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Thread: Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

  1. #441
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    North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Washington Post Trump 50, Harris 48 Trump +2

  2. #442
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    Arizona: Trump vs. Harris
    InsiderAdvantage
    Trump 49, Harris 48
    Trump
    +1
    Nevada: Trump vs. Harris
    InsiderAdvantage
    Harris 48, Trump 49
    Trump
    +1
    North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris
    Washington Post
    Trump 50, Harris 48
    Trump
    +2
    Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
    Fabrizio/Anzalone
    Trump 47, Harris 50
    Harris
    +3

  3. #443
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    The election is over my friend


    its going to be a landslide


    Im not sort of sure of this im nearly 100% confident


    Take your 9500 bet(i know i know 9500 is peanuts for you) but take the 9500 and bet on Harris so you can at least break even or only lose a little


    This isnt a troll btw.

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  6. #446
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    poor vaughn has been losing his shit lol

    clinging so desperatly to any sense of hope


    a black women will be calling the shots come jan 20 2025


    north carolina is going blue

    if NC IS close you know the election is lost...its over buddy

  7. #447
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    House for sure blue and imo the senate more than likely blue too


    normal people have had enough of this crazy MAGA fascist bullshit


    she wins by 10 million + easy but mb even 15m

  8. #448
    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    House for saure blue and imo the senate more than likely blue too


    normal people have had enough of this crazy MAGA fascist bullshit


    she wins by 10 million + easy but mb even 15m
    The Senate might go Republican though, which isn’t the end of the world due to the filibuster. If Harris wins, I’m all for a check on her. Even if the GOP keeps control of the House, they’ve proven they are completely incapable of governing. Nothing will get done and we can plan our economic futures accordingly.

  9. #449
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    House for saure blue and imo the senate more than likely blue too


    normal people have had enough of this crazy MAGA fascist bullshit


    she wins by 10 million + easy but mb even 15m
    The Senate might go Republican though, which isn’t the end of the world due to the filibuster. If Harris wins, I’m all for a check on her. Even if the GOP keeps control of the House, they’ve proven they are completely incapable of governing. Nothing will get done and we can plan our economic futures accordingly.
    I agree with everything you said in your post if the GOP was the GOP and not a bunch of rabid MAGA nut jobs who have been tricked by billionaires like Musk and Thiel

    This election needs to be the final nail in the Maga coffin.

    Hopefully they get wrecked so hard that they have no choice but to become more moderate and make an attempt at governing.

    Billionaires are the ones calling the shots for Maga
    The billionaires are trying to steal power and are using the MAGA SIMPS as their vehicle to stealing power and never returning it to the people


    The MAGA fucks are so brainwshed they dont even know fact from fiction anymore

    look at this boxcar guy and dessert guy

    these guys are so far gone that they literally cant decipher fact from fiction


    Its been a longterm plan that was set in place in the 90s and the plan was always to divide us using race and then the billionaires sprinled in the culture war bullshit and are now 1 election away from taking control of the most powerful nation on earth


    fox news didnt land on tv by accident. Fox was created for whats happening right now.

    im not exactly sure who all the players are but i know blackrock. theil. musk, zuckerberg and Russia are all in on it together

  10. #450
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    House for saure blue and imo the senate more than likely blue too


    normal people have had enough of this crazy MAGA fascist bullshit


    she wins by 10 million + easy but mb even 15m
    The Senate might go Republican though, which isn’t the end of the world due to the filibuster. If Harris wins, I’m all for a check on her. Even if the GOP keeps control of the House, they’ve proven they are totally incapable of governing. Nothing will get done and we can plan our economic futures accordingly.
    Its October now and the 1st surprise is we have escalating wars and 15,000 or so extra murderers walking free around the country. I think a person has to hate the country or have a death wish or both to be voting for any democrat this time around.

    The pre-election madness is only just beginning, folks.

  11. #451

  12. #452
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    Quote Originally Posted by country978 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    The Senate might go Republican though, which isn’t the end of the world due to the filibuster. If Harris wins, I’m all for a check on her. Even if the GOP keeps control of the House, they’ve proven they are totally incapable of governing. Nothing will get done and we can plan our economic futures accordingly.
    Its October now and the 1st surprise is we have escalating wars and 15,000 or so extra murderers walking free around the country. I think a person has to hate the country or have a death wish or both to be voting for any democrat this time around.

    The pre-election madness is only just beginning, folks.
    I read your posts

    You really don't know what you're talking about. I say that as respectfully as i can
    But its true. I think your heart is in the right place but your mind has been warped by right wing media

    You dont think netanyahu and his fascist regime timed all of this to happen 1 month before our election?

