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Thread: **** Official Election Day Thread. Mr. Trump versus Ms. Harris ****

  1. #21
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    As opposed to 5 kids with 3 women, serial cheater, serial rapist Trump.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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    May be biased because I always kind of had a crush on Danica. But to me this is the right pitch to try to get these undecided voters that are heistant to vote for Trump. Make it about the team around him. Only problem is if Trump puts two and two together he will def shit his depends.

    Pretty obvious his ego couldn’t allow Nikki Haley to campaign on his behalf. Kind of like when he tweeted about Pete Rose’s death (days after he actually died) while JD Vance was having a great debate performance. Just have to get to Nov 6th without him noticing the pitch isn’t all about him.

    https://twitter.com/DanicaPatrick/status/1853260534721958334

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    I will miss the word salads. Only solace if she wins is we will have these for 4 years.


  4. #24
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Trump looks so haggard. He knows he’s beaten.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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  5. #25
    It would be chefs kiss if that scotus "president is immune"" ruling came into play someway at the end here. One last fuck you from Biden

  6. #26
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    This is Robert Cahaly, very quirky dude, but a very solid pollster. He famously developed the poll question in 2016 "Who is your neighbor voting for" to get out the hidden Trump voter. He called the election in 2016 for Trump early on and propelled him as the #1 private pollster in the country. Now he was fairly average in 2020, not terrible but not great either. This is a good watch, just because he closes his eyes every time he speaks.

    ?

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    🚨 BREAKING OUT OF IOWA: Trump posts NEW RECORD in Iowa Youth Straw Poll, handily demolishes his own 2016 and 2020 performance 🔴 2024: Trump+30.1 🔴 2020: Trump+18.1 🔴 2016: Trump+10.6 This year, Trump received *61.6% of the vote... Kamala nearly dipped into the 20s! 2024: Trump 61.6%-Harris 31.5% | 2020: Trump 52.9%-Biden 34.8% | 2016: Trump 46.1%-Clinton 35.5% - Kamala Harris' result here is the WORST since the start of this straw poll...

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Polymarket

    Donald Trump

    $1,236,574,898 Vol. <----------------

    60.5%
    Market icon

    Kamala Harris

    $785,026,085 Vol.

    39.6%

  9. #29
    Platinum garrett's Avatar
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    tgull gonna be so mad when Trump loses...


  10. #30
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by garrett View Post
    tgull gonna be so mad when Trump loses...

    It won't matter to me by Wednesday who wins. I make and made my money so I am fine either way. Let me put it more directly, I don't need to walk in front of a fucking truck to get paid, like yourself. Let me remind you, you kicked the shit out of your own father, then your parents ripped off your insurance settlement. Your life has been an unmitigated failure.

  11. #31
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by garrett View Post
    tgull gonna be so mad when Trump loses...

    It won't matter to me by Wednesday who wins. I make and made my money so I am fine either way. Let me put it more directly, I don't need to walk in front of a fucking truck to get paid, like yourself. Let me remind you, you kicked the shit out of your own father, then your parents ripped off your insurance settlement. Your life has been an unmitigated failure.
    You couldn't afford a 500$ dollar bet with me...

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  13. #33
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    NEW: RNC sues City of Milwaukee over election observers. Suit alleges: "Milwaukee Elections Commission has been arbitrarily limiting and prohibiting members of the public from observing all aspects of the voting process at polling locations in the City of Milwaukee."

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    NYT says they've seen a non-response bias of ~16% from Republicans meaning, say Kamala was leading 52.5% to 47.5% in the polling, the non-response bias means that the actual number would end up being 51.1% for Trump and 48.9% for Kamala. Erasing a 5 point lead. Also, that is even if only 70% of the non-responders vote for Trump.

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    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Yeah they’ve started saying over everything already. It won’t make a difference. They’re all meritless, grasping at straws. They’ll go 0-fer like they did in 2020.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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  18. #38
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/kleavittnh/status/1853490073859133783

    ARIZONA COMPARED TO 2020:
    Urban turnout is down -385,285
    Female turnout is down -170,011

    GEORGIA COMPARED TO 2020:
    Urban turnout is down -153,846
    Female turnout is down -46,732

    MICHIGAN COMPARED TO 2020:
    Urban turnout is down -321,523
    Female turnout is down -204,856

    NORTH CAROLINA COMPARED TO 2020:
    Urban turnout is down -175,470
    Female turnout is down -154,459

    NEVADA COMPARED TO 2020:
    Urban turnout is down -191,199
    Female turnout is down -126,112

    PENNSYLVANIA COMPARED TO 2020:
    Urban turnout is down -381,519
    Female turnout is down -450,802

    WISCONSIN COMPARED TO 2020:
    Urban turnout is down -100,733
    Female turnout is down -238,452

  19. #39
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    NYT says they've seen a non-response bias of ~16% from Republicans meaning, say Kamala was leading 52.5% to 47.5% in the polling, the non-response bias means that the actual number would end up being 51.1% for Trump and 48.9% for Kamala. Erasing a 5 point lead. Also, that is even if only 70% of the non-responders vote for Trump.
    Keep dreaming, it’s adorable.

    It will be hilarious hearing the Trumptards complain like they did in 2020, about the exact things they said too fucking bad about in 2016.

    But the polls!
    But the betting markets!
    But it’s not fair to vote early!
    But you cheated!

    Then instead of trying to become sane human beings and appeal to broader groups of people, they’ll double down on racism, misogyny and grievance, and get busy trying to figure out how to make voting more difficult.


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  20. #40
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    Don't worry guys, she's got this.

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