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Thread: It’s Less than a Week to the Election, and it Looks Like I was Right about EVERYTHING, as Usual

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    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    It’s Less than a Week to the Election, and it Looks Like I was Right about EVERYTHING, as Usual

    Greetings PFA, it’s been a while. I sincerely hope you are all well.

    I also hope you listened to me, because I was right about everything.

    This will be a long post so tl;dr: Kamala is going to win and the Democrats are going to keep the Senate and take back the House.

    I said inflation was temporary and related to supply chain disruption, and that the Fed would get it under control and bring the economy in for a soft landing without causing a recession or high unemployment. And that’s exactly what happened. Inflation is back down to the Fed’s target of 2% and unemployment remains near historic lows, below the 5% level that is considered full employment. The price of some items is higher than before, and the right-wing alternate universe like Fox News tells you that means there’s still inflation. They’re misleading you about what inflation is. It’s the rate of change of prices. They tell you that we should want prices to go back down to where they were before inflation spiked. That would be deflation, which is a disaster even worse than inflation. What we should want instead is for real wages to increase so that people can afford the same goods despite their higher price. And guess what, that’s happening. Real wages are up. All of these stats are available if you leave the right-wing bubble and join the real world.

    I said high gas prices were temporary and related to supply chain disruption, and that they would drop. And that’s exactly what happened. The inflation-adjusted price of gas is about the same now as it averaged during Trump’s term, and still dropping. And that’s with a robust economy and war in the middle east.

    I said the economy would be great under Biden, and it is. People love to complain about the economy. People always say the economy sucks under a president they don’t like, and say it’s good under a president they like. This is especially true now in today’s polarized age, where if you listen to the right-wing disinformation bubble you’d think we were in the middle of another Great Depression. But if you want to know how people really feel about the economy, look at their behavior rather than what they say. Spending is robust, businesses are investing, the labor market remains strong. The economy is actually in fantastic shape, especially compared to other major countries. (China’s is in the fucking toilet.) Presidents get too much blame when the economy is bad and too much credit when the economy is good. A president’s effect is more structural and long-term, and short-term economics don’t have much to do with the president unless they do something crazy. Unfortunately, Trump wants to do several crazy things to the economy.

    I said that Biden would be tougher on China than Trump was, and he is. Through the CHIPS Act, the Inflation Reduction Act and other measures, Biden has set America on a course to maintain America’s technological advantage and move the manufacturing of crucial high-tech components back to America, and prevent China from accessing certain crucial military technologies. This will do far more to give America a long-term advantage over China than Trump’s tariffs. It is also resulting in massive investments in high-quality American jobs, many of them in red states whose representatives voted against it. (But there was significant Republican support for this, to their credit.)

    I said the increase in crime was temporary, and it would drop again. And that’s exactly what happened. Violent crime is now back to historic lows after its brief spike during Covid. Of course if you live in the right-wing chamber of lies, you think America is like Mad Max and Robocop and Soylent Green all rolled into one apocalypse. The truth is America is as safe as it’s ever been.

    Now I hope you’re paying attention, because here’s something else I’m right about, and you can make some money on it if you’re so inclined.] Kamala is going to win, and it’s not going to be particularly close. She will win with a few states to spare. She’s going to win Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Nevada (which is enough), and she’s going to win at least 2 of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. Yes, it will be possible to say “if 80,000 votes in 3 states had changed, Trump would have won,” but it’s possible to say that about almost every election. And the reason she will win will not be because of voter fraud. It will be because Americans don’t like Trump the orange fascist. This is not wishful thinking. If I thought Trump would win I would say so. Here are a couple of reason I say this:

    The polls are underestimating Kamala. The polls are not properly sampling the 2024 electorate. Pollsters are so scared of underestimating Trump like they did in 2016 and to a lesser extent in 2020 that they have adjusted their samples and the way they interpret their results. But the 2024 electorate is not necessarily the same. In fact there’s solid evidence that it’s going to be a bit different. This means they are underestimating Kamala. When Trump won in 2016 he got 46.1% of the national popular vote. When he lost in 2020 he actually improved a bit to 46.8% of the national popular vote. The national popular vote doesn’t count of course, but his numbers were similar in the swing states. Trump has a ceiling of 47%, maybe a few tenths more. 9 times out of 10 the Democrat (or any normal candidate from either party) can beat that.

