*OFFICIAL* WSOP Main Event 2013 Thread (formerly "newhizzle has the lead in the main event with 21 left!")

[neveragain39]

I can get Mark Newhouse +1750 (17.5 to 1). Watcha think? Was thinking of doing $60 to win $1,050

17.5 to 1 is a bad bet, imo.

Let's suppose, if blinds were constant, based on math of starting stacks, you'd need at least 25-1 to take a shot.
But with blinds increasing, and NLHE game strategy factored in, odds are way higher.

17.5 to 1 on hizzle is a terrible spot.
Pass.

[PLOL]

I would think the increasing blinds/relatively short stacks would be somewhat of an advantage for Mark. It's going to be easier for him to double up and spin up a stack. The big stacks won't be able to maneuver and leverage their stacks as much.

Curious how you came up with the 25 to 1. I'm not sure how to do the math on this one.

[badguy23]

I would think the increasing blinds/relatively short stacks would be somewhat of an advantage for Mark. It's going to be easier for him to double up and spin up a stack. The big stacks won't be able to maneuver and leverage their stacks as much.

Curious how you came up with the 25 to 1. I'm not sure how to do the math on this one.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

I can get Mark Newhouse +1750 (17.5 to 1). Watcha think? Was thinking of doing $60 to win $1,050

17.5 to 1 is a bad bet, imo.

Let's suppose, if blinds were constant, based on math of starting stacks, you'd need at least 25-1 to take a shot.
But with blinds increasing, and NLHE game strategy factored in, odds are way higher.

17.5 to 1 on hizzle is a terrible spot.
Pass.

So who at the final table based on math and starting stacks is in a good spot for a bet according to your calculations?

[neveragain39]

17.5 to 1 is a bad bet, imo.

Let's suppose, if blinds were constant, based on math of starting stacks, you'd need at least 25-1 to take a shot.
But with blinds increasing, and NLHE game strategy factored in, odds are way higher.

17.5 to 1 on hizzle is a terrible spot.
Pass.

So who at the final table based on math and starting stacks is in a good spot for a bet according to your calculations?

This is a novelty bet only.This is not a spot.

Math can only be based on relative starting stacks, but while math is arguably a factor in determining the outcome, you know there are many other factors, including luck and skill, of equal or greater importance.

If the line was based just on math of starting stacks, these would be fair odds.

1. JC Tran : $38,000,000 4 TO 1
2. Amir Lehavot : $29,700,000 11 TO 2
3. Marc-Etienne McLaughlin : $26,525,000 6 TO 1
4. Jay Farber : $25,975,000 6 TO 1
5. Ryan Riess : $25,875,000 6 TO 1
6. Sylvain Loosli : $19,600,000 9 TO 1
7. Michiel Brummelhuis : $11,275,000 16 TO 1
8. Mark Newhouse : $7,350,000 25 TO 1
9. David Benefield : $6,375,000 29 TO 1

But good luck with hizzle if you gotta have a sweat there.

[PLOL]

Didn't take the bet. I may or may not later for a small amount. Appreciate the info tho

[BeerAndPoker]

Bumping for Main Event tonight at 8pm ET /5pm PT.

newhizzle gonna have to get lucky to go deep but good luck to the kid.

[garrett]

Very good final table for poker and the fans this year.

Lehavot is probably going to be tough to beat, doubt he fires off chunks.

Newhouse is a good story, will watch.

[TheXFactor]

New Odds for 2013 WSOP main event final table...
(Las Vegas Review-Journal 11/04/2013)

Odds to Win

Sylvain Loosi 19.6 million chips (seat 1)...11-2

Michiel Brummelhuis 11.275 million chips (seat 2)...8-1

Mark Newhouse 7.35 million chips (seat 3)...15-1

Ryan Riess 25.875 million chips (seat 4)...7-2

Amir Lehavot 29.7 million chips (seat 5)...3-1

Marc-Etienne Mclaughlin 26.525 million chips (seat 6)...4-1

J.C. Tran 38 million chips (seat 7)...11-5

David Benefield 6.375 million chips (seat 8)...12-1

Jay Farber 25.975 million chips (seat 9)...5-1


Since this November 9 format, in past 5 years, no one over the age of 25 has won the WSOP main event.

[Rick O'Shea]

Jay Farber tweet

Can anyone guess what I'll be doing today?

[cmoney]

is this live tonight what channel?

[Rollo Tomasi]

will Newhouse make it to the first fifteen minute delay

what are the odds a jew wins

how many jews are on the ME FT

[BUBBLES]

is this live tonight what channel?

ESPN 3 will be streaming it in 2 hours.

[BeerAndPoker]

It's on ESPN 2 as well

For anyone betting my advice is don't waste your fucking money on the favorite and bet one of the middle stacks.

[Rollo Tomasi]

is this live tonight what channel?

ESPN2 fifteen min delay

4:45 PT

[Rollo Tomasi]

Jay Farber tweet

Can anyone guess what I'll be doing today?

you forgot

[DRK Star]

just got 15-1 on Benefield.

[Baron Von Strucker]

It's on ESPN 2 as well

For anyone betting my advice is don't waste your fucking money on the favorite and bet one of the middle stacks.

Is there. A alternate to ESPN steaming for a laptop
Thanks

[DRK Star]

might work

so far, guys on there are speaking a foreign language

http://www.freevip.eu/others/188660/...am-online.html

[BeerAndPoker]

It's on ESPN 2 as well

For anyone betting my advice is don't waste your fucking money on the favorite and bet one of the middle stacks.

Is there. A alternate to ESPN steaming for a laptop
Thanks

Someone will probably post up something before it starts.

For those outside of the US here is a link that tells you how can view it from your country:

http://www.wsop.com/news/2013/Nov/46...NAL-TABLE.html