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Thread: does anyone else now think Trump has a chance?

  1. #1

    does anyone else now think Trump has a chance?

    my opinion has come full circle and i now think he probably has an even chance of winning this. Not betting it, but damn sure wouldn't be surprised if he pulls this off. The Courts will be involved regardless of which side wins. That is guaranteed.

     
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      splitthis: 100%
    he tries to fly under the radar with his gay big words - Big Bird

  2. #2
    I always gave him 35% last week. . I was 45 yesterday. After looking at todayís polls, Iím at 40. Check with me tmrw. Thatís a long way from drawing dead either way.

  3. #3
    Zero chance.

    People are sick of Trump.

    Every single day we have to put up with his bullshit.

    When Barack Obama was President, months went by with no problems or drama.

    But don't worry. Trump’s going to buy Trump Island, where some of the morons who supported him can move to, you can live there tax free and be ruled by him forever.


     
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      Onestep: months went by with no drama or problems? lol

  4. #4
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  5. #5
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    i dont think his chances have changed at all. i think hes still a heavy favorite.

    his base absolutely does not care about the usual shit that gets people elected. this is their version of tearing down the system.

    and thats super unfortunate because the average trump voter is an economically endangered species; the think they are liberating themselves from something thats destroying the middle class but what they are actually getting is:



    its going to be rough but the silver lining is that president AOC is going to show up with like 90% of the EC once the bible belt connects the dots that the soup kitchen meals keeping their families healthy for the next 4 years are literally socialism.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  6. #6
    i think he has a real chance but like 35%

    1/3 of the electorate has already voted and most of them are democrats

  7. #7
    ď That leaves the swing state of Florida and its 29 electoral college votes as a glittering prize. So far, from 5.3m mail-in and in-person votes recorded, representing almost 40% of 14 million registered voters, Democrats hold an advantage of more than 7%, or around 400,000 votes.Ē

  8. #8
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    i think he has a real chance but like 35%

    1/3 of the electorate has already voted and most of them are democrats

    not looking to dick joust over it or anything but lest we forget, trump went from like +450 to +1325 like an hour after the polls opened on election day in 2016.

    i truly dont think the left has the numbers, regardless of how/when they vote.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  9. #9
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    that said.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  10. #10
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    the market might fuck him.

    like this is what the market does without stimulus hype handjobs and its terrifying and if it does it a few days in a row, i mean.. checks are going to start bouncing, hospitals are filling up... could move the needle slightly left.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  11. #11
    Light action on Trump winning EC.

    Country is straight retarded and many are being fed the exact cocktail of what they need to feel validated.

     
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      sonatine: totally reasonable take
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    I am a nice human being who enjoys being upbeat and affable with others

  12. #12
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    House Speaker Pelosi & Treasury Secretary Mnuchin will speak today at 14:00ET/18:00GMT regarding COVID-19 relief

    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  13. #13
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    Rasmussen came out today with Trump +1 nationally, yes they have a R lean, so he probably is down 3-4 nationally. That might sound like a lot, but Trump really only needs 46-47% nationally.

    Texas came out today, Trump is +5 so that pipe dream is just that.

    PA, Biden has a 5 point lead, which means it really is 1 or 2.

    Biden is taking a huge risk not campaigning.

    Sure Biden is ahead, but Trump is certainly closing.

     
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      splitthis:
    Walter, the now relentless troll:

    From 2012: Having partisans run elections is insane. Having hundreds of different rules and procedures is insane

  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Rasmussen came out today with Trump +1 nationally, yes they have a R lean, so he probably is down 3-4 nationally. That might sound like a lot, but Trump really only needs 46-47% nationally.

    Texas came out today, Trump is +5 so that pipe dream is just that.

    PA, Biden has a 5 point lead, which means it really is 1 or 2.

    Biden is taking a huge risk not campaigning.

    Sure Biden is ahead, but Trump is certainly closing.
    I saw he has stops in Georgia and Broward County scheduled this week. Did he cancel them? I just saw it this morning.

    I think he’s taking a risk campaigning there as they feel longshots.

  15. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Rasmussen came out today with Trump +1 nationally, yes they have a R lean, so he probably is down 3-4 nationally. That might sound like a lot, but Trump really only needs 46-47% nationally.

    Texas came out today, Trump is +5 so that pipe dream is just that.

    PA, Biden has a 5 point lead, which means it really is 1 or 2.

    Biden is taking a huge risk not campaigning.

    Sure Biden is ahead, but Trump is certainly closing.
    I can cherry-pick individual outlier polls too. A recent CNN poll has Biden +10 in PA, but I'll assume the margin of error is in his favor because reasons, which means it's really a 13 or 14 point lead.


  16. #16
    I think both choices suck, but I believe Trump wins 52/48 over Biden.

  17. #17
    Of course Trump’s chances are improving.

    The stock market is reacting to this. A big red bedshit. Uncertainty has now returned on the election front. Market seems to expect a contentious situation. A battle in the courts and a battle in the streets. That’s not bullish.

    I am out and have been for a while.

  18. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Rasmussen came out today with Trump +1 nationally
    Wow that sounds awfully familiar

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    (2018)

  19. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    House Speaker Pelosi & Treasury Secretary Mnuchin will speak today at 14:00ET/18:00GMT regarding COVID-19 relief

    When RBG died, Trump not holding out on naming a replacement seemed like bad negotiation. He wants to buy the election and isnít some fiscal conservative.

    Right now Pelosi can basically say give me everything I want and Mnuchin knows Trump would do all that and more, but the GOP senators wonít.

    I would have thought Trump might hold out a bit and make them agree to a stimulus before naming a replacement. As such, if you arenít on the ticket in a swing state, your life as a GOP senator is much easier to rail against Biden and Pelosi than to defend Trump once youíve gotten everything you can imagine out of Trump in regards to the SC.

    A day like today is really bad for Trump, and you got Wall Street guys saying we need a blue wave, which isnít something you ever hear, and Trump can be ready to cut the biggest check imaginable and his people would never go along with it. He has no leverage given he already gave them ACB.

     
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      ftpjesus: No way in hell would Wall Street want A blue wave it’s horrible for business period. Return to insane Corp tax rates and planned destruction of energy sector.

  20. #20
    If Trump stopped being a retard and calmly informed voters of the initiatives that Elizabeth Warren is likely to make I think he’d do great.

    I live in Mass so I already know Warren. I am hearing Warren forecasting more frequently. Big Tech like Google and Facebook feeling the heat, for example. She is gonna go to town.

    But Trump is a retard.

    Edit
    In fairness to retards I want to clarify that I mean intellectually handicapped. The guy is too stupid to focus on issues involving detail.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-26-2020 at 10:44 AM.

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