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Thread: Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

  1. #401
    Canadrunk limitles's Avatar
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    Speaking of losers


    “I don't know what weapons World War III will be fought with, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”

    Albert Einstein

  2. #402
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Wednesday, September 25
    North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Fabrizio/Anzalone
    Trump 50, Harris 47

    Trump +3

    Wisconsin: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
    Harris 49, Trump 49

    Tie

    Georgia: Trump vs. Harris CBS News
    Trump 51, Harris 49

    Trump +2

    Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris Susquehanna
    Harris 46, Trump 46

    Tie

    Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris Muhlenberg College
    Harris 48, Trump 48

    Tie

    Arizona: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
    Trump 49, Harris 47

    Trump +2

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    Thursday, September 26
    Arizona: Trump vs. Harris Marist
    Trump 50, Harris 49

    Trump +1

    Georgia: Trump vs. Harris Marist
    Trump 50, Harris 49

    Trump +1

    North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Marist
    Trump 49, Harris 49

    Tie

  5. #405
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    If Marist are getting those results, you can safely add at least two points to them for Trump.

     
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      The Boz: Definitely a biased pollster.

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    YEAH


    National: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
    Harris 46, Trump 48

    Trump +2

  7. #407
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Friday, September 27
    Arizona: Trump vs. Harris
    USA Today/Suffolk
    Trump 48, Harris 42
    Trump
    +6
    North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris
    Rasmussen Reports
    Trump 49, Harris 46
    Trump
    +3
    Virginia: Trump vs. Harris
    Rasmussen Reports
    Harris 49, Trump 46
    Harris
    +3
    Minnesota: Trump vs. Harris
    KSTP/SurveyUSA
    Harris 50, Trump 44
    Harris
    +6

  8. #408

  9. #409
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Friday, September 27
    Arizona: Trump vs. Harris USA Today/Suffolk
    Trump 48, Harris 42

    Trump +6

    North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
    Trump 49, Harris 46

    Trump +3

    North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris CNN
    Trump 49, Harris 49

    Tie

    Virginia: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
    Harris 49, Trump 46

    Harris +3

    Minnesota: Trump vs. Harris KSTP/SurveyUSA
    Harris 50, Trump 44

    Harris +6

    Minnesota: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
    Harris 49, Trump 46

    Harris +3

  10. #410
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
    FOX News
    Harris 49, Trump 49
    Tie

  11. #411
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
    FOX News
    Harris 49, Trump 49
    Tie
    https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1839795536909459475

    With the full field they have him up 1. To those that don't know, Fox News is one of the most lib pozzed polling outfits. Their national polling has been off and their state errors are much worse.

  12. #412
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    Name:  382D87AF-3B0B-4756-824C-135B3A62C02A.png
Views: 76
Size:  485.0 KB

    Morning Consult/Bloomberg at +5, there will be a couple more any day now to keep the narrative of a close race alive.

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  14. #414
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by VaughnP View Post
    Name:  382D87AF-3B0B-4756-824C-135B3A62C02A.png
Views: 76
Size:  485.0 KB

    Morning Consult/Bloomberg at +5, there will be a couple more any day now to keep the narrative of a close race alive.
    Bloomberg poll is in another zipcode lately. They are and have been an outlier. Now the USA Today poll showing Trump up by 6 points in Arizona is also an outlier. There is some bizarre polling going on right now, but my gut tells me Trump is going to win rather comfortably. The fact he is relatively close in Virginia suggests he is going to sweep the south and likely run away with the rust belt. The country simply is not ready for a black woman who is not a parent, not a fake parent I am talking about having her own kids, not walking into a couple teenagers and acting like a parent because she needed a sugar daddy. Get real. She grifted with Willie Brown and oh hey she fell in love with a jewish lawyer does anyone actually believe she gave or gives a shit about these two dudes? Really?

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      garrett: Kamala is going to win Dems always get the most votes..

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    garrett: Kamala is going to win Dems always get the most votes..


    Except in 2000, 2004 and 2016 and likely 2024. You have no idea how the Electoral College works because you are literally dumber than shit. Your own parents realized that which is why they fleeced you from your insurance settlement. You really need to settle down with splitthis and lead a quiet life. I get you have a head wound, but try to get on meds or something.

  17. #417

  18. #418
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1840183887458177530


    They have Trump crushing the rust belt more than the sun belt. He's actually down in North Carolina here, which seems unlikely. I'd like to see the crosstabs on these.

  19. #419
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    shutup nerd

  20. #420
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by VaughnP View Post
    https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1840183887458177530


    They have Trump crushing the rust belt more than the sun belt. He's actually down in North Carolina here, which seems unlikely. I'd like to see the crosstabs on these.
    Even though this pollster is reliably accurate, the MSM will dismiss it, because it does not have a network associated with it such as ABC, CBS, etc..

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