nfl divisional rd playoffs
seems like favorites and more favorites win and cover each and every week. even more odd because parity has been more prevalent.
Denver -9 Baltimore
San Francisco -3 Green Bay
Atlanta -2 Seattle
New England -9.5 Houston
nfl divisional rd playoffs
seems like favorites and more favorites win and cover each and every week. even more odd because parity has been more prevalent.
Denver -9 Baltimore
San Francisco -3 Green Bay
Atlanta -2 Seattle
New England -9.5 Houston
can baltimore's defense make a stand? not likely..but can't be dismissed. doesn't look good for baltimore on the rd w/ a lessor defense than just about every other years version.
hous/ne first game was a loss that can be dismissed for houston.....don't know if it's a blessing or a curse to see new england again, though. i do know that the pats defense can shit the bed at any given time, and houston has the defensive personnel to hold them down.
i view atlanta's game as a team that has something to prove. if there ever was such a nonsense thing as "wanting it more" it could apply here. even with everything that seattle has accomplished i see them as a tired team with a defense not moving forward.
i could careless about sf/gb....kapernick could fuck up at any given time. and gb,..well...they're gb..and they're also down defensively..would it surprise anyone to see seattle or atlanta beat either? i don't so....i'm not really gung ho w/ the NFC right now.
seattle has taken a lot of $$$ this line was actually atl -1 in some spots earlier. as much as i will be rooting for seattle to win, i can't bet them. i can't remember a game that meant so much for the falcons in a long time. imo this could be another "statement" type game from them. just like they did w/ the giants,..maybe not quite the beatdown,..but it could be a pulverizing
Denver vs Baltimore- Ravens have no chance in this game IMO. It will be worse than when they just lost a few weeks ago to Denver at home. Denver 38-17
New England vs Texas- Texans will hang a little tougher this time around, but Tom Brady and Co. get it done. New England 31-21
Atlanta vs Seattle- As Mulva said, this is a statement game for the Falcons. Not sure Atlanta will dominate, but they will win convincingly. Atlanta 28-16
49ers vs Green Bay- To me this is the toughest game to pick. I think San Frans D will step up enough and somewhat hold Rodgers in check, and they will run the ball down the Packers throat. 49ers 28-21
I hit 3/4 of my wild card SU picks (and if I had to bet on it I wouldve been 4/4, just had to be a homer and pick the Vikes to win at least one).
My AFC bracket stays the same then, and I'll keep rolling with it. Denver over Baltimore relatively easily. I'm not overly confident on Houston winning @ NE, but I think HOU D can do enough to frustrate the Pats, and if Andre Johnson can go nuts on that weakish secondary, they can pull it off.
NFC I've got Seattle winning. Just a better all around team. Any doubts about Wilson's poise were erased on the road last week, coming back from 14 down (RG3 injury or not). SF-GB is a tough one. Tiebreaker: Rodgers vs Kaepernick. I'll take the top 3 QB in the game over the guy who has started <10 games.
Last edited by gut; 01-09-2013 at 01:52 PM.
Pretty simple week straight up
Denver 27 Balt 21
SF 34 GB 24
Atl 28 Seattle 24
NE 35 Houston 10
Everyone says the toughest game is GB/SF trust me GB will have to play perfect to keep it close. I think with Smith in GB could win but Kapernickels ability to scramble will kill GB, and GB's oline has to keep Rodgers up and when your best olineman is out and a urfa is starting against that defense good luck with that.
Don't you watch "the league", you mean you could NOT careless.
I'm a 49er fan obv,
Justin Smith has to be back for the 49ers to stop GB, IMO.
They gave up 3 points to NE in 30 minutes, J. Smith goes down, they give up 72 points to NE and Sea in the next 90 minutes.
They said he is back, but at what level?
Plus, I just don't think Colin is as close to being in Roger's boat (yet) as Smith is.
That will be the difference, they won't make as many mistakes as the 49ers will.
I'll probably end up w/GB on the ML.
I'd be more confident in a ball control, Alex Smith offense. as opposed to a "let air it out" w/them, like they run when Kaepernick QBs.
Atlanta has to be the weakest # 1 seed in history.
Sea, NE, Den.
The 49ers are going to lose a game due to Colin's inexperience and the way that SF's defense has been torched lately, it will be this week.
No ones in Rodgers boat since hes been a starting qb the last 5 years his numbers are better then anyones, and in alot of categories no ones close like td/int ratio.
kapernickel presents amuch tougher problem for GBs d. Let me explain. GBs secondary are very good in coverage. Hayward is 2nd in coverage overall Shields is 6th and Williams is 37th but its a little misleading cause he covers the #1 guy. All this according to PFF.
The thing is they are cover guys not tacklers especially Williams who would rather not even try to tackle someone. GB is 2nd in the league in sacks, but they get that pressure by blitzing other then Clay.
They lost their top 2 inside linebackers for the year and the ones who are left cant cover and really cant tackle well either. My point is once Kap runs theres no one to tackle him. Woodson can tackle but hes a liability in coverage and hes good for at least 1-2 pass ints. Theres a reason he hasnt been cleared to play for so long he hurts the def in alot of ways. GB's D is pretty much made for the pocket passer with good wrs like Atl, but that scrambling qb will eat their d up all day. If Kap tries to be a pocket passer it will be a long day but hes to smart for that. I expect him to have over 100 yards rushing assuming he even has to try to pass because they might not stop Gore.
The only brightside I can think of besides having the best qb in the game is in the week 1 game GB had to play Chicago the following Thursday, so because McCarthy puts so much more stock into Division games they didnt spend much time getting ready for the niners, and spent more on the Bears because of the short week, but GB has had so many more injuries then SF this year this game probably wont be close.
nobody should be surprised if atlanta is the NFC team going to the SB. i think it's pretty hard to separate all the NFC teams. if atlanta could ever jump out to a 2 score lead, seattle will get killed. just take away the run game, and seattle will likely lose.
seattle on the road is more likely to be flat once again...imo..just like the vanishing act in the 1st quarter vs washington...if RGIII wasn't hurt, seattle would'nt have even won that game.
I want Denver -9 $25 regs qtb
Just got Baltimore +10 -115
SF +3 +100
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