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Thread: does anyone else now think Trump has a chance?

  1. #21
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    i think he has a real chance but like 35%

    1/3 of the electorate has already voted and most of them are democrats

    not looking to dick joust over it or anything but lest we forget, trump went from like +450 to +1325 like an hour after the polls opened on election day in 2016.

    i truly dont think the left has the numbers, regardless of how/when they vote.
    Donít want to be that guy but this sounds like a little b it of revisionist history going on here. Hillary was -1000 weeks into the election and moved up to -1600 the week of the election.

    In the early afternoon the odds started to drop but just by a little into the -1200 area based on some early exit polling that nobody wanted to believe. It was around 4-5 PM that the rumblings started that the polls werenít coming out as expected in the rust belt and Carolinas/Virginia. The odds crashed to -300 for Hillary. By 6PM Carville went on MSNBC said and proclaimed ďthis isnít goodĒ and before you knew it they were even. By 7:30 trump was -250 and most sites had pulled the plug.

    The rest, as they say, is history...... until Tine gives his take.

  2. #22
    I bet Tyde thinks there's still a chance. If only we could know for sure.

    If Hongkonger can come back, which is great, so can Tyde.

    C'mon Druff, in the interest of fair and balanced free speech, let him in.

    There's one week left.

     
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      splitthis: For the love of our King

  3. #23
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post


    not looking to dick joust over it or anything but lest we forget, trump went from like +450 to +1325 like an hour after the polls opened on election day in 2016.

    i truly dont think the left has the numbers, regardless of how/when they vote.
    Donít want to be that guy but this sounds like a little b it of revisionist history going on here. Hillary was -1000 weeks into the election and moved up to -1600 the week of the election.

    In the early afternoon the odds started to drop but just by a little into the -1200 area based on some early exit polling that nobody wanted to believe. It was around 4-5 PM that the rumblings started that the polls werenít coming out as expected in the rust belt and Carolinas/Virginia. The odds crashed to -300 for Hillary. By 6PM Carville went on MSNBC said and proclaimed ďthis isnít goodĒ and before you knew it they were even. By 7:30 trump was -250 and most sites had pulled the plug.

    The rest, as they say, is history...... until Tine gives his take.

    i was expecting some huge gotcha and cant find it.

    the salient point of my poast was that as early votes came in, everything was blue. and then trumps line went to +1350 and beyond and i started laying money on him.

    not sure what youre fishing for tbh.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  4. #24
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Rasmussen came out today with Trump +1 nationally, yes they have a R lean, so he probably is down 3-4 nationally. That might sound like a lot, but Trump really only needs 46-47% nationally.

    Texas came out today, Trump is +5 so that pipe dream is just that.

    PA, Biden has a 5 point lead, which means it really is 1 or 2.

    Biden is taking a huge risk not campaigning.

    Sure Biden is ahead, but Trump is certainly closing.
    I saw he has stops in Georgia and Broward County scheduled this week. Did he cancel them? I just saw it this morning.

    I think heís taking a risk campaigning there as they feel longshots.
    No. The answer is that bottomfaggot and Biffcunt live in an alternate reality where Biden is hiding, rather than reality where in fact Biden is out campaigning.

    I guess it makes sense, in Back to the Future 2 Biff is rich and powerful in the alternate reality.
    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

    PRESIDENT-ELECT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR.

  5. #25
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post

    I saw he has stops in Georgia and Broward County scheduled this week. Did he cancel them? I just saw it this morning.

    I think heís taking a risk campaigning there as they feel longshots.
    No. The answer is that bottomfaggot and Biffcunt live in an alternate reality where Biden is hiding, rather than reality where in fact Biden is out campaigning.

    I guess it makes sense, in Back to the Future 2 Biff is rich and powerful in the alternate reality.
    He called a lid yesterday at 9am and took five days off before the last debate.

    Trump is holding Three rallies per day.

     
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      splitthis: He needs his rest lol

  6. #26
    lol @ "Biden out campaigning"

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      splitthis: At least he got the ear part right lol

  7. #27
    When Trump is re-elected and people look back as to why, it will be obvious.

    Who wants to vote for the side of darkness and fear? Lockdowns, masking, closed schools, bankrupt businesses, rioting, political violence & censorship.

     
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      splitthis:

  8. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by v12cl View Post
    When Trump is re-elected and people look back as to why, it will be obvious.

    Who wants to vote for the side of darkness and fear? Lockdowns, masking, closed schools, bankrupt businesses, rioting, political violence & censorship.


    Well said, we must still go out and vote though, the dems are going to try and steal this election, we need to make it impossible to do so.

    #TRUMP2020

  9. #29
    Quote Originally Posted by v12cl View Post
    When Trump is re-elected and people look back as to why, it will be obvious.

    Who wants to vote for the side of darkness and fear? Lockdowns, masking, closed schools, bankrupt businesses, rioting, political violence & censorship.
    Trump and Coronavirus is the cause of all this.

    If Trump is re-elected America is fucked.


  10. #30
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by v12cl View Post
    When Trump is re-elected and people look back as to why, it will be obvious.

    Who wants to vote for the side of darkness and fear? Lockdowns, masking, closed schools, bankrupt businesses, rioting, political violence & censorship.

    and yet here you are.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  11. #31
    Quote Originally Posted by v12cl View Post
    When Trump is re-elected and people look back as to why, it will be obvious.

    Who wants to vote for the side of darkness and fear? Lockdowns, masking, closed schools, bankrupt businesses, rioting, political violence & censorship.
    Lol.

    I voted for Trump and thatís exactly what I got.