    Women are pissed, and they are voting for Kamala in droves. Republicans are already regretting overturning Roe v. Wade and they’re going to regret it even more on Nov. 5. It is driving women even more toward the Democrats. There are abortion-related ballot questions in several states, and all of them will pass except Florida where they need 60%. This is going to push up the numbers for some Democrats, including Kamala.

    A few Republicans are voting for Kamala. A number of Republicans and Nikki Haley voters are sick of Trump’s fascist aspirations and fomenting violence, and are going to vote for Kamala. High-profile Republicans are endorsing Kamala to save democracy, and they still hold sway with the moderate Nikki Haley voters who aren’t Trump cultists. How many? Probably not many, but if it’s even 0.3% that makes a huge difference.

    Kamala’s ground game is smooth as silk and Trump’s sucks. Kamala’s field operation is reaching not only the base but rural voters and others the Democrats don’t usually reach. Trump outsources his to Elon Musk who knows jack squat about how to run it and the people he’s hired are grifting Trump’s campaign for money without putting much actual effort into the operation. This will make a difference, probably only a marginal one, but again even 0.3% is huge.

    Finally, guess what? The Democrats are going to take back the House and keep the Senate. The same sampling issues that are underestimating Kamala are underestimating the Democrats’ chances in both chambers. It’ll likely be 50/50 in the Senate. Tester from Montana has a history of pulling out close races where it seems he’s behind, and he’s up against a carpetbagger who lied about being wounded in combat. Osborn has a serious chance in Nebraska and he will caucus with the Democrats. The Democrats even have an outside chance of knocking off the universally hated Ted Cruz, but I don’t think that will actually happen.

    If I’m wrong, I’m wrong. Then I hope you all enjoy the end of the Republic and a complete wreckage of the economy. Replacing income tax with tariffs and deporting millions of people? LMAO every economist in the world knows this will drive inflation through the roof, shrink the economy, kill jobs and finally kill off the middle class. I hope you enjoy paying more for everything, picking your own fruits and vegetables and slaughtering your own cows and chickens. Also I hope you enjoy a less secure world, dominated by China and Russia rather than the USA and other free nations. But it’s not going to happen because we will have grown-up leadership from the Democrats.

    Enjoy the blue wave!

     
    Comments
      
      DrPeters: moron
      
      Deal: credit for explaining your prediction
      
      Dan Druff: glad to see Walt back
      
      desertrunner: Moron
      
      PLOL: looking in to this
      
      Cerveza Fria: Good to see this Gringo back!
      
      big dick: MY MAN blue wave incoming. good to see ya brother
      
      The Boz: Welcome back
      
      Tellafriend: delusional take; but welcome back
      
      Pablo: TLDR Welcome back
      
      splitthis: lol tranny
      
      nunbeater: lol rightwingers cant handle the truth
      
      TheXFactor: YOU ARE 100% CORRECT SIR.
      
      tony bagadonuts: Nice post Walt
      
      mickeycrimm: Delusions of grandeur

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    Good to hear from you, Walt. Don't be a stranger.

    My thoughts:
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Greetings PFA, it’s been a while. I sincerely hope you are all well.

    I also hope you listened to me, because I was right about everything.

    This will be a long post so tl;dr: Kamala is going to win and the Democrats are going to keep the Senate and take back the House.

    I said inflation was temporary and related to supply chain disruption, and that the Fed would get it under control and bring the economy in for a soft landing without causing a recession or high unemployment. And that’s exactly what happened. Inflation is back down to the Fed’s target of 2% and unemployment remains near historic lows, below the 5% level that is considered full employment. The price of some items is higher than before, and the right-wing alternate universe like Fox News tells you that means there’s still inflation. They’re misleading you about what inflation is. It’s the rate of change of prices. They tell you that we should want prices to go back down to where they were before inflation spiked. That would be deflation, which is a disaster even worse than inflation. What we should want instead is for real wages to increase so that people can afford the same goods despite their higher price. And guess what, that’s happening. Real wages are up. All of these stats are available if you leave the right-wing bubble and join the real world.

