Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
I hate to admit it, but Obama looks pretty likely to get re-elected, despite the majority of the country being dissatisfied with his first 3+ years in office. The Republicans are beating themselves. Here's why:
- They failed to field a Presidential candidate who is relatable to the general public. Michelle Bachman is crazy. Rick Santorum is too religious. Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich have way too much personal baggage. Mitt Romney, the best of the pack, is the type of guy you'd love to see as your company's CEO, but very much projects a rich-guy-out-of-touch image. Where are the intelligent, well-spoken, charismatic GOP candidates without personal baggage and without religious fanaticism? Surely the Republicans could find one person of this description out of the 55 million registered Republicans in this country. The inability to find and promote a great candidate for the leader of the most powerful country on earth is mind-boggling. This is the 2nd election in a row where the GOP field, as a whole, sucked.
Having lived under a Mitt Romeny governorship I can say that the Mitt that presided over Massachusetts would have made a wonderful candidate; a center-right moderate compared to the center-left moderate that is in the White House. The Republicans cannot find a suitable candidate (and corrupt the ones they do have) because of the current party dynamics which strongly mirror the Republican party of the early 60's, when they first started moving towards a party of social conservative idealogy --a fate sealed when the last faction of Dixie-crats left the democratic party in the late 60's and became Republicans.
Until true social conservatism is seen as a losing prospect they will continue to drift to the right --which is why Republicans should be rooting for a Rick Santorum win, so the notion of millions of voters with "real" conservative values finally having a candidate they can get behind can be debunked.
There are plenty of solid conservatives in the party that would appeal to a broad base of voters, John Huntsman, Condoleeza Rice, and Michael Steele are three that come to mind
- They are allowing the Democrats to successfully paint them as the intolerant party of religious nuts and super-rich assholes. The last election in 2010 was successful for Republicans, but that was misleading, because it was a referendum on frustration with Obama rather than being pleased with the GOP. The last time the GOP really captivated the country was in 1994. Newt Gingrich, who led the party to sweeping midterm victories, got it right. He convinced the party to unify and stop the infighting, and then focus on the big issues Americans really cared about. People in 1994 were concerned with high crime. Most Democrats were a lot softer on violent criminals than Republicans, and the GOP made sure the electorate knew it. Smart. Americans were frustrated with high taxes and Clinton's plan to keep raising them. Republicans successfully convinced everyone that they were the party looking to lower your taxes, regardless of your income. The GOP did this with all of the big issues of the day where Republicans held the viewpoint that the majority of the country shared. Thus, the Democrats looked like out-of-touch elitists, while the Republicans looked like friends of the everyman. Brilliant. The results were predictably great for the GOP that year. This year, Republicans are sticking to their own narrow focus, and the average American doesn't know what the Republicans will do for them that Democrats won't. Right now the only thing I'm seeing is the attempt to derail Obama's health care bill, but without a viable alternative on the GOP side, this isn't going to score many points with people who weren't already voting Republican anyway (see next point)...
The issue with the republican party as it now exists is that they don't simply see the government as overreaching; they legitimately want to return to laissez faire economic's model of the early 20th century. Coupled with their religious intolerance, which shines through the moment they gain control of any statehouse or body of congress makes the current incarnation of the party appealing to about half the country, but extremely unappealing to the other half --the Democrats appeal to the same 50% but they have a 10% swath of the electorate that finds them the lesser of two evils most of the time.
- Republicans are too obsessed right now with pleasing their die-hard supporters. Why is this a bad thing? You don't win elections by bending over backwards for people that are voting for you no matter what. While you shouldn't betray your supporters to where you turn them off completely, you need to focus on bringing the middle-of-the-road and independent voters into your corner. Take gay marriage, for example. The majority of the country is against it, so Republicans are spending a lot of time talking about it. This is wrong! Most of the people against gay marriage are already voting for you, yet you're turning off many independents who see you as intolerant. I'm not saying that the GOP should come out FOR gay marriage, but they should keep quiet about the whole thing, as most Democrats are.
Totally agree
- Republicans have been shy about answering the "1%" Occupy talk. The Occupy movement was very flawed and most of the general public never really got behind it. But it did make a lot of noise, and it did popularize the term "1%" to refer to the privileged few that get everything easy in life. Unfortunately, Republicans are seen as the party of the 1%, and that will hurt come election time. Republicans missed their opportunity to answer back, where they should have said that while it is impossible to completely equalize everyone's opportunity in a free country, America gives the opportunity for anyone to be successful who wants to work hard at it. They missed the chance to express the popularly-held belief that people who work hard and strive for success deserve the material rewards they eventually receive from it. Instead, most of the country was left with the impression that, while most of Occupy's fanatics were a bunch of smelly hippies, America really does have a problem with the privileged few getting all the breaks.
Totally agree
It's too late to right the ship for 2012, but I really hope the GOP gets their act together over the next 4 years. On the bright side, the Democrats don't have a good candidate to run in 2016 -- at least not yet.