     
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      ftpjesus: Reality most of that is happening due to idiot State Governors like Shitmer Cuomo and the rest. They shut shit down and destroyed businesses. The

  12. #32
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Donít want to be that guy but this sounds like a little b it of revisionist history going on here. Hillary was -1000 weeks into the election and moved up to -1600 the week of the election.

    In the early afternoon the odds started to drop but just by a little into the -1200 area based on some early exit polling that nobody wanted to believe. It was around 4-5 PM that the rumblings started that the polls werenít coming out as expected in the rust belt and Carolinas/Virginia. The odds crashed to -300 for Hillary. By 6PM Carville went on MSNBC said and proclaimed ďthis isnít goodĒ and before you knew it they were even. By 7:30 trump was -250 and most sites had pulled the plug.

    The rest, as they say, is history...... until Tine gives his take.

    i was expecting some huge gotcha and cant find it.

    the salient point of my poast was that as early votes came in, everything was blue. and then trumps line went to +1350 and beyond and i started laying money on him.

    not sure what youre fishing for tbh.
    Not fishing - just saying you could have got Trump +1000 for 7 days before the election. There was no morning of spike, at least at the euro books

  13. #33
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post


    i was expecting some huge gotcha and cant find it.

    the salient point of my poast was that as early votes came in, everything was blue. and then trumps line went to +1350 and beyond and i started laying money on him.

    not sure what youre fishing for tbh.
    Not fishing - just saying you could have got Trump +1000 for 7 days before the election. There was no morning of spike, at least at the euro books

    i do recall him being 500-700'ish before hand now that i think about it..
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  14. #34
    There is all kinds of shit I wish I could remember exactly. I recall Election Day on predictit when you could get Trump for a nickel, and possibly less, but I wish there was some historical record of shit that I didnít have to dig deep into the recesses of google for.

    Like Iíve been enjoying the 538 podcasts and PLOís star spangled gambling pod, but thatís mostly because theyíre saying shit I want to hear. There feels like a bit of revisionist history with Nate and his 30% Trump talk. Like I get heís a poll aggregator so even if you finish at 30, it counts, because your math is all based on the polls and they tightened very late. Still, I swear I recall like 93/7 until the very last second. Thatís different than being the guy saying I think Trump might be 30 the whole last month and we have to be careful and this is a fire hazard. Itís more like shouting fire once itís already ablaze. I wanted to kill that motherfucker on election night 2016.

    There was a poster on 2+2, I canít recall who, but a smart guy on a host of topics and a huge poker winner and educated guy, and I recall him just so deep on Hillary in every market he could access across the globe. He had to drop a million. Those dudes on PLOís podcast remind me of that dude. Most of the time that dude is right, but when heís wrong, itís expensive as fuck.

  15. #35
    Guys how many gaffes equal the onset of dementia? How can anyone vote for Biden when he still thinks he's running for the Senate and couldn't remember Trump's name? And don't get me started on the laptop evidence that our corrupt FBI had in December and didn't investigate and the fake media that isn't even trying to investigate what's been handed to them. IF Biden wins, I will accept that it's the people's choice but I'll never understand that so many people would roll the dice as to the competency of the most powerful person in the world. God help us if we ever have a President Harris which seems more likely than not imho. All I know is that I am very weary of all of this and can't wait for it to be over. Thanks for letting me get that off my chest. No OPA! for now

  16. #36
    Quote Originally Posted by IamGreek View Post
    Guys how many gaffes equal the onset of dementia? How can anyone vote for Biden when he still thinks he's running for the Senate and couldn't remember Trump's name? And don't get me started on the laptop evidence that our corrupt FBI had in December and didn't investigate and the fake media that isn't even trying to investigate what's been handed to them. IF Biden wins, I will accept that it's the people's choice but I'll never understand that so many people would roll the dice as to the competency of the most powerful person in the world. God help us if we ever have a President Harris which seems more likely than not imho. All I know is that I am very weary of all of this and can't wait for it to be over. Thanks for letting me get that off my chest. No OPA! for now
    This is the part I enjoy the most from ‘Merica. “I can’t wait for this to be over.”

    There is no outcome where this is over. Maybe for the reasons you cite above. Maybe because Trump binks.

    So many gonna be in for a wake up call in merely a few days. You included apparently

     
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      IamGreek: I will accept whatever happens

  17. #37
    Nova Scotia's REAL #1 Webcam DJ sonatine's Avatar
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    ill take biden's dementia over trumps dementia / mental illness / personality disorders and its absolutely not even close.

     
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      IamGreek: I always thought you were the most intelligent among us. Thanks for blowing that bubble
      
      blake: reverse team retard rep
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs


  18. #38
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    250k dead Americans

    Economy in the shitter

    Rioting in the streets

    A virus out of control that he is doing nothing to control

    Half his cabinet indicted on federal charges

    Millions unemployed



    FOOD LINES


    But sure trumps fat ass is gonna Win cus he's in PA doing rallies in front of the dumb and misinformed


    trump is going to lose

     
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      IamGreek: I pray you are wrong but if not, life goes on
    Last edited by big dick; 10-26-2020 at 05:31 PM.

  19. #39
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Who in their right mind wouldn't want 4 more years of THIS???

  20. #40
    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    250k dead Americans

    Economy in the shitter

    Rioting in the streets

    A virus out of control that he is doing nothing to control

    Half his cabinet indicted on federal charges

    Millions unemployed



    FOOD LINES


    But sure trumps fat ass is gonna Win cus he's in PA doing rallies in front of the dumb and misinformed


    trump is going to lose
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