    I said high gas prices were temporary and related to supply chain disruption, and that they would drop. And that’s exactly what happened. The inflation-adjusted price of gas is about the same now as it averaged during Trump’s term, and still dropping. And that’s with a robust economy and war in the middle east.

    I said the economy would be great under Biden, and it is. People love to complain about the economy. People always say the economy sucks under a president they don’t like, and say it’s good under a president they like. This is especially true now in today’s polarized age, where if you listen to the right-wing disinformation bubble you’d think we were in the middle of another Great Depression. But if you want to know how people really feel about the economy, look at their behavior rather than what they say. Spending is robust, businesses are investing, the labor market remains strong. The economy is actually in fantastic shape, especially compared to other major countries. (China’s is in the fucking toilet.) Presidents get too much blame when the economy is bad and too much credit when the economy is good. A president’s effect is more structural and long-term, and short-term economics don’t have much to do with the president unless they do something crazy. Unfortunately, Trump wants to do several crazy things to the economy.
    I agree with most of this, with the big exception of Democrats retaking the Senate. Hiccups aside, Montana, Texas, Nebraska, and West Virginia are simply too red now for any of those Republican candidates to lose at this point. I don't see any upsets taking place in any other states and Hovde and Rogers, while still dogs, both have a puncher's chance in Wisconsin and Michigan respectively.

    Maryland polls say Hogan is still close, but I apply the same rule there that I apply to the four red states I mentioned above. Maryland is just too blue.

    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    I said that Biden would be tougher on China than Trump was, and he is. Through the CHIPS Act, the Inflation Reduction Act and other measures, Biden has set America on a course to maintain America’s technological advantage and move the manufacturing of crucial high-tech components back to America, and prevent China from accessing certain crucial military technologies. This will do far more to give America a long-term advantage over China than Trump’s tariffs. It is also resulting in massive investments in high-quality American jobs, many of them in red states whose representatives voted against it. (But there was significant Republican support for this, to their credit.)
    You're not necessarily wrong, but this doesn't move the needle much, if at all.

    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    I said the increase in crime was temporary, and it would drop again. And that’s exactly what happened. Violent crime is now back to historic lows after its brief spike during Covid. Of course if you live in the right-wing chamber of lies, you think America is like Mad Max and Robocop and Soylent Green all rolled into one apocalypse. The truth is America is as safe as it’s ever been.
    Not sure about the last sentence, but the overall point is correct. the problem is that memories of the BLM bullshit and politicians looking the other way during the pandemic crime wave are still *very* fresh on people's minds, especially with folks in minority neighborhoods who were directly affected, and the perception is that crime is still rampant. Right, wrong, or indifferent, that's how it is.

    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    Now I hope you’re paying attention, because here’s something else I’m right about, and you can make some money on it if you’re so inclined.] Kamala is going to win, and it’s not going to be particularly close. She will win with a few states to spare. She’s going to win Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Nevada (which is enough), and she’s going to win at least 2 of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. Yes, it will be possible to say “if 80,000 votes in 3 states had changed, Trump would have won,” but it’s possible to say that about almost every election. And the reason she will win will not be because of voter fraud. It will be because Americans don’t like Trump the orange fascist. This is not wishful thinking. If I thought Trump would win I would say so. Here are a couple of reason I say this:

    The polls are underestimating Kamala. The polls are not properly sampling the 2024 electorate. Pollsters are so scared of underestimating Trump like they did in 2016 and to a lesser extent in 2020 that they have adjusted their samples and the way they interpret their results. But the 2024 electorate is not necessarily the same. In fact there’s solid evidence that it’s going to be a bit different. This means they are underestimating Kamala. When Trump won in 2016 he got 46.1% of the national popular vote. When he lost in 2020 he actually improved a bit to 46.8% of the national popular vote. The national popular vote doesn’t count of course, but his numbers were similar in the swing states. Trump has a ceiling of 47%, maybe a few tenths more. 9 times out of 10 the Democrat (or any normal candidate from either party) can beat that.
    I get your point about pollsters possibly being afraid of underestimating Trump again, as we saw something similar with the Republican Party writ large in 2022. Not sure that carries over to the degree you're thinking though. We'll see.

