Debate going on around here whether a team (Ravens) that has #4 seed in NFL playoffs locked up, tries to go for long shot to get to 3 seed by playing all players a lot of whom are hurt. The problem with that is NE would have to lose at home, and then we would have to win 2 games in playoffs, while BOTh the number 1 and 2 seeds lost so we could have home field for AFCC game. That is the only way it would be beneficial to have 3 vs 4, if we get to AFCC game and could host it.

So anyway, NE is -650 this week vs Miami. Oh and Miami has nothing to play for(out of playoffs), while NE does.

As far as #3 seeds hosting conference championship game I have to look that up, I am sure it has happened before but maybe only a couple times.

Off the top of my head I said it is probably less than 1 or 2% taking all those factors into consideration, while others are saying it is way higher. So if anyone can figure it out or even ball park it help me out.