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Thread: My prop Bet on Baltimore. Hedge?

  1. #1

    My prop Bet on Baltimore. Hedge?

    I have 2 bets totaling $30 to win $530 on the Ravens. Should I hedge it?

  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post
    I have 2 bets totaling $30 to win $530 on the Ravens. Should I hedge it?
    If $250 is significant for you I would say yes. If it's not I would say no since you are getting a much better price then the money line. It's all a matter of perspective, if you had a lot more on it I would say take the money and run. However, maybe just hedge out for the $30 and let the rest ride?

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post
    I have 2 bets totaling $30 to win $530 on the Ravens. Should I hedge it?

    Thats a personal decision. If losing the $530 would crush you then put a $100 on SF. I only hedge when I have a small chance of hitting both. Like if u had had to win and took Balt + the points and SF wins by 3.

  4. #4
    I'm not losing $530 my risk is $30. the ML I can get is -195. the amount isn't the issue I just wanted to know what the proper play is? What I win just goes into the BR and probably a bunch of drinks for the boys.

  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post
    I'm not losing $530 my risk is $30. the ML I can get is -195. the amount isn't the issue I just wanted to know what the proper play is? What I win just goes into the BR and probably a bunch of drinks for the boys.
    -195 is no good, LET IT RIDE

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by thesidedish View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post
    I'm not losing $530 my risk is $30. the ML I can get is -195. the amount isn't the issue I just wanted to know what the proper play is? What I win just goes into the BR and probably a bunch of drinks for the boys.
    -195 is no good, LET IT RIDE
    -195 is way too much, I see it at -160 most everywhere today.

    I vote for hedging unless you believe in the Ravens (I don't)

  7. #7
    Whats the odds on Ray taking someone out of the game?

  8. #8
    Bronze LAWN CIGAR's Avatar
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    How much do you think this guy is hedging? Hopefully Druff can have him on radio to talk about his sick betting and funny stories.
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    Like Neil Diamond once said....LA is fine but it aint home!

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by LAWN CIGAR View Post
    How much do you think this guy is hedging? Hopefully Druff can have him on radio to talk about his sick betting and funny stories.
    something seems odd about that bet. It was booked on Jan 12 at 25/1?

  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by LAWN CIGAR View Post
    How much do you think this guy is hedging? Hopefully Druff can have him on radio to talk about his sick betting and funny stories.
    something seems odd about that bet. It was booked on Jan 12 at 25/1?
    That was 2 days before the Denver game. Before we beat Manning as 9.5 dogs. Before we did the impossible and beat Brady the next week at home as 9.5 dogs.

    I got +1000 on Jan 14th after the Denver game. Looks pretty bad considering what he got 2 days earlier.

    He found an awesome price but it IS possible someone out there had 25-1 before Denver game. At first I thought it was fake too but I think it is legit.

  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post

    something seems odd about that bet. It was booked on Jan 12 at 25/1?
    That was 2 days before the Denver game. Before we beat Manning as 9.5 dogs. Before we did the impossible and beat Brady the next week at home as 9.5 dogs.

    I got +1000 on Jan 14th after the Denver game. Looks pretty bad considering what he got 2 days earlier.

    He found an awesome price but it IS possible someone out there had 25-1 before Denver game. At first I thought it was fake too but I think it is legit.
    I definitely agree it was possible. With 4 teams left NE was the fave by far and I believe Balt was 8 to 1 at that point?

  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by LAWN CIGAR View Post
    How much do you think this guy is hedging? Hopefully Druff can have him on radio to talk about his sick betting and funny stories.
    something seems odd about that bet. It was booked on Jan 12 at 25/1?
    It is legit. My book was offering 20 to 1 prior to Denver Game. I took them at 10 to 1 after they won that game. Funny thing is, the Ravens were 16 to 1 before the season started. No hedging for me.

  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post

    That was 2 days before the Denver game. Before we beat Manning as 9.5 dogs. Before we did the impossible and beat Brady the next week at home as 9.5 dogs.

    I got +1000 on Jan 14th after the Denver game. Looks pretty bad considering what he got 2 days earlier.

    He found an awesome price but it IS possible someone out there had 25-1 before Denver game. At first I thought it was fake too but I think it is legit.
    I definitely agree it was possible. With 4 teams left NE was the fave by far and I believe Balt was 8 to 1 at that point?
    He would have made a ton more by just pressing the $8000 on the moneyline for the Denver, Patriots, and SF game
    Denver = +400
    Patroits = +350
    Niners = +160
    Pressing all the way, including original $8000, he would cash out: $468,000

  14. #14
    I'm telling everyone if you want to make a lot of money look at Ravens lines, there is so much value in them it is ridiculous. Every year. Every damn week I look at the lines and say what the hell are these guys watching? 25-1 going into the divisional round? That is highway robbery. But it happens over and over again for some reason.

    I have seen it the other way too, my biggest score this year was when Vegas had Denver only -2.5 at Baltimore when we literally had only 4 starters on our defense playing. It juts boggled my mind and I put everything I had on Denver and they cruised. It is like they just don't follow what we do or what our situation is very closely and throw out these horrible lines. Good for me though, my account is now at 5x what it was before this season.

    Just look at last week, +9.5 and 95 percent (literally) came in on Ravens after it opened in the first 4 days or so. I don't know how it finished up but if the goal is to get 50/50 money split they lost their ass on that one. Again.

    That 25-1 though is a sick ass bet, you can better believe he is hedging that motherfucker!!

  15. #15
    Canadrunk limitles's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Goodpoop View Post
    I have 2 bets totaling $30 to win $530 on the Ravens. Should I hedge it?
    If $250 is significant for you I would say yes. If it's not I would say no since you are getting a much better price then the money line. It's all a matter of perspective, if you had a lot more on it I would say take the money and run. However, maybe just hedge out for the $30 and let the rest ride?
    What are the odds you'll learn to use the words then and than correctly. I say JSearles bought the handicappedisme account and is posting freely albeit ignorantly.
    unbounded
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  16. #16
    placed $20 at +1650 on 9/1/12
    placed $10 at +2000 on 1/2/13

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