    The paragraph before that is a fantasy. Trump has Georgia, Nevada and Arizona in the bag already. He could legitimately lose North Carolina thanks to a combination of the hurricane fiasco and the asshat tranny-loving Republican candidate for governor that could drag him down, and I think there's *monster* value on Harris +223 in NC.

    It all comes down to Pennsylvania. I do think that there's some mild value on Harris +170 or so in the betting markets. I think the current Pennsylvania price (Trump -150-ish, Harris +125-ish) is a fair number for both PA and the electoral college winner writ large.


    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    Women are pissed, and they are voting for Kamala in droves. Republicans are already regretting overturning Roe v. Wade and they’re going to regret it even more on Nov. 5. It is driving women even more toward the Democrats. There are abortion-related ballot questions in several states, and all of them will pass except Florida where they need 60%. This is going to push up the numbers for some Democrats, including Kamala.

    A few Republicans are voting for Kamala. A number of Republicans and Nikki Haley voters are sick of Trump’s fascist aspirations and fomenting violence, and are going to vote for Kamala. High-profile Republicans are endorsing Kamala to save democracy, and they still hold sway with the moderate Nikki Haley voters who aren’t Trump cultists. How many? Probably not many, but if it’s even 0.3% that makes a huge difference.

    Kamala’s ground game is smooth as silk and Trump’s sucks. Kamala’s field operation is reaching not only the base but rural voters and others the Democrats don’t usually reach. Trump outsources his to Elon Musk who knows jack squat about how to run it and the people he’s hired are grifting Trump’s campaign for money without putting much actual effort into the operation. This will make a difference, probably only a marginal one, but again even 0.3% is huge.
    All three paragraphs are largely correct, but all this stuff has been baked in for months now.

    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    Finally, guess what? The Democrats are going to take back the House and keep the Senate. The same sampling issues that are underestimating Kamala are underestimating the Democrats’ chances in both chambers. It’ll likely be 50/50 in the Senate. Tester from Montana has a history of pulling out close races where it seems he’s behind, and he’s up against a carpetbagger who lied about being wounded in combat. Osborn has a serious chance in Nebraska and he will caucus with the Democrats. The Democrats even have an outside chance of knocking off the universally hated Ted Cruz, but I don’t think that will actually happen.
    See above. Agree they retake the house but they have no shot at the Senate. Also Osborn has stated over and over again that he will not caucus with either party, and if he did caucus with the Dems he would be guaranteed to be a one-term senator.

    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post

    If I’m wrong, I’m wrong. Then I hope you all enjoy the end of the Republic and a complete wreckage of the economy. Replacing income tax with tariffs and deporting millions of people? LMAO every economist in the world knows this will drive inflation through the roof, shrink the economy, kill jobs and finally kill off the middle class. I hope you enjoy paying more for everything, picking your own fruits and vegetables and slaughtering your own cows and chickens. Also I hope you enjoy a less secure world, dominated by China and Russia rather than the USA and other free nations. But it’s not going to happen because we will have grown-up leadership from the Democrats.

    Enjoy the blue wave!
    Similar predictions about the demise of America were flying around in 2016 as well and here we are still. The country will survive no matter who wins.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Ha - think this is wrong on many levels but dont have the time to get into it at the moment….



    But wanted to say its good to see you back - hope you consider staying for the next week or so

     
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      Walter Sobchak: One of the best posters here

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    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    OP lives in an alternate reality, especially the economics and inflation parts... life was a lot better under DJT for everyone...

     
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      desertrunner:

  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    OP lives in an alternate reality, especially the economics and inflation parts... life was a lot better under DJT for everyone...

    The irony

     
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      big dick: .

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    First off, I'm glad Walter has returned, at least for the moment.

