Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 20 of 46

Thread: I'm going to do my best Cmoney lock of the week impression

  1. #1
    Platinum
    Reputation
    424
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,214
    Load Metric
    68055898

    I'm going to do my best Cmoney lock of the week impression

    Disclaimer: I am a die hard Ravens fan.

    That being said, I know this roster from 1-53 like the back of my hand. Our entire defense is hurt. Linebackers, corners even down to the 2nd string guys. Manning will light this defense up like a fucking Christmas tree, oh and on the other side of the ball Broncos have number 1 defense.

    Denver -2.5 is the fucking lock of all locks. Just checked the line to see how much it moved and was stunned to see it is holding at -2.5. They might win by 20. Or 30.

    Will be something like 35-13.

    If you would like me to get detailed I will.

  2. #2
    Canadrunk limitles's Avatar
    Reputation
    1638
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    In Todd's head
    Posts
    17,736
    Blog Entries
    1
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post
    Disclaimer: I am a die hard Ravens fan.

    That being said, I know this roster from 1-53 like the back of my hand. Our entire defense is hurt. Linebackers, corners even down to the 2nd string guys. Manning will light this defense up like a fucking Christmas tree, oh and on the other side of the ball Broncos have number 1 defense.

    Denver -2.5 is the fucking lock of all locks. Just checked the line to see how much it moved and was stunned to see it is holding at -2.5. They might win by 20. Or 30.

    Will be something like 35-13.

    If you would like me to get detailed I will.
    Sounds right to me


    Why not start a "BETS" thread where people can discuss upcoming games and wagers?

  3. #3
    Platinum
    Reputation
    424
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,214
    Load Metric
    68055898
    I am literally about to do something so crazy, I don't know if I can pull the trigger.

    I have NEVER bet against the Ravens. EVER. I will bet on them if I feel there is value, or juts stay away if I don;t feel good about the game. But I could sure use an extra grand in my pocket.

    I am right on the edge of loading up everything I have online on this game, that is how sure I am of the impending destruction coming Sunday.

    Never felt so strongly about a game, especially with my team involved.

  4. #4
    Canadrunk limitles's Avatar
    Reputation
    1638
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    In Todd's head
    Posts
    17,736
    Blog Entries
    1
    Load Metric
    68055898
    I also thought Green Bay -3 in Chicago looked good.

  5. #5
    Banned
    Reputation
    254
    Join Date
    Mar 2020
    Posts
    642
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post
    I am literally about to do something so crazy, I don't know if I can pull the trigger.

    I have NEVER bet against the Ravens. EVER. I will bet on them if I feel there is value, or juts stay away if I don;t feel good about the game. But I could sure use an extra grand in my pocket.

    I am right on the edge of loading up everything I have online on this game, that is how sure I am of the impending destruction coming Sunday.

    Never felt so strongly about a game, especially with my team involved.
    Betting against your team is awesome. It's a win-win proposition.

    Or lose-lose I guess, if you're a pessimist.

  6. #6
    Platinum
    Reputation
    424
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,214
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by SrslySirius View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post
    I am literally about to do something so crazy, I don't know if I can pull the trigger.

    I have NEVER bet against the Ravens. EVER. I will bet on them if I feel there is value, or juts stay away if I don;t feel good about the game. But I could sure use an extra grand in my pocket.

    I am right on the edge of loading up everything I have online on this game, that is how sure I am of the impending destruction coming Sunday.

    Never felt so strongly about a game, especially with my team involved.
    Betting against your team is awesome. It's a win-win proposition.

    Or lose-lose I guess, if you're a pessimist.
    Trigger pulled.

    I chickened out at the last minute and went money line, because if I somehow lost over 2.5 points I might kill myself.

    Ticket Wager Detail
    print

    Ticket Number:
    224117278
    Accepted Date:
    12/12/2012 - EST
    Graded Date:
    1/1/0001
    Wager Type:
    Money Line
    Wager Status:
    Pending
    Risk:
    $1,100.00 (USD)
    To Win Amount:
    $758.72 (USD)
    Description:
    Football - NFL - Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens - Denver Broncos

    Item #:
    1
    Wager Type:
    Money Line
    Outcome:
    Pending
    Sport / Period:
    Football NFL / Game
    Line:
    Football - NFL - Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens - Denver Broncos 12/16/2012 1:00:01 PM- (EST)
    -145
    I feel so dirty.

    My account has all of $40 left.

