Super Bowl XLVII Thread

[NaturalBornHustler]

Figured I would start one of these up, being my fucking team is playing.

Opening line was at +5 49ers 47.5 total, bet down to +3.5 same total over the past 4 days. I th=ink +3 is the final number so if you like the Ravens get them now with the hook. I truely feel this game is a complete toss up, with the edge going to the Ravens due to the massive experience difference and Joe Flacco being on a playoff tear lately.

If anyone has any questions about Baltimore fire away I know this team from top to bottom, I am sure if Cmoney (God) makes an appearance can answer anything about 49ers.

Oh and please refrain from any Ray Lewis is a murderer talk, there is another thread for that. Let's keep it straight football/gambling in this thread.

Here are some props for the game on the board now...

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Coin Toss - Heads v Tails
06:30 PM 1 Heads -103
2 Tails -103

SUPER BOWL XLVII
First score of game will be
06:30 PM 13 Touchdown -150
14 Field Goal or Safety +120

SUPER BOWL XLVII
First team to kick off
06:30 PM 9 Baltimore Ravens -140
10 San Francisco 49ers +110

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Longest TD of Game
06:30 PM 19 Over 46½ yards +110
20 Under 46½ yards -140

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Score in first 7:30 of game
06:30 PM 11 Yes -180
12 No +150

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Team that wins coin toss wins game
06:30 PM 5 Yes -103
6 No -103

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Team to score first
06:30 PM 7 Baltimore Ravens +110
8 San Francisco 49ers -140

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Team to Win Coin Toss
06:30 PM 3 Baltimore Ravens -103
4 San Francisco 49ers -103

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Will either team score 3 unanswered times
06:30 PM 15 Yes -165
16 No +135

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Will there be a special teams or defensive TD
06:30 PM 17 Yes +175
18 No -215

Off the top I see a low scoring game, and that total of 47.5 is way too high. Vegas doesn't seem to be watching the Ravens play much lately, which is good for bettors. The Ravens defense is playing lights out, and so are the 49ers. How in the hell that line is 47.5 I will never know. The coaches are extremely familiar with each other, and I think both their general natures are that of being conservative especially in a game like this.

I'm obviously picking the Ravens, I am sure I will be the only one but that is fine. I just know this team too well to bet against them right now. So many intangibles to factor in and every one is in the Ravens favor. Very preliminarily I will say something in the range of 24-17 final score. Gonna be the longest 10 days from now to game in my life, but even though the 49ers are definitely capable of beating the Ravens I just don't see it and am fairly confident. Definitely not a guarantee though, this is the NFL.

My current bets are as follows -

Ravens +5
Ravens win outright @ 9-1 I got before AFCCG
Teaser under 54, Ravens +10.5

So who ya got?

[SrslySirius]

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Coin Toss - Heads v Tails
06:30 PM 1 Heads -103
2 Tails -103

Put me down for 10k on Tails!

[lewfather]

SUPER BOWL XLVII
Coin Toss - Heads v Tails
06:30 PM 1 Heads -103
2 Tails -103

Put me down for 10k on Tails!

Surprised they aren't charging higher vig on tails considering it never fails

[Sloppy Joe]

I have been riding Cousin Sal's prop bets over at Grantland. He's hit some good ones this year.

Under 47.5 seems like the absolute right play but feels a bit trappy.

Probably going to go Niners ML, esp. if it moves a bit.

Obv if $#@*@#)!#_() whispers I bet farm and start taking out black birds with a bow and arrow.

[JimmyG_415]

Off the top I see a low scoring game, and that total of 47.5 is way too high. Vegas doesn't seem to be watching the Ravens play much lately, which is good for bettors. The Ravens defense is playing lights out, and so are the 49ers. How in the hell that line is 47.5 I will never know.

They aren't trying to nail the total, they just want to spilt the action,
They get hammered on over's, (Vegas more than online books due to parlay cards.)

[PLOL]

Put me down for 10k on Tails!

Surprised they aren't charging higher vig on tails considering it never fails

I can book at the same rate.

[NaturalBornHustler]

I just realized they have "alternate lines" for the game now too.

06:30 PM 90003 Baltimore Ravens
+7½ -205 o Ov 52½ +185 o
90004 San Francisco 49ers -7½ +175 o Un 52½ -215 o

06:30 PM 90005 Baltimore Ravens
+10½ -260 o Ov 57½ +290 o
90006 San Francisco 49ers -10½ +220 o Un 57½ -350 o

06:30 PM 90007 Baltimore Ravens
+14½ -590 o Ov 62½ +465 o
90008 San Francisco 49ers -14½ +475 o Un 62½ -580 o

06:30 PM 90009 Baltimore Ravens
+17½ -665 o Ov 67½ +582 o
90010 San Francisco 49ers -17½ +525 o Un 67½ -742 o

06:30 PM 90011 Baltimore Ravens
-3½ +245 o Ov 42½ -220 o
90012 San Francisco 49ers +3½ -290 o Un 42½ +190 o

