..providing new england doesn't run it up offensively and lax on defense because of it.

mulva may be the new verminaard.

[mulva]

Someone plz paste the Ncaa Tourney thread here so new members don't follow Mulvo!!






DON"T FOLLOW MULVO!!!

don't you have some turtle races to bet and lie about winning....lol...@ pfa's own circus clown of fail. yes..please bump up the ncaa thread.

i think your colts are going to lose to miami this week. pointspread suggests miami is a playoff team this year...the colts should be a solid 3-5pt favorite and they're not. just handicapping the line says miami all the way

U heard it here folks, ALL IN on Colts.

lol..stick to dope smoking, video and spinning records.

i am surprised they are a 2.5 fav.just as much as i;m surprised miami is getting 1>2.5 rather than 3.5>5

..they're basically telling you miamii s better than the colts by putting this game closer to a pk than a FG+..what's even more alarming is the indy is great at home and it's still being done.

whether it's true (miami being better), and most would say it isn't..that's what they're saying..and just for haha'a how the hell does indy almost lose @ home to oak w/ richard fucking pryor at QB?

His name is Terrell.

orly...u mean he isn't a comedian....lol

i'm a little stumped at this line....carolina favored by 2.5 on the road..very unusual pointspread set on this game. reading between the lines and nit evaluating the game suggest a carolina win here.



btw,..jets opened up @ +10..and you should've ran to the windows seeing that throwing $$$ on the pats. i would give 20 and feel comfortable. jets shouldn't score more that one offensive TD and should be held to <14 points..providing new england doesn't run it up offensively and lax on defense because of it.

mulva may be the new verminaard.

play the colts and fade away..your still a faggot, and a slouch at poker.

[SrslySirius]

Why you guys being so negative? This is wormhole 2.0. Just reverse all Mulva's picks.

[mulva]

miami+3 and miami +125ML.

locked in....

suck it all haters

[mulva]

please tell me how the colts went 11-5 last year and were outscored by their opponents..obv i know how it's done, but that's pretty darn tough to accomplish while winning this many.

seems like every bet is on indy yet the line is going in the other direction. this is not a good sign. there's some heavy smart money on the fins.

[DirtyB]

please tell me how the colts went 11-5 last year and were outscored by their opponents..

They won a record number of games by less than 4 points and took a 35 point ass pounding from the Patriots.

[mulva]

this is the most annoying and smug image i could find.

enjoy.

[vegas1369]

Credit where credit is due... Nice call on the Dolphins Mulva. Definitely didn't see that coming out that way.

[mulva]

Credit where credit is due... Nice call on the Dolphins Mulva. Definitely didn't see that coming out that way.

i don't normally bump win threads up and gloat. but lol @ the hate i got for picking the pats and having them go down like they did. i'm usually dead on about both the jets and new england.

[tony bagadonuts]

miami+3 and miami +125ML.

locked in....

suck it all haters

Nice job Mulva, gutsy call and you deserve credit.