This thread is to discuss polling and odds. If you read my prior posts I said Kamala would have a steady lead about 5 points out of the convention nationally. This is a natural bounce and a media orgasm period for Harris. Obviously it won't last, but here is the landscape as of today, August 10th:

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
NY Times/Siena
Trump 46, Harris 50
Harris
+4
Michigan: Trump vs. Harris
NY Times/Siena
Harris 50, Trump 46
Harris
+4
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Harris
NY Times/Siena
Harris 50, Trump 46
Harris
+4

Nationally Harris is ahead roughly by a couple points. She has also surged ahead in Polymarket 51-46. Ignore Predictit it's retail traders betting $50, Poly is where the real bettors are.

We will track the polls and betting markets here. I think Trump will surge come October, and will try to find a market where I will I can bet five figures but I am not there yet. Anyway, this will be a thread where we can track polls and markets and presumably make bets. I get a certain portion of posters here are poor, so take your political opinions to one of the other 20 threads on the front page.

As much as I want Trump to win, I will to bet Harris for a payday if I think she will win. Holding my powder for October.