THE NFL 2022 Season Discussion & Picks Thread.

[aayjay]

Someone had to do it.

So, Anyhow, regarding tonight's season opener BUF at LAR I have not spent much time yet on NFL so I don't have much in the way of strong opinions on this game. Have no real money on the game yet, only bets are freeplay/promos/etc. Will be watching for in-game opportunities though. I like Nitrogen because they let you parlay in games, betonline doesn't.

The spread has climbed to -2.5 , Bills are maybe the best team, and Stafford has an elbow injury. The total has also climbed three points to 52.5.

The Bills won five of their last six games. They lost to the Chiefs 42-36 in OT as 2.5-point road dogs in the divisional round of the playoffs, and the Rams obviously won the SuperBowl.

If I had to pick Id say LAR by a field goal 21-24 or 31-28 or something. Probably would take the points on LAR at home, if I had to bet on this game I think a wong teaser has value here, pick another team or 2 and tease them through the 3 & the 6 for some +ev.

There are some promos in AZ if you can get to the border from LV. Laughlin is great for this! (Random sidenote, I really enjoy the poker room at Laughlin because it has windows, call me crazy but I really enjoy staring out the window while I wait on poker hands to finish.)

Back on topic, I don't really have much opinion on the under/over, 52.5 or whatever it landed on is pretty high, could easily be hit if LAR offense is on fire, but if they aren't will the BUF offense make up for it? BUF defense is crazy good. Before losing to KC last year BUF scored 27+ points and averaged more than 33. Would be typical NFL LOL if it easily hits Thurs and then bunch of low score games on Sun, gambling gods or whatever.

Action Networks, big free pick is LAR first half +1 , That might be a free pick from a square source but I like it more than I hate it.

Here are some other wagers I think are worth looking at, If I get a chance or see something else I will add more:

Bills Player Prop: Josh Allen OVER 39.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
Rams Player Prop: Matthew Stafford OVER .5 Interceptions (-130)

Sorry this came out so late, wasn't planning on this just got bored. I plan to update this w/ at least 1 game a week breakdown. Lets go!

[gut]

Im on Baltimore and San Fran -7 each, and together in various teases/parlays

[The Boz]

Love Josh Allen under 273.5 passing yards tonight at +105

[limitles]

Love Josh Allen under 273.5 passing yards tonight at +105

"Laughing at the fags who fill their miserable lives with music like Les."

Laughing at the fags who fill their miserable lives with NFL stats like the Boz

Grade ten Boz, who claims wealth, would not be welcome on any outing from top to bottom. Dumb ruins any weekend.

[Daly]

If only we had a wagering thread to discuss this

[aayjay]

If only we had a wagering thread to discuss this

I made this thread with the intention of discussing more than just the picks/ the wagering. More general NFL 22 discussion w/ picks, promos, theories, stories, and etc. all thrown in.

I think the NFL deserves its own little thread.

[limitles]

If only we had a wagering thread to discuss this

Exactly, why offer a specific thread when everything boils down to ROI ?
Idiot.

How many threads, read lives, have you and your ignorant greed ruined?

[The Boz]

Love Josh Allen under 273.5 passing yards tonight at +105

"Laughing at the fags who fill their miserable lives with music like Les."

Laughing at the fags who fill their miserable lives with NFL stats like the Boz

Grade ten Boz, who claims wealth, would not be welcome on any outing from top to bottom. Dumb ruins any weekend.

Tell us your story Les, tell us all your success in life. Your net worth, you relationships, your achievements. Tell us why you are more than the drunk loser that most everyone here believes you are.

Tell us why we are are wrong and how anyone should respect you instead of feeling sorry for you.

I’m open to a segment on Dan’s radio to debate who contributed more to society in every measurable way. Providing employment, taxes, charitable donations and whatever else you want to consider.

Let’s go buddy, prove you are more than a drunk punching bag. I’m game.

[limitles]

"Laughing at the fags who fill their miserable lives with music like Les."

Laughing at the fags who fill their miserable lives with NFL stats like the Boz

Grade ten Boz, who claims wealth, would not be welcome on any outing from top to bottom. Dumb ruins any weekend.

Tell us your story Les, tell us all your success in life. Your net worth, you relationships, your achievements. Tell us why you are more than the drunk loser that most everyone here believes you are.

Tell us why we are are wrong and how anyone should respect you instead of feeling sorry for you.

I’m open to a segment on Dan’s radio to debate who contributed more to society in every measurable way. Providing employment, taxes, charitable donations and whatever else you want to consider.

Let’s go buddy, prove you are more than a drunk punching bag. I’m game.

Dude, check out the forum. There is current thread in which the words limites and legend are title bound.

I dwarf you in all aspects of life. Top to bottom, start to finish. Tall dark and handsome, educated, very funny, wealthy, and healthier than you could ever imagine.

You fail with an online presence in a very twisted failing poker forum of losers.

You fail even at bragging.

[NaturalBornHustler]

Im on Baltimore and San Fran -7 each, and together in various teases/parlays

Same. I'm a Ravens fan and this feels like 2012 all over again. I bet the house on them every week back then because they were so undervalued and off the radar. Seems like it again. They are only a couple players down now that are expected back within next 2 weeks. If they get to that point without any other serious injuries.....and a basically fully healthy team....I'm betting large amounts again.