    Regarding some of the stuff he wrote:

    Kamala winning: Probably not. Democrats are even starting to play the blame game early, and there's not a lot of joy or confidence in Kamala's own camp. It's possible Republicans will underperform like in 2022, but 2024 is a different animal. Trump has the momentum.

    Gas prices: Not sure where you're getting that they're similar to Trump's term. They are much higher in California and Nevada than during any time Trump was President. I haven't paid attention to other states, as I haven't been to other states besides those two in 2024.

    Crime: You're both correct and incorrect. You're correct that the crime INCREASE has stopped. However, we are still sitting with higher crime than any time in the 2010s. The initial rosy statistics for 2022-2023 were revised by the FBI, and now it doesn't look very good anymore. Ask anyone in a major Democratic-run US city (LA, NY, SF, Chicago, take your pick), and see if they feel it's safer now than in 2013, or even 2019.

    Inflation: Not just related to supply-chain. It was largely related to the money unnecessarily pumped into the economy in 2021, paying people to stay home for.... what reason? The 2020 checks made sense, as the government forced businesses to close for awhile. 2021, when the vaccine was available and everything reopened, made zero sense. Note that Biden said that inflation would be "transitory" and last a few months. It didn't. It lasted years, and only now has finally slowed down. But the damage is done. Prices are way higher for consumers, and their savings/earnings didn't keep up with it. That's why people are pissed off. They remember how much everything costed in 2019, and it's much higher just 5 years later.

    China: Biden is not tough on anyone, except Republicans. The perception of Biden by foreign leaders is that he's a senile nincompoop they can walk all over. The perception of Trump was different -- basically that of a stubborn, semi-crazy guy who is unpredictable. It's no wonder that Russia invaded Ukraine, and Iran sponsored the 10/7 Israel attacks while Biden was at the helm, yet none of this stuff happened under Trump's watch. Biden has been a foreign policy disaster. By contrast, everything Trump did foreign policy-wise worked, even stuff that the "experts" claimed would backfire, such as killing General Soleimani.


    Sorry, but the last 4 years have been a disaster, and that's even with the huge gift of the automatic recovery which was to occur from the pandemic slowing and ending.

    Kamala Harris is even less competent than Biden, which is scary. Hopefully we don't get to see the results of this. Of course, she will just be a puppet of Obama and the Democratic elite anyway, so it's questionable how many real decisions she'll be making.

     
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      Walter Sobchak: You are doing the Lord’s work keeping this place going

  7. #7
    How are dems "playing the blame game" exactly?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    First off, I'm glad Walter has returned, at least for the moment.

    Regarding some of the stuff he wrote:

    Kamala winning: Probably not. Democrats are even starting to play the blame game early, and there's not a lot of joy or confidence in Kamala's own camp. It's possible Republicans will underperform like in 2022, but 2024 is a different animal. Trump has the momentum.

    Gas prices: Not sure where you're getting that they're similar to Trump's term. They are much higher in California and Nevada than during any time Trump was President. I haven't paid attention to other states, as I haven't been to other states besides those two in 2024.

    Crime: You're both correct and incorrect. You're correct that the crime INCREASE has stopped. However, we are still sitting with higher crime than any time in the 2010s. The initial rosy statistics for 2022-2023 were revised by the FBI, and now it doesn't look very good anymore. Ask anyone in a major Democratic-run US city (LA, NY, SF, Chicago, take your pick), and see if they feel it's safer now than in 2013, or even 2019.

    Inflation: Not just related to supply-chain. It was largely related to the money unnecessarily pumped into the economy in 2021, paying people to stay home for.... what reason? The 2020 checks made sense, as the government forced businesses to close for awhile. 2021, when the vaccine was available and everything reopened, made zero sense. Note that Biden said that inflation would be "transitory" and last a few months. It didn't. It lasted years, and only now has finally slowed down. But the damage is done. Prices are way higher for consumers, and their savings/earnings didn't keep up with it. That's why people are pissed off. They remember how much everything costed in 2019, and it's much higher just 5 years later.