06:30 PM 90013 Baltimore Ravens
-7½ +385 o Ov 37½ -350 o
90014 San Francisco 49ers +7½ -470 o Un 37½ +290 o

06:30 PM 90015 Baltimore Ravens
-10½ +537 o Ov 32½ -588 o
90016 San Francisco 49ers +10½ -677 o Un 32½ +473 o

06:30 PM 90017 Baltimore Ravens
-14½ +962 o Ov 27½ -747 o
90018 San Francisco 49ers +14½ -1362 o Un 27½ +587 o

[badguy23]

U got a great line snagging that +5. If u had a Heritage acct or a Pinny acct when NE was winning at halftime they put out a line of SF Pickem once Ravens went up by 13 it jumped to -5.5. I like SF here -3.5 I think they win by 13+. Heads on coin toss. Good Luck.

[2outer]

Keeper kc should be getting 10x the press that the murdering MLB 52 is getting:

http://m.yahoo.com/w/ygo-frontpage/l...en&.tsrc=yahoo

[DirtyB]

06:30 PM 90011 Baltimore Ravens
-3½ +245 o Ov 42½ -220 o
90012 San Francisco 49ers +3½ -290 o Un 42½ +190 o

06:30 PM 90013 Baltimore Ravens
-7½ +385 o Ov 37½ -350 o
90014 San Francisco 49ers +7½ -470 o Un 37½ +290 o

I'm a terrible sports bettor, so I keep my best low. But I'm just somehow predicting a blowout by the Ravens.

So besides $25 each on the regular point and moneyline, I put $10 each on Ravens -7.5 +350 and -10.5 at +500. I also put $20 on Flacco not throwing an INT at +120. He hasn't thrown one yet this postseason.

[BeerAndPoker]

I'm not sure how I'm going to bet but at the moment I'm debating teasing Ravens and Under so it would be Ravens +10 and Under 54.

[NaturalBornHustler]

49ers "send off" included dozens upon dozens of people. Actually it was only about 30 people.

Ravens on the other hand. We live for this shit.

[NaturalBornHustler]

I'm not sure how I'm going to bet but at the moment I'm debating teasing Ravens and Under so it would be Ravens +10 and Under 54.

That is easily the bet I am most confident about.

Gonna need 8TD's to beat the under, and a huge loss by Ravens by 10 plus. I can't see either happening because of the type of game it will be.

Both teams will use their feature backs and use them a lot. That style will lend itself to a low scoring closer game rather than a high scoring game that could have a wider margin. Favors a under/+10 Ravens bet all the way.

[NaturalBornHustler]

06:30 PM 90011 Baltimore Ravens
-3½ +245 o Ov 42½ -220 o
90012 San Francisco 49ers +3½ -290 o Un 42½ +190 o

06:30 PM 90013 Baltimore Ravens
-7½ +385 o Ov 37½ -350 o
90014 San Francisco 49ers +7½ -470 o Un 37½ +290 o

I'm a terrible sports bettor, so I keep my best low. But I'm just somehow predicting a blowout by the Ravens.

So besides $25 each on the regular point and moneyline, I put $10 each on Ravens -7.5 +350 and -10.5 at +500. I also put $20 on Flacco not throwing an INT at +120. He hasn't thrown one yet this postseason.

Love the Flacco bet.

I took Ravens -3.5 for like +230.

I like the 7.5 at 350 too though, gonna be tough to hit that but it could very well happen.

Way I look at it Ravens are already undervalued by about 2-3 points, so almost any spread bet on them is +EV.

[JMM]

Team to kick the longerst FG

Ravens (-145)
49ers (+115)


Has to be the Ravens? Akers is doing good just to make his fucking extra points. I cringe every time they send him out on the field.

[limitles]

I'm a terrible sports bettor, so I keep my best low. But I'm just somehow predicting a blowout by the Ravens.

Funny stuff. Freud would say stick to spelling B's, B.

[vegas1369]

FWIW the Madden prediction is on the Ravens 27-24. It's been right 7 out of 9 times.

http://games.yahoo.com/blogs/plugged...143021478.html

[bukowski72]

[The_PHA]

I'm a terrible sports bettor, so I keep my best low. But I'm just somehow predicting a blowout by the Ravens.

So besides $25 each on the regular point and moneyline, I put $10 each on Ravens -7.5 +350 and -10.5 at +500. I also put $20 on Flacco not throwing an INT at +120. He hasn't thrown one yet this postseason.

Love the Flacco bet.

I took Ravens -3.5 for like +230.

I like the 7.5 at 350 too though, gonna be tough to hit that but it could very well happen.

Way I look at it Ravens are already undervalued by about 2-3 points, so almost any spread bet on them is +EV.

An L shaped desk FTW!

[mulva]

lol...a month ago fucking sportswriters and fans wanted flacco out of town. now the same writers are saying the ravens should've extended him eariler in the year.

what's even more laughable is flacco could command elite QB money in upwards of 20mil per. cue up the bad decision gif to which teams gives him that.