I have them in a bunch of ML parlays. with Cinci and with Denver...and straight up. They went from -7 to -6.5 earlier today so the value is even better. (still -6.5 now just checked, will be -7.5 gameday)Jets on 3rd string LT....OL a complete mess and Flacco doesn't do well behind poor lines (trust me I would know, seen it plenty when he was here). I honestly think they win by 3 TD.

[gut]

Im on Baltimore and San Fran -7 each, and together in various teases/parlays

Same. I'm a Ravens fan and this feels like 2012 all over again. I bet the house on them every week back then because they were so undervalued and off the radar. Seems like it again. They are only a couple players down now that are expected back within next 2 weeks. If they get to that point without any other serious injuries.....and a basically fully healthy team....I'm betting large amounts again.

I have them in a bunch of ML parlays. with Cinci and with Denver...and straight up. They went from -7 to -6.5 earlier today so the value is even better. (still -6.5 now just checked, will be -7.5 gameday)Jets on 3rd string LT....OL a complete mess and Flacco doesn't do well behind poor lines (trust me I would know, seen it plenty when he was here). I honestly think they win by 3 TD.

Yeah. I just cant see NYJ or CHI scoring more than like 13 points in each game, unless fluky turnovers/special teams

[Sanlmar]

I’ve heard some horror stories about NFL Teasers getting juiced to hell this year cause they were so profitable last year. My offshore looks unchanged. 15 or 20 cents

Still looks like the way to

Minnesota Vikings +7
Dallas Cowboys +8½

I have no insight into either game. Lol

[Kalam]

I’ve heard some horror stories about NFL Teasers getting juiced to hell this year cause they were so profitable last year. My offshore looks unchanged. 15 or 20 cents

Still looks like the way to

Minnesota Vikings +7
Dallas Cowboys +8½

I have no insight into either game. Lol

My book still has 6 point teaser -110.

Almost every game this week has a Wong teaser. I am guessing it is going to be a very good week or bad week for the books, depending on how the teasers go. Public is obviously going to be teasing the favorites more than the dogs, most of which are road favorites.

Home dogs typically do VERY well Week 1 though, so books feel like they are probably in a great spot if everything goes to form.

[aayjay]

Here are some other wagers I think are worth looking at, If I get a chance or see something else I will add more:

Bills Player Prop: Josh Allen OVER 39.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
Rams Player Prop: Matthew Stafford OVER .5 Interceptions (-130)

Josh Allen Rushing Yards OV 39.5 yards = winner
Matthew Stafford Interceptions OV .5 = winner

Nice way to start the season

[MrTickle]

Why did you guys have a minutes silence for our monarch? Very strange. Thanks, I suppose

[Jayjami]

Why did you guys have a minutes silence for our monarch? Very strange. Thanks, I suppose

Us Americans love the royal family. It’s hard to say why, but maybe it’s because they are the ultimate celebrities.

[Tellafriend]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/nickadamsinusa/status/1575664174470172672

[Kalam]

Anyone have any footage of the Tua injury? I cant find anything. I was watching game but had walked away for a few minutes.

There is a report he is conscious and moving all his extremities fine now, which is good. Based on the description it seems what happened is what you see with boxing/MMA knockouts sometimes where the persons arms sieze, and it looks real bad, but when they come to they are mostly fine minus the concussion.

I have a Tua season yardage under. Strict injury play, as he is small and doesn't protect himself well (with predictable results), which is something I have noticed from his Alabama days.

I of course hope he is fine (or at least as fine as you can expect someone to be after having 2 bad concussions in 5 days). But I have to imagine he is going to have to sit out a few games at least, so bet should be good.

[Tellafriend]

Anyone have any footage of the Tua injury? I cant find anything. I was watching game but had walked away for a few minutes.

There is a report he is conscious and moving all his extremities fine now, which is good. Based on the description it seems what happened is what you see with boxing/MMA knockouts sometimes where the persons arms sieze, and it looks real bad, but when they come to they are mostly fine minus the concussion.

I have a Tua season yardage under. Strict injury play, as he is small and doesn't protect himself well (with predictable results), which is something I have noticed from his Alabama days.

I of course hope he is fine (or at least as fine as you can expect someone to be after having 2 bad concussions in 5 days). But I have to imagine he is going to have to sit out a few games at least, so bet should be good.

I initially thought he broke his fingers. He must be messed up. Nasty

[NaturalBornHustler]

Anyone have any footage of the Tua injury? I cant find anything. I was watching game but had walked away for a few minutes.

There is a report he is conscious and moving all his extremities fine now, which is good. Based on the description it seems what happened is what you see with boxing/MMA knockouts sometimes where the persons arms sieze, and it looks real bad, but when they come to they are mostly fine minus the concussion.

I have a Tua season yardage under. Strict injury play, as he is small and doesn't protect himself well (with predictable results), which is something I have noticed from his Alabama days.

I of course hope he is fine (or at least as fine as you can expect someone to be after having 2 bad concussions in 5 days). But I have to imagine he is going to have to sit out a few games at least, so bet should be good.

It was one of those plays where a 340lber whiplashes the player down and his head bounces off the turf. Didn't put his weight on him just rag dolled him in such a way that he hit the ground pretty hard.

He is being released from hospital so he should be OK.

Of course had Dolphins in teaser at +10, back on the losing streak.