Any resources where to find out how to calculate expected EV of a pack?Originally Posted by matos
Any resources where to find out how to calculate expected EV of a pack?
EV for Sunday's pack was $1488, at least before the marketplace tankedAny resources where to find out how to calculate expected EV of a pack?
Matos there's a bunch of top shot data analytics people on twitter.
@thefirstmint is a must follow, and he'll usually retweet good stuff
or if you want i've added a bunch of top shot accounts in the last month or so if you just look at who i recently followed that's an easy way, @williemcfml
Last edited by WillieMcFML; 03-06-2021 at 11:13 PM.
Hi Lew!!!
one thing that druff mentioned on radio that might not be correct
he said he's glad he is eligible for the pack drop tomorrow because he has a pack
i haven't seen anywhere that says unopened packs count
the specific wording is "own at least one moment in their COLLECTION at the time of the drop"
if you want to be eligible for the drop but only have an unopened pack i would buy the cheapest moment in the marketplace (likely $3 or so) just to be sure since the EV is so significant for this drop
Last edited by WillieMcFML; 03-07-2021 at 04:25 AM.
Hi Lew!!!
A couple good twitter follows:
@thefirstmint (has a podcast, youtube show, and posts TS news)
@_GregMurray (posts analystics and insight)
Websites:
evaluate.market (allows you to see data on any moment including transactions, circulation, ownership, can pull your account value which is based on low ask)
crypsto.slam (can see all sales in real time; can check marketplace volume)
moments.rank (similar to evaluate.market; just added some graphs and other tools)
The site had major issues yesterday. Prices look tanked but a lot of this is a result of sellers being able to post moments for sale but buying wasn't working. Today is a big day with the All Star Game. If they can't get their site back then that will be a huge blow.
Total disaster this morning.
The marketplace AND pack opening are disabled. At first I thought this was an obnoxious way to prevent people from qualifying to get in line for today's major drop, but apparently it's just more tech fail:
If they don't get this shit fixed before 2pm, I won't be able to get in line today. I have an unopened pack which I've decided to open, but as Willie said, I need to either open it or buy something in the marketplace in order to qualify, and right now I can't do either.Identified - We will turn the marketplace on and off intermittently
Mar 6, 13:45 PST
Update - We are working to fix it and will be going into full maintenance. We expect to be back before March 7th, by 8AM.
Mar 6, 19:01 PST
Update - We are continuing to work on a fix for this issue.
Mar 6, 17:05 PST
Update - We continue to be in maintenance. We expect to be back before March 7th, by 10AM.
Mar 7, 08:01 PST
Monitoring - A fix has been implemented and we are monitoring the results.
Mar 7, 08:18 PST
https://status.nbatopshot.com/
Makes sense why my Ebay auction has 700 views but no offers
Druff I'm in a similar spot. Only pack I have been able to get is the $9 pack they haven't delivered yet.
Hoping to buy a cheap moment at some point today.......but so far nadda.
Druff -> just marketplace is disabled now. You may be okay to open your pack.
They'll probably push the drop if they cant get it up and running. I love this new pre requisite. With only 32k packs being given out, it helps increase the odds for myself and the hodl's
So I opened my pack.
I got 3 moments in the Seeing Stars pack. I thought I'm supposed to get 6? Maybe I'm confused.
Anyway, the best one was a Ben Simmons Layup moment which is selling in the marketplace for $150. The other two are fail moments selling for $10 and $13.
Sounds like kind of a shitty pack but still well worth it.
I see they disabled gifting yesterday, with the stated intention to re-enable it AFTER today's drop.
So presumably this is an attempt to prevent multiaccounting, to where they don't want people gifting moments to themselves in order to have extra shots at the drop today.
I am wondering if they are going to leave the marketplace down until then for the same reason.
I finally got signed up. Hilarious that they were down all night for maintenance and then come back online and nothing works. What do you need to qualify for the 2pm lottery? Do you just need to already own a moment or is there more to it than that?
The whole point of that pack was 2 shit cards and one good one.
Apparently the marketplace is back up but very few people can purchase anything. Everyone is getting error messages.
What a disaster.
I'm trying to purchase a moment so I can be in on the drop. FAIL
I think that's what a ton of people are doing, so of course the whole system has broken down and nobody can buy anything.I'm trying to purchase a moment so I can be in on the drop. FAIL
This thing really is run by monkeys.
Same here
In case anyone feels like gambling today AND also qualifying for the drop.
I would consider this as a write-off donation to the OSA Vacation Fund as well.
https://www.ebay.com/itm/Topshot-See...W/274710201768
Um, I don't think you can transfer anything until after the drop today.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)
Reply With Quote