Originally Posted by
PositiveVariance
I don't believe she cheated.
Some random thoughts:
I think her financial situation would play a big factor in the situation, both for and against cheating. If you look at her Hendon Mob results she started playing tournaments in 2015. She has about 40 results. The majority of these tournaments are low buy in's - averaging a couple hundred bucks, one as low as $65. It wasn't until last year that she mixed in some higher buy-in tourneys, several for 1k.
I heard Polk or Ingram say that her boyfriend is banking her. Like JD said, a guy like Garrett just can not fathom someone making that move against him with Jack high while he is playing his GTO. He automatically assumes they must be cheating. Absolutely crazy hand, but my mind does not immediately go to cheating.
There are many Social media influencers that make HUGE money. The top Only Fans sluts ooops... models, are making well into the 7 Figures PER MONTH. I'm not saying she is into something like this, but the easier and faster the money comes to someome the greater chance they will take greater risk.
If the BF is banking her, I do not think she would just give the money back to Garrett so easy without consulting with him.
Also, If she WAS cheating I DON'T think she would have given back the money. At that point it would not change the consequences all that much other than law enforcement possibly getting involved.
If she gives the money back they will investigate.
If she keeps the money, they will investigate.
If she did cheat and gives the money back, her reputation is done. If she did cheat and keeps the money, they would have to prove it, which can be difficult.
I have seen enough from Garrett to where I believe if they conclude that she did not cheat, he will give her the money back.
If she is playing with her own money at that level she obviously would have deep pockets. Hypothetically, if that is the case I do not see her taking the chance at cheating and potentially catching a FELONY and ruin your rep. Yes, it is true that law enforcement usually won't prosecute crimes as if it were a regular casino. The dollar amount of the crime would be a factor as well and in this case 6 figures may be prison time not probation. Small gain for Massive risk.
If she was cheating I think there would be another person as the "brains" behind it. In that situation you can take your picks where you want to cheat. Unlike the Postle situation she could implement the cheating into just 2 or 3
significant hands per 6 hour session. You can "print money" if done properly. Get into 3 games per month and reasonably cheat em for $100k - 200k per game.
Just some thoughts
I think overall there is less than a 1% chance she cheated.