    You think trump the rapist, possible pedo, dishonest flip flopping fraudster is going to end the wars witht he snap of his fingers?

    No what hes gonna do if he wins is allow russia to take ukraine and use the US military to fight israels war vs Iran for them

  13. #453
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    Please take the faggotry and trolling to another thread.

  14. #454
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    President: general election, 2024Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.
    AVG.
    Sept. 27-29
    11,381 LV
    Morning Consult
    Harris 51% 46% Trump Harris +5
    Sept. 27-29
    888 RV
    Leger
    The New York Post Harris 50% 48% Trump Harris +2
    Sept. 27-29
    837 LV
    Leger
    The New York Post Harris 51% 47% Trump Harris +4
    Sept. 25-26
    2,021 LV
    Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    Harris 47% 44% Trump More Harris +3
    Sept. 24-26
    11,155 LV
    Morning Consult
    Harris 50% 45% Trump Harris +5
    Sept. 22-26
    1,735 LV
    Outward Intelligence
    Harris 51% 45% Trump More Harris +6
    Sept. 22-26
    1,735 LV
    Outward Intelligence
    Harris 53% 47% Trump Harris +6
    Sept. 23-25
    2,952 LV
    RMG Research
    Napolitan Institute Harris 50% 48% Trump Harris +2
    Sept. 23-25
    1,005 LV
    Echelon Insights
    Harris 49% 44% Trump More Harris +5
    Sept. 23-25
    1,005 LV
    Echelon Insights
    Harris 52% 45% Trump Harris +7
    Sept. 23-25
    1,524 LV
    Big Village
    Harris 50% 46% Trump Harris +4
    Sept. 23-25
    1,663 RV
    Big Village
    Harris 49% 44% Trump Harris +5
    Sept. 23-25
    2,021 A
    Big Village
    Harris 46% 41% Trump Harris +5
    Sept. 21-24
    1,220 LV
    YouGov
    The Economist Harris 49% 46% Trump More Harris +3
    Sept. 21-24
    1,424 RV
    YouGov
    The Economist Harris 47% 44% Trump More Harris +3
    Sept. 19-24
    1,000 LV
    Clarity Campaign Labs
    Harris 58% 37% Vance Harris +21
    Sept. 19-24
    1,000 LV
    Clarity Campaign Labs
    Harris 51% 44% Trump Harris +7
    Sept. 18-24
    1,000 LV
    ActiVote
    Harris 51% 49% Trump Harris +3
    Sept. 21-23
    11,157 LV
    Morning Consult
    Harris 51% 45% Trump Harris +6
    Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.
    avg.
    Indicates a polling average for this poll type

    Candidate is an incumbent

    Partisan types
    Democratic-funded

    Republican-funded

    Other party-funded

    Campaign poll

    The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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    More on the polls

  15. #455
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    When trump was polling like the ones i posted above vs biden trump was -300

    and trump and maga touted the polls

    harris is beating trump by similar nargins and the line is harris -115

    now trump says the polls are all fake

    think logically

    nc in play
    former ruby red georgia in play again

    trump has one path to victory while the black women has multiple

    its over dude

  16. #456
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    the books are begging MAGA to bet on trump

    just like 2020


    you really think people are gonna allow an adjudicated rapist. a conman hustler who cant tell the truth to save his life who tried to steal power in 2020 to come back into power?

    its not gonna be close

    remember the red wave oF 2022?

    you realize trump and maga has done nothing but lose since 2016 right? Literally

    maga has literally gotten smoked in every election and special election since

    tell us why you think 2024 will be different

    im all ears VP

  17. #457
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    Quote Originally Posted by country978 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    The Senate might go Republican though, which isn’t the end of the world due to the filibuster. If Harris wins, I’m all for a check on her. Even if the GOP keeps control of the House, they’ve proven they are totally incapable of governing. Nothing will get done and we can plan our economic futures accordingly.
    Its October now and the 1st surprise is we have escalating wars and 15,000 or so extra murderers walking free around the country. I think a person has to hate the country or have a death wish or both to be voting for any democrat this time around.

    The pre-election madness is only just beginning, folks.
    Do you think crime is on the rise in America?

  18. #458

  19. #459
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by country978 View Post

    Its October now and the 1st surprise is we have escalating wars and 15,000 or so extra murderers walking free around the country. I think a person has to hate the country or have a death wish or both to be voting for any democrat this time around.

    The pre-election madness is only just beginning, folks.
    Do you think crime is on the rise in America?
    bigdick, it doesn't matter what I think. It either is or it is not. I think vaughn asking to take these discussions to another thread is entirely appropriate.

  20. #460
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    You have no idea how probabilities work and scenarios. I'd explain it to you but you would forget it an hour later due to your head injury.

     
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