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Thread: *** Official NFL/ NCAA Betting Discussion Thread

  1. #21
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I'm actualy rethinking my Colts under 8.5 play.... curious if any of you have some thoughts.

  2. #22
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    This is my list.

    NFL Futures
    300/5400 A Brown DROTY
    Arthur Brown is down to 6-1 at my shop.... if you can find this at 10-1 or better I suggest you jump on it.

  3. #23
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I'm actualy rethinking my Colts under 8.5 play.... curious if any of you have some thoughts.
    Tough one. On one hand, they statistically played at about the level of a 7-9 team last year, and just had everything fall right for them to finish 11-5. Regression would seem obvious. On the other hand, the AFC looks even worse, Luck should be better, and they still play TEN and JAX twice. 8.5 seems like the perfect line for them.

  4. #24
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    The season win totals I really like right now would be:

    CIN over 8.5
    NYJ under 6.5

    also leaning towards liking

    KC over 7.5
    OAK under 5.5

    If it was any other season, I'd say OAK and NYJ are practically locks for 3-13 or worse. But with so many other shitty teams in the AFC, this could be one of those years where no team finishes that poor, but we wind up with like 7 teams all at 6-10 or 5-11.
    Last edited by gut; 08-12-2013 at 02:19 PM.

  5. #25
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Took 2 baseball games today

    Got Phillies +160 (Hamels pitching). Outside of one start where he got shelled Hamels has pitched like an ace his last 5 or 6 games. Would take Hamels in this spot vs just about anyone

    Got Marlins +160 and I now see them +190. I bet this one blind pretty much. Was looking at pitchers in my fantasy league a couple days ago and saw Wade Davis has an ERA of 5+ and a whip of like 1.5+ which are both terrible so I just scooped florida

  6. #26
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Took 2 baseball games today

    Got Phillies +160 (Hamels pitching). Outside of one start where he got shelled Hamels has pitched like an ace his last 5 or 6 games. Would take Hamels in this spot vs just about anyone

    Got Marlins +160 and I now see them +190. I bet this one blind pretty much. Was looking at pitchers in my fantasy league a couple days ago and saw Wade Davis has an ERA of 5+ and a whip of like 1.5+ which are both terrible so I just scooped florida
    I just put in a 27/250 parlay Phil/Fla/TomorrowOak

  7. #27
    PFA Boxing Guru JMM's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    The season win totals I really like right now would be:

    CIN over 8.5
    NYJ under 6.5

    also leaning towards liking

    KC over 7.5
    OAK under 5.5

    If it was any other season, I'd say OAK and NYJ are practically locks for 3-13 or worse. But with so many other shitty teams in the AFC, this could be one of those years where no team finishes that poor, but we wind up with like 7 teams all at 6-10 or 5-11.
    Keep an eye on Jamaal Charles, gut. He rolled his ankle or some shit today at practice. Probably nothing, but worth noting.

  8. #28
    Platinum garrett's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    The season win totals I really like right now would be:

    CIN over 8.5
    NYJ under 6.5

    also leaning towards liking

    KC over 7.5
    OAK under 5.5

    If it was any other season, I'd say OAK and NYJ are practically locks for 3-13 or worse. But with so many other shitty teams in the AFC, this could be one of those years where no team finishes that poor, but we wind up with like 7 teams all at 6-10 or 5-11.
    SD and CLE also. The 1 pick gets you Jadaveon Clowney. So 2 or 3 a Johnny Manzeil?

    He would make a good Jet.

     
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      Deal: Post in your own garrett is a fag thread please

  9. #29
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Took 2 baseball games today

    Got Phillies +160 (Hamels pitching). Outside of one start where he got shelled Hamels has pitched like an ace his last 5 or 6 games. Would take Hamels in this spot vs just about anyone

    Got Marlins +160 and I now see them +190. I bet this one blind pretty much. Was looking at pitchers in my fantasy league a couple days ago and saw Wade Davis has an ERA of 5+ and a whip of like 1.5+ which are both terrible so I just scooped florida
    1-1 but I win some dough

    For tomorrow I kinda like these 3 but not playing anything

    Mil+185
    Chi Sox +170
    Houston +250

  10. #30
    Platinum garrett's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Took 2 baseball games today

    Got Phillies +160 (Hamels pitching). Outside of one start where he got shelled Hamels has pitched like an ace his last 5 or 6 games. Would take Hamels in this spot vs just about anyone

    Got Marlins +160 and I now see them +190. I bet this one blind pretty much. Was looking at pitchers in my fantasy league a couple days ago and saw Wade Davis has an ERA of 5+ and a whip of like 1.5+ which are both terrible so I just scooped florida
    1-1 but I win some dough

    For tomorrow I kinda like these 3 but not playing anything

    Mil+185
    Chi Sox +170
    Houston +250
    Interesting dawgs

    Lyles on the mound for HOU who is not very good and Colon P for Oak makes that tough. Chi Sox, forget about it Scherzer is on the mound. And A Rios off to TEX.