    China: Biden is not tough on anyone, except Republicans. The perception of Biden by foreign leaders is that he's a senile nincompoop they can walk all over. The perception of Trump was different -- basically that of a stubborn, semi-crazy guy who is unpredictable. It's no wonder that Russia invaded Ukraine, and Iran sponsored the 10/7 Israel attacks while Biden was at the helm, yet none of this stuff happened under Trump's watch. Biden has been a foreign policy disaster. By contrast, everything Trump did foreign policy-wise worked, even stuff that the "experts" claimed would backfire, such as killing General Soleimani.


    Sorry, but the last 4 years have been a disaster, and that's even with the huge gift of the automatic recovery which was to occur from the pandemic slowing and ending.

    Kamala Harris is even less competent than Biden, which is scary. Hopefully we don't get to see the results of this. Of course, she will just be a puppet of Obama and the Democratic elite anyway, so it's questionable how many real decisions she'll be making.
    (Lol owner of an anti-fraud site voting for a convicted felon of, among other things, fraud).

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  9. #9
    There is no hope for young Benjamin to be normal

     
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      Deal: Yellow card insult. Kids are out of bounds.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Inflation: Not just related to supply-chain. It was largely related to the money unnecessarily pumped into the economy in 2021, paying people to stay home for.... what reason? The 2020 checks made sense, as the government forced businesses to close for awhile. 2021, when the vaccine was available and everything reopened, made zero sense. Note that Biden said that inflation would be "transitory" and last a few months. It didn't. It lasted years, and only now has finally slowed down. But the damage is done. Prices are way higher for consumers, and their savings/earnings didn't keep up with it. That's why people are pissed off. They remember how much everything costed in 2019, and it's much higher just 5 years later.
    It's why I did not reply to Walter direct, he was just reciting MSNBC talking points. This notion that inflation is slowing, while true, is not the story. It had to slow, when the Fed choked off the money supply and raised interest rates 500%. The fact remains is prices are up 20% since Biden came in and wages are down 10%. This is why people are pissed off. Buying a house, when you include everything (price, interest rates, insurance, etc..) is 70% higher than 2019. Cars same thing. But you get a guy like Walt, he turns into MSNBC and listens to Mika and all is better because inflation is slowing. The damage has already been done, its like going into a hurricane ravaged area and telling homeowners all is well because the storm passed. I avoid political debates with liberals, they just tune into CNN and watch for an hour and do no independent research.

     
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      1dollarboxcar: all true

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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Inflation: Not just related to supply-chain. It was largely related to the money unnecessarily pumped into the economy in 2021, paying people to stay home for.... what reason? The 2020 checks made sense, as the government forced businesses to close for awhile. 2021, when the vaccine was available and everything reopened, made zero sense. Note that Biden said that inflation would be "transitory" and last a few months. It didn't. It lasted years, and only now has finally slowed down. But the damage is done. Prices are way higher for consumers, and their savings/earnings didn't keep up with it. That's why people are pissed off. They remember how much everything costed in 2019, and it's much higher just 5 years later.
    It's why I did not reply to Walter direct, he was just reciting MSNBC talking points. This notion that inflation is slowing, while true, is not the story. It had to slow, when the Fed choked off the money supply and raised interest rates 500%. The fact remains is prices are up 20% since Biden came in and wages are down 10%. This is why people are pissed off. Buying a house, when you include everything (price, interest rates, insurance, etc..) is 70% higher than 2019. Cars same thing. But you get a guy like Walt, he turns into MSNBC and listens to Mika and all is better because inflation is slowing. The damage has already been done, its like going into a hurricane ravaged area and telling homeowners all is well because the storm passed. I avoid political debates with liberals, they just tune into CNN and watch for an hour and do no independent research.
    I'm not reading all of this nonsense either. I skimmed it and not a single mention of the fact that we exited disgracefully from a 20-year war then jumped right in to 2 others. Anyone trying to influence a vote who doesn't mention this isn't worth reading.

    Come to think of it, Has Ms. Harris said 2 words about how she plans to end the war with the Russians? Total waste of time and energy.

    Also, Walter is a dupe. Dwai started a thread something like rip walter about 2 years ago so somehow he knew walter wasn't returning and he didn't until now.