    #YOLO

  7. #7
    Canadrunk limitles's Avatar
    Reputation
    1638
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    In Todd's head
    Posts
    17,736
    Blog Entries
    1
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by SrslySirius View Post

    Betting against your team is awesome. It's a win-win proposition.

    Or lose-lose I guess, if you're a pessimist.
    Trigger pulled.

    I chickened out at the last minute and went money line, because if I somehow lost over 2.5 points I might kill myself.

    Ticket Wager Detail
    print

    Ticket Number:
    224117278
    Accepted Date:
    12/12/2012 - EST
    Graded Date:
    1/1/0001
    Wager Type:
    Money Line
    Wager Status:
    Pending
    Risk:
    $1,100.00 (USD)
    To Win Amount:
    $758.72 (USD)
    Description:
    Football - NFL - Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens - Denver Broncos

    Item #:
    1
    Wager Type:
    Money Line
    Outcome:
    Pending
    Sport / Period:
    Football NFL / Game
    Line:
    Football - NFL - Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens - Denver Broncos 12/16/2012 1:00:01 PM- (EST)
    -145
    I feel so dirty.

    My account has all of $40 left.

    #YOLO
    WOW, props for a ballsy bet. I'll be sweatin vicariously

  8. #8
    Diamond Sloppy Joe's Avatar
    Reputation
    1108
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,541
    Load Metric
    68055898
    GL, just checked Sportsbook and they have it at -3 now...

    I haven't even thought of wagering on NFL since the wormhole closed, have only bet wormhole locks for last 9 months aside from betting Denver's o/u..

  9. #9
    Platinum
    Reputation
    424
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,214
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe View Post
    GL, just checked Sportsbook and they have it at -3 now...

    I haven't even thought of wagering on NFL since the wormhole closed, have only bet wormhole locks for last 9 months aside from betting Denver's o/u..
    Yeah I figured it was going to 3 real soon so had to move fast. I think by game time it might be 6.

    It is funny I was on the most ridiculous tear of my sportsbetting life the last 4 weeks of the wormhole like 38-7 or something crazy (and coincidentally right when I started betting the picks), but since the wormhole closed I have been like 2-12.

  10. #10
    Gold 408Mike's Avatar
    Reputation
    7
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Own a dying world
    Posts
    2,333
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by NaturalBornHustler View Post
    Disclaimer: I am a die hard Ravens fan.

    That being said, I know this roster from 1-53 like the back of my hand. Our entire defense is hurt. Linebackers, corners even down to the 2nd string guys. Manning will light this defense up like a fucking Christmas tree, oh and on the other side of the ball Broncos have number 1 defense.

    Denver -2.5 is the fucking lock of all locks. Just checked the line to see how much it moved and was stunned to see it is holding at -2.5. They might win by 20. Or 30.

    Will be something like 35-13.

    If you would like me to get detailed I will.
    hof
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine
    i was pretty butt-hurt when mike said he didnt want to fuck with my home game because i was trannie-bombing threads, but ive definitely come to appreciate mike as a poster and a person and feel genuinely that the last thing on earth he deserves is a dime-store bipolar fruitcake like marty threatening him.

  11. #11
    Diamond vegas1369's Avatar
    Reputation
    1439
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    5,185
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Hoping it is high scoring but stays close, I need both Peyton and Rice to go off. I personally would never bet against the Ravens at home, at least not vs the points, they're just a different team there.

    Hope you win your bet, and I get a lot of points from both. GL.

  12. #12
    Platinum
    Reputation
    424
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,214
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by vegas1369 View Post
    Hoping it is high scoring but stays close, I need both Peyton and Rice to go off. I personally would never bet against the Ravens at home, at least not vs the points, they're just a different team there.

    Hope you win your bet, and I get a lot of points from both. GL.
    Peyton will shred this defense, and Rice will get his points one way or the other.

    You should be in good shape.

    High scoring is almost guaranteed, especially on Denver side.

  13. #13
    Diamond mulva's Avatar
    Reputation
    541
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,957
    Blog Entries
    4
    Load Metric
    68055898
    you'll never sustain long term gains and winnings by betting on road favorites.

    regardless of baltimore's defense being down, i can't ever pull a heavily loaded trigger on a road favorite. especially one against a team like the ravens who have been upper echelon

  14. #14
    Platinum cmoney's Avatar
    Reputation
    1201
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    2,824
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Sorry to say Baltimore will win this game or lose by 1

  15. #15
    Canadrunk limitles's Avatar
    Reputation
    1638
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    In Todd's head
    Posts
    17,736
    Blog Entries
    1
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by cmoney View Post
    Sorry to say Baltimore will win this game or lose by 1


    So essentially you're saying the Ravens will either win or lose.