    Mil, meh their is easier money. Alex Rios settling into the TEX lineup only helps them.

    Some more intriguing dawgs today are LAA at +135/SEA +205/NYM +110 (Harvey on the mound) plus some favs. Seattle and LAA are very intriguing, Mets too with Harvey dealing.

  11. #31
    PFA Boxing Guru JMM's Avatar
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    How about Louisville (puke) to win the BCS Championship? +1500. Guess they've got as good a shot as anyone.

  12. #32
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMM View Post
    How about Louisville (puke) to win the BCS Championship? +1500. Guess they've got as good a shot as anyone.
    No.

    Granted it is entirely possible that they will go undefeated because that schedule is fucking awful. Problem is even if they are lucky enough to make the game whoever the face off against in the NC game is going to be at least a 2 TD favorite and a three TD favorite if it's Bama/Georgia. So long story short you will be able to get +800/+1500 at the time of the game. Not worth the risk of an non undefeated season or an undefeated season with a 1 loss SEC team and Ohio St/Pac 10 champ.

    I think the best play of them all is Georgia at +1800/+2400. They play Clemson and SC (at home) right out of the chute. If they get by that they have a real clear path to the NC game..... so long as they can beat Bama in the SEC champ game. Georgia is capable of winning that game and will probably be one of the few games where Bama is a TD or less favorite. If Georgia gets to the SEC Champ game you can always lay some off on Bama ML because you hold a ticket at huge odds.

  13. #33
    nah youll never get that good of a price...

    I think ND was only like +250-300, maybe +350 last year at least on carbon...

  14. #34
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Took 2 baseball games today

    Got Phillies +160 (Hamels pitching). Outside of one start where he got shelled Hamels has pitched like an ace his last 5 or 6 games. Would take Hamels in this spot vs just about anyone

    Got Marlins +160 and I now see them +190. I bet this one blind pretty much. Was looking at pitchers in my fantasy league a couple days ago and saw Wade Davis has an ERA of 5+ and a whip of like 1.5+ which are both terrible so I just scooped florida
    1-1 but I win some dough

    For tomorrow I kinda like these 3 but not playing anything

    Mil+185
    Chi Sox +170
    Houston +250
    3-0

    Took a shot @ these 2 for BCS title

    250-1 on Fresno State
    25-1 on Louisville
    Last edited by chinamaniac; 08-13-2013 at 09:47 PM.

  15. #35
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    BREAKING: Tom Brady has left practice following an apparent knee injury.

    Maybe I should have locked up that under 11 Pats wins after all but nothing announced how serious this is as of yet.

  16. #36
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    BREAKING: Tom Brady has left practice following an apparent knee injury.

    Maybe I should have locked up that under 11 Pats wins after all but nothing announced how serious this is as of yet.
    Dont mean anything per se, but he stayed in for a few plays before he left the field. Johnathan Kraft said he didn't think it was serious. Then again Rotoworld is saying his teammates "were down" after the hit.... whatever that means.

  17. #37
    I just unloaded on Mexico +140 tonight. Although its a friendly if they lose their coach will be fired they said, so Im hoping those fuckers dont hate their coach and lose on purpose in a meaningless game.

     
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      simpdog: nice hit
    Last edited by ShadyJ; 08-14-2013 at 02:24 PM. Reason: Soccer

  18. #38
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    1-1 but I win some dough

    For tomorrow I kinda like these 3 but not playing anything

    Mil+185
    Chi Sox +170
    Houston +250
    3-0

    Took a shot @ these 2 for BCS title

    250-1 on Fresno State
    25-1 on Louisville
    why waste $5... seriously this was semi retarded. I still love you. :GOD

  19. #39
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    3-0

    Took a shot @ these 2 for BCS title

    250-1 on Fresno State
    25-1 on Louisville
    why waste $5... seriously this was semi retarded. I still love you. :GOD
    If the SEC champ has two losses
    If Ohio St looses
    If the Pac Ten champ looses (Oregon or Standford)
    If The Vile has a loss

    If three of these 4 happen AND Fresno goes convincingly undefeated..... Then you might see them in the NC game.... as a 3 TD dog.

    I think you bet it with the intention of betting 1250 on the favorite ML and lock in $300 or so bucks.

  20. #40
    1. 8/29/2013 11:00 PM College Football 147 USC* -15 vs Hawaii
    2. 8/31/2013 12:00 PM College Football 160 Ohio State* -29 vs Buffalo U
    3. 8/31/2013 5:30 PM College Football 171 Alabama* -11 vs Virginia Tech
    4. 8/31/2013 7:00 PM College Football 184 Oklahoma* -16 vs UL Monroe
    5. 8/31/2013 7:00 PM College Football 187 New Mexico State* +49 vs Texas
    6. 8/31/2013 7:00 PM College Football 192 Florida* -16 vs Toledo
    7. 8/31/2013 12:00 PM College Football 202 Nebraska* -21 vs Wyoming
    8. 8/30/2013 8:30 PM College Football 324 Kansas State* -9 vs North Dakota State

    Booking this 7 point teaser for week one

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