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Thread: ** Election Contest **

  1. #41
    Bronze Daniel72's Avatar
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    Trump 280

     
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      big dick: fuck you
    Winner of the $555 freeroll

  2. #42
    Gold Bootsy Collins's Avatar
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    Biden 290
    Quote Originally Posted by RealTalk View Post
    Lol at the amount of effort that druff's friends have to exert trying to do an internet podcast without offending him.

  3. #43
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Bump.

    Getting to be almost last call for alcohol

     
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      PLOL: ty for your service

  4. #44
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Bump 2 - second last call

  5. #45
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Joe Biden 321

  6. #46
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Good luck everyone. Picks have been recorded. Any edits will be ignored (and ridiculed).

  7. #47
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    hongkonger
    Biden
    455
    PLOP
    Biden
    357
    Mumbles
    Biden
    357
    Betcheckbet
    Biden
    356
    Sanlmar
    Biden
    343
    Sloppy Joe
    Biden
    341
    Mr Tickle
    Biden
    340
    nightmarefish
    Biden
    334
    Shoeshine
    Biden
    331
    rollinx420
    Biden
    329
    jsearles
    Biden
    323
    Bohenett
    Biden
    321
    simpdog
    Biden
    318
    Jayjami
    Biden
    312
    OSA
    Biden
    308
    dmndkutr
    Biden
    306
    BCR
    Biden
    295
    badguy
    Biden
    292
    texter
    Biden
    291
    Boosty
    Biden
    290
    Shesfaced
    Biden
    288
    Sandwich
    Biden
    280
    d1sposition
    Biden
    279
    Walter Sobchak
    Biden
    278
    Daly
    Biden
    273
    sontine
    Trump
    273
    abrown83
    Trump
    274
    gut
    Trump
    277
    Gamblebot
    Trump
    279
    Daniel72
    Trump
    280
    Iamgreek
    Trump
    284
    YUUP
    Trump
    287
    The Shrink
    Trump
    290
    DutchDoDo
    Trump
    294
    DrPeters
    Trump
    307
    thesidedish
    Trump
    328

  8. #48
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Mumbles picked 357 after PLOP.

    In the spirit of the election and PFA and the country coming together he has until 12:00 EST to pick an updated number.

    All other picks are final

     
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      PLOL: he's tryna do me dirty

  9. #49
    100% Organic MumblesBadly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Mumbles picked 357 after PLOP.

    In the spirit of the election and PFA and the country coming together he has until 12:00 EST to pick an updated number.

    All other picks are final
    Thanks for the PM about this. Since I don’t have a mind of my own and merely parrot the liberal insanity of Cenk Uygar of The Young Turks infamy, I’m updating my pick to Biden 335.



    Thanks again for the chance to update my entry.
    _____________________________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I actually hope this [second impeachment] succeeds, because I want Trump put down politically like a sick, 14-year-old dog. ... I don't want him complicating the 2024 primary season. I just want him done.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Were Republicans cowardly or unethical not to go along with [convicting Trump in the second impeachment Senate trial]? No. The smart move was to reject it.

  10. #50
    Speedster Out of Clemson adamantium's Avatar
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    biden 311
    Slava Ukraini!

  11. #51
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Obviously we are going to wait a few days here before declaring a winner - but it seems that the most likely results will be a biden 290 EV count.

    Presumptive congratulations to Boosty Colins

  12. #52
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bootsy Collins View Post
    Biden 290

    Pow

  13. #53
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Biden 278
    Ahem

    If Trump hangs on in PA and GA, I think I'm in line to win?
    Last edited by Walter Sobchak; 11-04-2020 at 09:28 AM.

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL

  14. #54
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Biden 278
    Ahem

    If Trump hangs on in PA and GA, I think I'm in line to win?
    If trump hangs on in PA and GA I have it 271 Biden. I think some other very sharp poster has a closer number, but I’d have to check.

  15. #55
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    Good to be live LFG 306

     
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      Jayjami: Very nice.

  16. #56
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by dmndkutr View Post
    Good to be live LFG 306

    Yup - unlike Fox News we are waiting to declare a winner here. Thank you all for your patience.

  17. #57
    100% Organic MumblesBadly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by dmndkutr View Post
    Good to be live LFG 306

    Yup - unlike Fox News we are waiting to declare a winner here. Thank you all for your patience.
    Biden is now currently leading in PA, AZ, GA, NV. Assuming those leads hold through any recounts, and this map as a basis for the EC count for the other states, Biden will end up with 306 EC votes. Which means that this PFA user would win this freeroll:

    dmndkutr
    Biden
    306

    Georgia currently has the slimmest margin at less than 4000 votes with 99% of the votes counted, followed by Wisconsin at about 20,500 with 99% reported, and Arizona at about 37,000 with 96.5% reported.

    Regarding a recount, Georgia and Wisconsin will definitely have them, but Arizona is bit iffy. Here’s why. Biden’s lead of about 37,000 is of about 1.2% of the total reported so far, with about 108,000 votes still to be counted/reported. The problem for Trump here with those numbers is that Maricopa County is where the bulk of the uncounted votes are from, and he’s only averaging about 55% of the votes from there, which mean he’s most likely to only pick up a net increase of about 11,000 votes in the final initial vote count, cutting Biden’s lead to about 26,000 votes, or about 0.84%, which is far higher the less-than-0.1% margin required for an automatic recount. And since Arizona does not honor requests from candidates for recounts, Trump can only use arguments about specific election misdeeds to force Arizona to adjust the final vote totals.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.usa...amp/6163544002

    Since Trump isn’t likely to put forth valid claims on that front, it’s not at all likely that Trump will be able to win in Arizona. As such, I only consider the possibilities of one or both recounts in Georgia and Arizona flipping the them for Trump. With that, here’s who would win this contest based on each of the three possible flipping-for-Trump cases:

    Only GA flips for Trump:

    Boosty
    Biden
    290

    Only WI flips for Trump:

    BCR
    Biden
    295

    Both GA and WI flip for Trump:

    Sandwich
    Biden
    280

    May the best presidential election predictor win!
    _____________________________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I actually hope this [second impeachment] succeeds, because I want Trump put down politically like a sick, 14-year-old dog. ... I don't want him complicating the 2024 primary season. I just want him done.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Were Republicans cowardly or unethical not to go along with [convicting Trump in the second impeachment Senate trial]? No. The smart move was to reject it.

  18. #58
    Bronze d1sposition's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by d1sposition View Post
    Biden 279
    My team of top-top jew lawyers have filed an injunction with Daly to stop any recording of votes going forth. It is our position that the election is over right now and any future tallying of votes is not fair.

     
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      IamGreek: All legal votes must be counted Buddy
      
      gimmick:
    PFA POY once

  19. #59
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by dmndkutr View Post
    Good to be live LFG 306
    Yeah, I need AZ to flip. Which it might. GA is going to hold. I hope you win if it means Trump loses worse plus I think plo has some bets over 300ev worth far more than this.

  20. #60
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    I have a serious ? if someone can answer

    R some numbers dead in this?

    I guessed 292 can some numbers in this not hit? Or is every number over 270 live? To get the exact number



    I just guessed

    Im saying some cant hit 4 yrs from now im getting a map

    Good Luck dmndkutr and BCR

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