  16. #16
    Platinum cmoney's Avatar
    Reputation
    1201
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    2,824
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by limitles View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by cmoney View Post
    Sorry to say Baltimore will win this game or lose by 1


    So essentially you're saying the Ravens will either win or lose.

    2.2/10

  17. #17
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
    Reputation
    730
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,581
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    you'll never sustain long term gains and winnings by betting on road favorites.

    regardless of baltimore's defense being down, i can't ever pull a heavily loaded trigger on a road favorite. especially one against a team like the ravens who have been upper echelon


    This stat doesn't reference this game specifically, but home dogs this season who are getting 8 pts or more are 21-2. 21-1 until Denver covered at Oakland last thursday.

  18. #18
    Platinum
    Reputation
    424
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,214
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    you'll never sustain long term gains and winnings by betting on road favorites.

    regardless of baltimore's defense being down, i can't ever pull a heavily loaded trigger on a road favorite. especially one against a team like the ravens who have been upper echelon


    This stat doesn't reference this game specifically, but home dogs this season who are getting 8 pts or more are 21-2. 21-1 until Denver covered at Oakland last thursday.
    Last I checked Ravens weren't 8 plus point dogs. It is 2.5. 8 is a very convenient number to choose for that stat as well, but that is besides the point.

    This is a special situation, I don't believe I ever said I was going to "make a living" off of wagers like this.

    Charlie Batch just put up 23 points on this defense their last HOME game. RGIII just put up 31 points. What do you think Manning is going to do?? This defense was already suspect and THEN the injury bug has hit hard the past 2 weeks especially.

    Our one and only pass rusher has a torn bicep(Suggs) and still isn't healthy from his achilles rupture he was coming back from way too early. Our #1 all pro corner is hurt(Webb). Our #2 corner is hurt(J Smith). Our #2 ILB is out(J. McClain). Our #3 ILB is out/coming off injury if he does manage to play(D. Ellerbe). Ray Lewis might be back but he is coming off a serious injury, very little help. Our only stud offensive lineman (M. Yanda) is out.

    The oddsmakers are looking at Ravens home record but are ignoring that this team is so banged up right now on defense it isn't funny. The matchup against Manning is just as bad as it gets.

    Watch what happens Friday when they start ruling players out, the line will jump.

    Broncos -2.5 is highway robbery.

    I mean if someone can give me some analysis outside of random general bullshit and tell me how Ravens win this be my guest. Still haven't heard it yet.

    Jacoby Jones would probably have to take 2 kicks to the house, AND the offense would have to play reasonably well.....against the number 1 defense in the league. This must be done against 2 of the best pass rushers coming off the edge in Dumerville and Miller, facing our tackles who have cost us the game the last 2 weeks with their horrible pass blocking. Oh BTW the Ravens just fired the offensive coordinator.

  19. #19
    Diamond Sloppy Joe's Avatar
    Reputation
    1108
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    6,541
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by cmoney View Post
    Sorry to say Baltimore will win this game or lose by 1
    I assume that this isn't a wormhole proclamation..?

  20. #20
    Platinum cmoney's Avatar
    Reputation
    1201
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    2,824
    Load Metric
    68055898
    Quote Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by cmoney View Post
    Sorry to say Baltimore will win this game or lose by 1
    I assume that this isn't a wormhole proclamation..?

    Def not wormhole approved. Denver line just seems too good to be true ( which usually means trap play)

    It is the same logic I used earlier this year when I picked the Jets +8 against Houston. Everyone thought Houston would win by 40 and they almost lost the game to the Jets.

    To me, the one that seems to be the "sure thing" is the most unpredictable.
    Last edited by cmoney; 12-13-2012 at 07:00 PM.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. CMONEY LOCK OF THE WEEK (NOT OPPOSITE PICK) 11_19_12
    By cmoney in forum Scams, Scandals, and Shadiness
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 11-15-2012, 07:37 PM
  2. CMONEY NOT LOCK OF THE WEEK (NOT OPPOSITE PICK) 10_29_12
    By cmoney in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 10-29-2012, 05:45 PM
  3. CMONEY LOCK OF THE WEEK (NOT OPPOSITE PICK) 10_20_12
    By cmoney in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 35
    Last Post: 10-22-2012, 07:54 PM
  4. Replies: 96
    Last Post: 10-18-2012, 08:01 AM
  5. Cmoney Lock of the week (Not opposite pick)
    By cmoney in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 85
    Last Post: 10-12-2012, 07:51 PM