     
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      Sheesfaced: Pattern

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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    OP lives in an alternate reality, especially the economics and inflation parts... life was a lot better under DJT for everyone...
    haha the biggest idiot on the internet who can not tell fact from fiction has the balls to accuse someone of living in an alternate reality

    whatever happened to the tim walz molestor bullshit?

    FUCK YOU YOU DUMB PIECE OF SHIT
    TRAITOR MFER

    Great to see you back Walter


    BLUE WAVE INCOMING

    They shall hear the Kamala cackle day in and day our for 8 longgggg years

    she is gonna clobber the fat orange shit stain on America 10-15 million votes easy pee zee

  13. #13
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by country978 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    It's why I did not reply to Walter direct, he was just reciting MSNBC talking points. This notion that inflation is slowing, while true, is not the story. It had to slow, when the Fed choked off the money supply and raised interest rates 500%. The fact remains is prices are up 20% since Biden came in and wages are down 10%. This is why people are pissed off. Buying a house, when you include everything (price, interest rates, insurance, etc..) is 70% higher than 2019. Cars same thing. But you get a guy like Walt, he turns into MSNBC and listens to Mika and all is better because inflation is slowing. The damage has already been done, its like going into a hurricane ravaged area and telling homeowners all is well because the storm passed. I avoid political debates with liberals, they just tune into CNN and watch for an hour and do no independent research.
    I'm not reading all of this nonsense either. I skimmed it and not a single mention of the fact that we exited disgracefully from a 20-year war then jumped right in to 2 others. Anyone trying to influence a vote who doesn't mention this isn't worth reading.

    Come to think of it, Has Ms. Harris said 2 words about how she plans to end the war with the Russians? Total waste of time and energy.

    Also, Walter is a dupe. Dwai started a thread something like rip walter about 2 years ago so somehow he knew walter wasn't returning and he didn't until now.
    I have to go back on my word a bit. I gave my word that I would not insult you and always be polite

    I have been reading your bullshit for quite a while now
    you are as dumb as a pile of dirt.

    you're nothing more than a fascist supporting halfwit who has zero critical thinking skills

    fuck you and your nice guy routine, you fucking fascist

     
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      The Boz: n-word! ��

  14. #14
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I was hoping that big dick was one of those midwestern, middle aged Democrats who would go red once he finally realized what a woke disaster his party has become.

    Apparently not yet.

    We will have to check back in 4 years.

  15. #15
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    I'm a little too sharp for that druff

    you keep on being jewish and supporting American nazis


    you see the rally at MSG? Wild stuff huh?

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    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe View Post
    (Lol owner of an anti-fraud site voting for a convicted felon of, among other things, fraud).
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    If Trump were a poker player, he’d definitely be Russ Hamilton.

  17. #17
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    I'm a little too sharp for that druff

    you keep on being jewish and supporting American nazis


    you see the rally at MSG? Wild stuff huh?
    You mean a comedian making jokes? Yes, very wild.

    There are a lot of American Nazis out in the past year or so, chanting for the extermination of Jews, but most of them are voting the way you are. Enjoy!

  18. #18
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    I'm a little too sharp for that druff

    you keep on being jewish and supporting American nazis


    you see the rally at MSG? Wild stuff huh?
    You mean a comedian making jokes? Yes, very wild.

    There are a lot of American Nazis out in the past year or so, chanting for the extermination of Jews, but most of them are voting the way you are. Enjoy!
    Do you agree that the trump rally at MSG was a white nationalist rally?

  19. #19
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    You mean a comedian making jokes? Yes, very wild.

    There are a lot of American Nazis out in the past year or so, chanting for the extermination of Jews, but most of them are voting the way you are. Enjoy!
    Do you agree that the trump rally at MSG was a white nationalist rally?
    @bigdick, here were some white nationalist that attended the MSG rally....

    https://twitter.com/michellemaxwell/status/1850729202691264627

  20. #20
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    oh look 1braincellcar found himself a few browns dumb enough to support trumps white nationalist rally

    thats like a KKK GRANZ WIZARD sayin he isnt racist because he has a black friend.



    you could prob find a few jews back in 39 who attended the last white nationalist nazi rally at MSG

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