RUNOFF THREAD

[BCR]

Remember during the Presidential election show we were saying the betting odds Aren’t lining up with the data..... That’s where we are right now.

Small lean to D right now - but -500 isn’t The right price. Lot of D heavy counties have been counted and a lot of R remain.

I think its priced on every Dem County so far reporting 90% or above election turnout and Dems outperforming Biden.

Every rural county so far in 85% territory and not outperforming Election Day.

I agree -500 is too large, but they’re going to need a big correction somewhere.

[big dick]

1/5/21
6:10 PM
Winner
Raphael Warnock (D)-550
Kelly Loeffler (R)+350


U.S. Senate Runoff Election Winner - Georgia (General Election)
1/5/21
6:10 PM
Winner
Jon Ossoff (D)-310
David Perdue (R)+225

[Sanlmar]

I just want to find 11,780 votes

[PLOL]

Can somebody give me 1,000 to 1 odds on one of the races being decided by exactly 11,779 votes? Looking to wager $1. Ty

[Rick Sanchez]

It's remarkable that Ossoff/Warnock are outperforming Biden. In Rockdale county they're beating Biden's margin by 4 points. Assuming equivalent turnout (not the case but for argument's sake) that would suggest that some number of Trump voters jumped sides.

The real explanation is probably just depressed Republican turnout, which I have to think is in large part due to Trump convincing them that elections don't matter anymore.

[JeffDime]

If this ends real tight a split is def possible. Loeffler underperforming Perdue by a solid .5 percent.

[big dick]

5/21
6:10 PM
Winner
Raphael Warnock (D)-650
Kelly Loeffler (R)+400


U.S. Senate Runoff Election Winner - Georgia (General Election)
1/5/21
6:10 PM
Winner
Jon Ossoff (D)-350
David Perdue (R)+245

[PLOL]

Non-rhetorical question. If Dems scoop here, are they going to push for a fresh $2k in stimulus? Or an added $1.4k like they were pushing for before NYE? The way people have been talking it seems like they'll push for an additional $2k.

[Rick Sanchez]

Hmm, Perdue and Loeffler have closed the gap and retaken the lead. And yet the NYT and bettors have grown even more confident in a Dem sweep. I guess most of the rural counties have finished counting and Dems hold the advantage in remaining precincts?

[big dick]

the two pigs are under preforming trump


think thats why the betting markets have doomed them

[BCR]

Hmm, Perdue and Loeffler have closed the gap and retaken the lead. And yet the NYT and bettors have grown even more confident in a Dem sweep. I guess most of the rural counties have finished counting and Dems hold the advantage in remaining precincts?

Nate Cohn is uber confident.

Sounds like metro Atlanta has a huge amount yet to come

[PLOL]

Thank you Fulton County!

[big dick]

Hmm, Perdue and Loeffler have closed the gap and retaken the lead. And yet the NYT and bettors have grown even more confident in a Dem sweep. I guess most of the rural counties have finished counting and Dems hold the advantage in remaining precincts?

1/5/21
6:10 PM
Winner
Raphael Warnock (D)-775
Kelly Loeffler (R)+450

[big dick]

Winner
Raphael Warnock (D)-775
Kelly Loeffler (R)+450


U.S. Senate Runoff Election Winner - Georgia (General Election)
1/5/21
6:10 PM
Winner
Jon Ossoff (D)-400
David Perdue (R)+275

[big dick]

POLITICS -
NEXT EVENTS
US Politics - 2020 US Senate Runoff Elections (2)

U.S. Senate Election Winner - Georgia (Special Election)
1/5/21
6:10 PM
Winner
Raphael Warnock (D)-900
Kelly Loeffler (R)+500

[jsearles22]

Hmm, Perdue and Loeffler have closed the gap and retaken the lead. And yet the NYT and bettors have grown even more confident in a Dem sweep. I guess most of the rural counties have finished counting and Dems hold the advantage in remaining precincts?

[PLOL]

Everything Trump touches dies:
House
White House
Senate
400,000 Americans

[PLOL]

Hmm, Perdue and Loeffler have closed the gap and retaken the lead. And yet the NYT and bettors have grown even more confident in a Dem sweep. I guess most of the rural counties have finished counting and Dems hold the advantage in remaining precincts?

STOP THE COUNT

[Texter]

Trump really is a schmuck...thank goodness for the Supreme Court.

[PLOL]

Warnock race is called